Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.4 279
Results Rating -7.4 285
Consistency 0.16 197
Pace 66.0 252
Improvement +3.6 55

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 270 C D+ D C- B+
Defense D+ 253 C- C F+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 C- 56% 217 -0.5 199
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 343 C+ 40% 113 -3.5 334
Three Pointers 50% 23 C- 33% 215 +4.1 50
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 34 C- -1.1 216
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 164
Second Chance C 30.5% 177 D- 0.91 327 D+ 0.28 251
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 273
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 332
Turnovers D 19.1% 325
Freethrows C 0.31 181 D 68% 317 C- 0.21 224
Total Offense D+ -3.8 270

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 142 F+ 14.8% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 60 D+ 7.0% 300
Three Pointers B- 88% 95 C+ 0.8% 163
Total B 63% 43 D 6.9% 317


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 B 53% 61 -2.5 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 158 D+ 41% 281 +0.8 249
Three Pointers 41% 153 D- 38% 331 +2.6 304
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 138 C- +1.0 216
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 209
Second Chance C+ 28.6% 108 C- 1.07 250 C 0.31 165
Turnovers from Steals F 5.7% 360
Other Turnovers C- 7.1% 210
Turnovers F+ 12.8% 355
Freethrows C+ 0.29 151 F+ 77% 354 C 0.22 200
Total Defense D+ -2.6 253

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 242 B 15.4% 41
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 345 C- 3.8% 234
Three Pointers C 84% 187 D- 0.0% 355
Total D+ 61% 300 B- 6.6% 100

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 268 17.5 215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 287 0.18 205
Consistency 0.12 156 0.14 285
Improvement -2.2 290 +5.7 8

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 290 279 261
Results Rating Rank 294 289 258
Conference Record 3 - 15 3 - 15 4 - 14
Conference Finish 14 14 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 32 - 103 - 20
Quad 45 - 58 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 322 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 74% +2  66% 1 - 0 D -10 C+ +2 D F+ A+ F -12 C- F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 290 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 65% -7  13% 1 - 1 F -18 F -12 D- F D- D- -7 F+ D+ B
 Sun, Nov 9 136 North Texas L 62 - 64 23% -4  21% 1 - 2 C -1 D -4 F C- B B +4 C+ A+ B-
 Thu, Nov 13 92 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 8% -14  6% 1 - 3 D- -12 A- +9 A+ F+ C- F -23 D- F F
 Sun, Nov 16 85 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 17% -12  0% 1 - 4 D -9 C +1 A D F F -12 C F D-
 Fri, Nov 21 339 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 80% -9  12% 1 - 5 F -32 F -13 D+ F F F -21 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 88 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 12% -18  0% 1 - 6 D- -15 F -10 F B C+ D- -7 C B- F
 Wed, Nov 26 223 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 39% -1  45% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -19 D+ C+ F C+ +1 C+ A- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 259 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 58% +2  55% 2 - 7 C+ +2 B +7 D A- A D+ -4 D C D-
 Sat, Dec 6 239 Princeton W 73 - 68 54% -1  40% 3 - 7 C- -2 C +0 B- A+ C- C- -2 B C F
 Sun, Dec 14 348 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 82% -6  12% 3 - 8 F -25 F -11 F A+ F F -14 D- C D-
 Wed, Dec 17 122 San Francisco L 71 - 85 19% -12  2% 3 - 9 D -11 B +7 D+ B+ A F -20 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 44 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 5% +1  61% 4 - 9 B+ +14 A- +11 A+ D- A+ B- +3 A+ D- F+
 Wed, Dec 31 130 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 14% +7  85% 5 - 9 1 - 0 B +9 D -5 A B F A+ +14 A+ C C-
 Sat, Jan 3 76 Dayton L 68 - 70 15% +6  79% 5 - 10 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +0 B+ C C- B- +3 A+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 7 113 Davidson L 64 - 79 26% -10  0% 5 - 11 1 - 2 F+ -15 D- -7 F+ B+ C F+ -9 D C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 78 @George Washington L 66 - 101 7% -20  0% 5 - 12 1 - 3 F -24 F -12 C+ F F F+ -9 D- A F
 Tue, Jan 13 105 George Mason L 74 - 82 23% +3  75% 5 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -7 B +6 A A- B- F -14 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 76 @Dayton L 51 - 78 6% -6  22% 5 - 14 1 - 5 F+ -16 F -16 F D F C -1 C- A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 138 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 16% +3  69% 5 - 15 1 - 6 D -10 D -5 B+ F F D -5 B+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 24 127 Duquesne L 59 - 71 28% -4  11% 5 - 16 1 - 7 D- -13 F -14 F D+ B- C+ +1 C A D-
 Tue, Jan 27 112 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 26% -20  0% 5 - 17 1 - 8 F -21 D+ -3 C C- C F -18 F F F
 Fri, Jan 30 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  44% 5 - 18 1 - 9 C +0 B +7 B- A D D- -7 C C F
 Tue, Feb 3 209 La Salle W 71 - 61 47% +1  48% 6 - 18 2 - 9 C+ +4 D+ -4 D+ B+ D A- +8 C+ A+ C
 Fri, Feb 6 113 @Davidson L 64 - 84 12% -16  0% 6 - 19 2 - 10 D- -14 C -0 A C+ F F -16 F A+ D
 Fri, Feb 13 25 Saint Louis L 59 - 86 5% -12  1% 6 - 20 2 - 11 D- -14 F -13 C+ F C+ C -1 D+ C+ B+
 Wed, Feb 18 161 @Fordham L 59 - 62 19% -9  3% 6 - 21 2 - 12 C -0 F+ -10 C- F+ F A +10 A- C- A-
 Sat, Feb 21 112 @Saint Joseph's L 61 - 75 12% -10  0% 6 - 22 2 - 13 D+ -8 D+ -3 B- F D- D -5 C- F+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 135 Richmond W 69 - 66 32% +7  91% 7 - 22 3 - 13 C +2 F+ -10 A F F A +11 A+ A F
 Wed, Mar 4 25 @Saint Louis L 65 - 79 2% -8  4% 7 - 23 3 - 14 C+ +5 A- +10 A+ F F D- -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Mar 7 78 George Washington L 71 - 82 14%
Totals 7 - 24 3 - 15 -6 D+ -4 F C- B+ D+ -3 C- D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C+ C- C- 39% 21% 50% B+ C C D- D+ D C D C- D+ B D+ D- C- 37% 21% 41% C C- C+ C- C F+ C+ F+ C
1.03 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .31 68% .21 1.12 53% 41% 38% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .31 13% .29 77% .23
Nov
3		 Cleveland St. C+ F A C+ F+ 34% 7% 59% B D D- D F+ A+ A- C A- F B+ F C D+ 32% 21% 46% B- C- F A- F B- F F F
1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29 1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36
Nov
6		 Mercyhurst F D+ F F+ F 45% 6% 49% A- D- D- F F D- B+ B- B+ D- B F D D- 40% 22% 38% F F+ D- B- D+ B F D+ F
0.96 55% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 21% .43 74% .32 1.08 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 18% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 North Texas D D+ F F F 39% 11% 50% A- F B F C- B A+ D+ A+ B C A+ C- C+ 50% 21% 29% C C+ C- A+ A+ B- F F F
0.94 53% 20% 18% -16 +1 0.73 36% 0.8 .30 20% .59 68% .40 0.97 57% 11% 33% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.5 .16 18% .50 81% .41
Nov
13		 Wichita St. A- B+ F A+ A 40% 17% 44% A A+ B F F+ C- B+ A+ A+ F B- A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C- D- B- F F F B- C C+
1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28 1.46 53% 10% 46% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21
Nov
16		 Colorado St. C C A+ A- A- 32% 8% 61% A- A C+ F D F A+ C A+ F A+ F F C 29% 16% 56% B- C F F+ F D- D+ F F+
1.11 58% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.18 29% 0.9 .25 22% .47 68% .32 1.33 46% 57% 44% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.3 .50 15% .37 84% .31
Nov
21		 Northern Illinois F D- F A- D 45% 6% 49% B+ D+ F+ F F F F F F F C- B- F F 32% 12% 56% C+ F F C F F A+ F A
0.96 52% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.9 .21 21% .14 57% .08 1.24 56% 33% 43% +6 +1 1.16 46% 0.8 .38 16% .19 80% .16
Nov
25		 Northern Iowa F F F C F 34% 16% 50% C+ F B+ C+ B C+ B F C- D- C+ C- F+ D+ 27% 23% 50% A+ C A+ F B- F C- B C
0.83 20% 29% 32% -16 0 0.70 32% 0.9 .29 18% .30 60% .18 1.17 57% 42% 38% +4 -1 1.08 12% 1.8 .21 5% .26 67% .17
Nov
26		 San Jose St. F D+ D- C+ D+ 34% 17% 49% C- D+ D+ B+ C+ F D+ F F C+ B+ F A+ C+ 36% 29% 36% D+ C+ C- A+ A- D- D B D+
0.87 58% 33% 35% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.3 .41 36% .27 60% .16 1.08 50% 62% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.7 .24 12% .33 71% .23
Dec
2		 Central Michigan B B- D+ F D- 43% 14% 43% B- D D A+ A- A A+ C A+ D+ D+ F C D- 42% 33% 25% B- D A+ F C D- D+ F D-
1.25 63% 33% 26% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.7 .53 12% .57 70% .39 1.08 60% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.08 17% 1.8 .31 15% .30 76% .23
Dec
6		 Princeton C A F F C 48% 9% 43% A- B- D+ A+ A+ C- A+ D- A+ C- B D+ B+ B+ 30% 13% 57% C- B C- B- C F B F D+
1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31 1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25
Dec
14		 Chicago St. F F F F F 23% 4% 72% C F A+ C A+ F B+ F C- F D B F F 33% 40% 27% B D- F A+ C D- F F F
1.04 45% 0% 26% -13 +1 0.79 51% 1.1 .58 24% .40 64% .25 1.16 59% 33% 43% +2 -3 1.00 39% 0.7 .28 12% .46 90% .41
Dec
17		 San Francisco B A F F D- 47% 19% 35% B D+ B B+ B+ A A+ C A+ F A F F F 33% 16% 51% C F A F C+ F F C+ F
1.17 70% 13% 20% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43 1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32
Dec
20		 Santa Clara A- D A+ A A+ 28% 15% 57% D+ A+ C- F D- A+ B+ A- A B- A+ F B+ A+ 38% 20% 42% B- A+ C- F+ D- F+ D- D F+
1.18 54% 86% 38% +10 0 1.22 30% 0.8 .22 13% .39 78% .31 1.15 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 39% 1.3 .50 12% .30 78% .23
Dec
31		 Rhode Island D C- A+ A+ A 44% 8% 49% B+ A A+ F B F F A+ D A+ A+ C A+ A+ 38% 21% 40% B A+ D+ B C C- B B- B
0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22 0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22
Jan
3		 Dayton C D A+ C B 41% 12% 47% A B+ A+ F C C- F F F B- A A+ A+ A+ 49% 10% 41% D A+ A F B- F C F D
1.01 50% 83% 35% +3 +1 1.10 43% 0.7 .30 22% .10 60% .06 1.04 50% 20% 25% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.4 .29 9% .41 84% .34
Jan
7		 Davidson D- F A+ F F 50% 13% 38% A+ F+ B+ B- B+ C A F C+ F+ A+ F F D 32% 16% 52% C- D C- C- C- D+ C- C C
0.96 42% 67% 22% -11 +2 0.83 35% 1.1 .38 18% .39 57% .22 1.19 31% 75% 46% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.1 .34 15% .30 65% .19
Jan
10		 George Washington F A+ C- F C+ 32% 11% 57% B- C+ B F F F F+ F F F+ C F F D- 40% 5% 55% C D- B- A+ A F B F D
0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11 1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26
Jan
13		 George Mason B A- A+ F+ B+ 50% 8% 42% A+ A C+ A+ A- B- A F C+ F B B F C- 43% 32% 26% B+ C F F F F F D- F
1.17 68% 75% 29% +4 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18 1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35
Jan
16		 Dayton F F F F F 43% 20% 36% B F A- F D F B- F D C C+ A+ F D+ 37% 18% 45% B C- A- A+ A+ D+ F+ D+ F
0.75 42% 22% 25% -15 0 0.73 37% 0.6 .23 28% .32 56% .18 1.14 58% 22% 43% +4 0 1.10 21% 0.7 .15 16% .49 79% .38
Jan
20		 St. Bonaventure D B F A+ B+ 35% 13% 52% B- B+ C F F F C D+ C D B- A+ D- B+ 32% 27% 41% B- B+ A+ F A- F D F F
1.02 65% 17% 44% +7 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21 1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Duquesne F B F F F 33% 17% 50% B- F F A+ D+ B- C C+ C C+ B- A- F C- 43% 15% 43% B- C A+ F+ A D- D+ B C-
0.87 63% 25% 21% -11 0 0.81 18% 1.3 .24 16% .33 74% .25 1.05 55% 29% 40% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.2 .19 15% .38 68% .26
Jan
27		 Saint Joseph's D+ B- C+ D C 19% 25% 57% D C B F C- C D+ B- C- F F B+ F+ F 44% 18% 38% C+ F C F F F A+ A+ A+
0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14 1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05
Jan
30		 Virginia Commonwealth B C- F B+ C+ 48% 12% 40% B+ B- A A- A D C D+ C- D- D A+ C- C 38% 13% 48% C+ C B- D+ C F F F F
1.10 52% 17% 38% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 19% .29 69% .20 1.31 65% 29% 36% +3 +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 10% .47 83% .39
Feb
3		 La Salle D+ D+ A+ D D 33% 4% 63% B+ D+ D+ A+ B+ D A+ F A+ A- A+ F B- C+ 38% 28% 34% B- C+ A+ B+ A+ C C B+ B-
1.04 53% 50% 31% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.6 .42 19% .45 60% .27 0.90 39% 54% 31% -4 -1 0.91 18% 0.8 .15 18% .34 68% .23
Feb
6		 Davidson C C A A+ A 46% 20% 34% B+ A B+ D- C+ F A+ F B+ F F F F F 30% 21% 49% B- F B- A+ A+ D A+ F B+
1.02 58% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.17 34% 0.9 .31 24% .44 57% .25 1.34 75% 64% 46% +19 -1 1.40 28% 0.6 .16 14% .19 80% .15
Feb
13		 Saint Louis F D- A+ D C+ 21% 15% 64% C C+ F F F C+ C- F F C A- F F D+ 45% 5% 50% C D+ C+ B- C+ B+ A+ C- A+
0.81 45% 50% 29% -5 -1 0.91 15% 0.3 .05 15% .29 50% .15 1.18 52% 67% 50% +11 +2 1.29 31% 1.0 .31 19% .14 75% .10
Feb
18		 Fordham F+ C- A+ F D- 39% 4% 57% A+ C- F B+ F+ F A+ D- A+ A A+ B B+ A 36% 24% 40% B A- A F C- A- F A+ F
0.88 56% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.2 .18 21% .41 64% .26 0.92 44% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .35 21% .51 59% .30
Feb
21		 Saint Joseph's D+ F C B+ C+ 36% 16% 48% B+ B- D- F F D- B C+ B D B F C+ C 45% 12% 43% D+ C- B F F+ F D+ F F+
0.93 44% 38% 38% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .11 18% .26 71% .19 1.14 52% 50% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 12% .29 88% .26
Feb
28		 Richmond F+ B A+ D+ B+ 49% 12% 39% A+ A F B F F A+ D A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% D A+ A+ F A F F B F
0.96 65% 60% 31% +4 +2 1.15 16% 1.3 .20 22% .54 67% .36 0.92 50% 10% 27% -13 -1 0.74 11% 1.3 .13 7% .49 73% .36
Mar
4		 Saint Louis A- D- A+ A+ A+ 42% 8% 50% A A+ D+ F F F F C- F D- D- F F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F A+ A+ A+ F D A- C-
1.09 45% 50% 50% +8 +2 1.21 22% 0.3 .07 20% .15 71% .11 1.33 68% 100% 53% +18 +4 1.47 23% 0.8 .18 12% .34 67% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 6.5 6.5 13th
14th 85.5 7.9 93.5 14th
Total 85.5 14.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 14.5% 14.5
3-15 85.5% 85.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 58.7%