North Texas
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#146
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#140
Pace62.3#345
Improvement-0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#273
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks+3.0#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#338
Freethrows+2.4#56
Improvement-1.6#294

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#53
First Shot+5.4#39
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#235
Layups/Dunks+3.2#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#23
Freethrows-3.6#350
Improvement+1.5#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 6.0% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.1
.500 or above 72.0% 88.5% 68.3%
.500 or above in Conference 56.3% 77.8% 51.4%
Conference Champion 3.8% 10.5% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.0% 4.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 5.9% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 56 - 13
Quad 410 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 273 Northwestern St. W 80-53 83%     1 - 0 +18.0 +15.6 +7.4
  Sun, Nov 9 270 Loyola Chicago W 64-62 75%     2 - 0 -3.9 -10.0 +6.1
  Wed, Nov 12 154 @Oregon St. L 64-66 41%     2 - 1 +1.4 -0.1 +1.2
  Fri, Nov 14 44 @St. Mary's L 49-80 10%     2 - 2 -16.3 -12.6 -5.1
  Thu, Nov 20 282 Central Arkansas W 74-56 84%     3 - 2 +8.5 -0.4 +9.3
  Tue, Nov 25 258 Eastern Washington W 79-71 OT 81%     4 - 2 -0.4 -4.5 +3.8
  Sun, Nov 30 320 Prairie View W 72-69 89%     5 - 2 -9.5 -7.0 -2.5
  Tue, Dec 2 279 Houston Christian W 77-75 83%     6 - 2 -7.3 +7.2 -14.3
  Sun, Dec 7 53 TCU L 55-65 29%     6 - 3 -3.1 -9.4 +5.7
  Sun, Dec 14 190 @South Alabama W 58-57 50%     7 - 3 +2.1 -8.0 +10.2
  Wed, Dec 17 86 Santa Clara L 60-63 29%     7 - 4 +3.6 -8.0 +11.5
  Wed, Dec 31 72 @Memphis L 60-70 18%    
  Sun, Jan 4 92 Tulsa L 68-70 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 79 South Florida L 69-72 39%    
  Sun, Jan 11 98 @Wichita St. L 60-68 25%    
  Sun, Jan 18 194 @Tulane W 66-65 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 287 Texas San Antonio W 71-60 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 271 East Carolina W 70-60 82%    
  Wed, Jan 28 92 @Tulsa L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 107 UAB L 67-68 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 231 @Rice W 65-63 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 287 @Texas San Antonio W 68-63 66%    
  Thu, Feb 12 72 Memphis L 63-67 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 151 @Temple L 66-69 40%    
  Wed, Feb 18 194 Tulane W 69-63 71%    
  Sun, Feb 22 114 Florida Atlantic W 69-68 52%    
  Wed, Feb 25 183 @Charlotte L 63-64 49%    
  Sun, Mar 1 107 @UAB L 65-71 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 231 Rice W 68-60 78%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 4.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.4 3.1 0.3 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.3 4.8 0.7 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.3 5.8 1.4 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.3 3.3 6.2 2.4 0.1 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 2.6 0.2 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.0 8.5 11.7 14.5 15.3 14.0 11.0 7.5 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 82.4% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 58.2% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.2% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 20.0% 20.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 17.3% 17.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.4% 13.7% 13.7% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.8% 11.7% 11.7% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.2
12-6 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.0
11-7 11.0% 5.2% 5.2% 12.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.4
10-8 14.0% 3.4% 3.4% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.5
9-9 15.3% 1.9% 1.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.0
8-10 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3
7-11 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
6-12 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 96.6 0.0%