Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.3 221
Expected Predictive Rating -5.2 251
Pace 69.5 158
Improvement +3.7 50

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 148 C+ C+ D+ C C-
Defense D+ 298 D D- C D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 154 C- 56% 234 -0.4 190
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 118 C 39% 152 +1.2 111
Three Pointers 37% 257 B 37% 42 +0.1 170
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 230 C+ +1.2 126
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 140
Second Chance C 30.6% 177 C+ 1.08 102 C+ 0.33 132
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 285
Freethrows C- 0.30 210 B- 75% 105 C 0.22 169
Total Offense C +0.7 148

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 59 C- 60% 233 -3.7 308
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 310 F 46% 357 +0.3 156
Three Pointers 40% 197 C- 35% 245 -0.6 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.3 230 D +1.2 126
1st FG Attempt 1.10 303 D -4.0 304
Second Chance D+ 33.2% 292 D- 1.16 332 D- 0.38 330
Turnovers C 16.7% 190
Freethrows C- 0.33 259 D- 76% 338 D+ 0.25 295
Total Defense D+ -4.0 298

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 188 17.1 147
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 300 0.20 266
Improvement +1.0 #128 +2.6 #48

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 8% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 72% 86% 52%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 7% 5%
First Round5% 6% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 61.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 124 - 18
Quad 47 - 311 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 35 @UCLA L 74 - 80 4% -7  11% 0 - 1 B+ +11 B +6 A+ D D- B +6 C B D
 Wed, Nov 5 150 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 26% -1  34% 0 - 2 C- -5 F+ -10 C F D B +5 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 8 77 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 10% -1  27% 0 - 3 B- +5 A+ +14 A+ D- B D- -8 D C D
 Wed, Nov 12 134 @Seattle L 67 - 94 22% -15  1% 0 - 4 F -22 D+ -3 B- D- C F -18 F F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 190 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 34% -20  0% 0 - 5 F -26 F -12 F+ B- F F -14 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 139 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 23% -2  26% 0 - 6 C- -3 C- -0 C- D+ B C- -3 B- D- D+
 Wed, Dec 3 247 @Denver L 89 - 93 44% -0  47% 0 - 7 D+ -6 B+ +8 A+ C F F -14 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 6 357 UMKC W 90 - 66 91% +15  90% 1 - 7 B- +6 C+ +2 F+ A+ D+ B- +2 C- F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 138 California Baptist L 83 - 88 43% -5  19% 1 - 8 D+ -6 B+ +9 B+ A C- F -15 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 125 Washington St. L 63 - 78 30% -12  0% 1 - 9 D- -13 F -14 F+ F D C+ +2 D- C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 109 @Utah L 77 - 101 17% -11  1% 1 - 10 F+ -17 C+ +3 D+ C B- F -20 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 21 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -10  6% 1 - 11 D+ -7 B +7 B A D+ F -12 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 202 @Idaho L 81 - 84 36% -2  29% 1 - 12 0 - 1 C- -3 B +7 D- A+ F D- -9 F+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 157 Montana St. L 64 - 68 50% +0  54% 1 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 F D C+ C -1 D+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 174 Montana W 66 - 65 51% -2  22% 2 - 13 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 C+ C- B- C+ +1 B C- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 224 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 39% -1  53% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D- -11 D+ -3 D A- F+ D- -7 D- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 257 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 46% +15  98% 3 - 14 2 - 3 A- +16 B+ +8 A F D- A- +9 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 144 Portland St. L 61 - 65 44% -5  0% 3 - 15 2 - 4 D+ -6 F+ -9 D C+ C- B- +3 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 263 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 70% +7  94% 4 - 15 3 - 4 C -1 C -0 F+ A+ C+ C +0 C+ D+ B
 Thu, Jan 29 315 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 61% -12  0% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -12 A +11 C A- D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 171 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 29% +1  51% 4 - 17 3 - 6 C -1 C- -2 C B F C+ +1 B B F
 Thu, Feb 5 174 @Montana W 82 - 74 29% -0  41% 5 - 17 4 - 6 B +10 B+ +8 A C- D- C+ +2 D B- B+
 Sat, Feb 7 157 @Montana St. W 72 - 71 28% +2  70% 6 - 17 5 - 6 C+ +4 B- +4 C A+ C- C -0 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 257 Idaho St. W 88 - 75 69% +7  72% 7 - 17 6 - 6 C+ +5 A +11 A- C- A+ D -6 B- F B
 Sat, Feb 14 224 Weber St. W 82 - 79 61%
 Thu, Feb 19 263 @Sacramento St. L 82 - 83 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 144 @Portland St. L 70 - 77 24%
 Thu, Feb 26 171 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 Northern Arizona W 80 - 71 80%
 Mon, Mar 2 202 Idaho W 77 - 75 58%
Totals 10 - 20 9 - 9 -3 F +1 F C+ C- D -4 B B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- C B C+ 39% 23% 37% C- C+ C C+ C+ D+ C- B- C D+ C- F C- D 43% 16% 40% D D D+ D- D- C C- D- D+
1.10 56% 39% 37% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.1 .33 19% .30 75% .22 1.14 60% 46% 35% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.2 .38 17% .33 76% .23
Nov
3		 UCLA B A+ B- C- A+ 38% 15% 48% B+ A+ F+ B- D D- D+ F D- B C- F C+ C 33% 28% 40% C C C A- B D A+ A+ A+
1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16 1.13 63% 50% 35% +6 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10
Nov
5		 Loyola Marymount F+ B- C- F+ C+ 40% 36% 23% D C F F F D A+ F+ A B B+ D- A- A- 36% 19% 45% D B+ C+ F F C F A- D-
0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30 0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23
Nov
8		 Colorado A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% C A+ F B D- B C- C+ C D- A- F F D+ 52% 13% 36% F D C+ C- C D F A- F
1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21 1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39
Nov
12		 Seattle D+ D+ A C B- 42% 23% 35% C B- F C- D- C C F+ D+ F F F F F 50% 13% 37% D- F B F F A- B+ C+ B+
0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19 1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16
Nov
23		 Central Arkansas F F F C- F 27% 10% 63% C F+ A- D- B- F D+ D+ D+ F D A+ F F 43% 4% 53% F F D A B- C+ B B B
0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 0 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18 1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15
Nov
25		 North Texas C- C- D- D C- 40% 26% 34% C- C- B- F D+ B D A C- C- C- D+ A+ B- 42% 17% 42% C+ B- B- F D- D+ F B F
0.97 55% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 36% 0.8 .28 21% .33 79% .26 1.08 60% 38% 20% -8 +1 0.88 32% 1.3 .41 16% .49 67% .33
Dec
3		 Denver B+ A+ A A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% F A+ D B+ C F B- B B- F D B- F F 38% 23% 38% D F D+ A+ A D- F F F
1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24 1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46
Dec
6		 UMKC C+ D+ C+ F F 43% 9% 47% B F+ B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ B- D C+ A+ C 48% 29% 23% D C- C- F F A+ F A- F+
1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31 0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24
Dec
12		 California Baptist B+ D- B+ A+ B+ 56% 21% 23% B B+ A- A A C- A+ F+ A F D- F B F 53% 18% 29% D F F D F A- F F F
1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30 1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41
Dec
17		 Washington St. F C- C F F 43% 19% 38% B F+ D+ F F D C+ F C- C+ F+ F D+ D 42% 12% 46% D- D- F A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20 1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09
Dec
20		 Utah C+ C F C D+ 35% 25% 40% D D+ A F C B- B+ C B F F D- F F 46% 13% 40% D F A- F F D+ B- B- B
1.09 57% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21 1.43 83% 43% 52% +24 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20
Dec
22		 BYU B A- A+ D- A- 11% 40% 49% F B B- A+ A D+ D B+ D+ F F B- D F+ 25% 13% 62% D+ D- D- F F D+ B- F C-
1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15 1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26
Jan
3		 Idaho B D F+ C+ D- 32% 36% 32% F+ D- A+ D- A+ F A+ D- A- D- A F F+ F 31% 13% 56% C F+ F F F B+ F C+ F
1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31 1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37
Jan
8		 Montana St. D- F A F F 48% 20% 32% C+ F B F D C+ B A+ A+ C C- D+ D D 31% 28% 41% B- D+ F A D+ A+ F F+ F
0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29 1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36
Jan
10		 Montana D+ F A+ A C+ 42% 23% 35% C C+ F A+ C- B- F A+ F C+ D A A+ A- 61% 15% 24% F B F A C- D+ D- F+ F+
1.04 45% 50% 39% 0 0 1.02 17% 1.6 .28 14% .13 100% .13 1.02 64% 29% 18% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .35 83% .29
Jan
15		 Weber St. D+ D C+ C D+ 45% 31% 24% D- D D+ A+ A- F+ A+ A A+ D- A- F F D 56% 10% 34% F+ D- D- F+ F C+ F F F
1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37 1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39
Jan
17		 Idaho St. B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% F A D- F F D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% D+ A+ C F F+ F D F F
1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50 0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 Portland St. F+ F+ D- C- D 42% 29% 29% D D D A+ C+ C- B C- B B- C- A+ A+ A 56% 19% 25% D A- B- F F C A- F B-
0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20
Jan
24		 Sacramento St. C C+ F F+ F+ 44% 14% 42% C F+ C A+ A+ C+ B- A+ B+ C C- A+ B- B- 41% 18% 41% F C+ A F D+ B F F F
1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27 1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45
Jan
29		 Northern Arizona A D- F A+ C- 51% 10% 39% B+ C A+ D A- D A+ B+ A+ F A- F F F 55% 8% 37% F F D F F F F F F
1.33 52% 20% 47% +3 +2 1.12 49% 1.0 .49 19% .53 79% .42 1.42 48% 50% 56% +7 +3 1.22 27% 2.0 .54 8% .47 93% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Northern Colorado C- D D- A- C 52% 17% 31% B- C D A+ B F F A+ F C+ C- F A+ A- 38% 9% 54% D- B D A+ B F B+ F B
1.05 52% 33% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 18% .18 90% .16 1.10 62% 60% 27% -2 +1 1.00 31% 0.8 .24 6% .17 82% .14
Feb
5		 Montana B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% D+ A C C- C- D- A+ F+ A- C+ C- F D+ D- 38% 21% 40% B- D D A+ B- B+ C- C C-
1.16 56% 50% 43% +8 -1 1.16 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 63% .26 1.05 61% 60% 37% +8 0 1.17 27% 0.8 .20 24% .32 76% .24
Feb
7		 Montana St. B- D- D+ A+ C- 54% 22% 24% C+ C B+ A+ A+ C- F+ A- D C A F D- C 36% 18% 46% D- C- A A- A F F B D-
1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23
Feb
12		 Idaho St. A A+ C C A- 45% 18% 37% C+ A- F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ D F B A+ B- 39% 15% 46% C- B- F D F B F F+ F
1.34 77% 44% 33% +9 +1 1.22 22% 1.4 .30 9% .43 92% .40 1.14 69% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.1 .48 20% .57 80% .45



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.7 2.8 1.3 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.7 8.4 7.0 0.7 16.9 3rd
4th 0.2 10.1 16.1 2.7 0.1 29.1 4th
5th 2.7 14.2 2.0 18.9 5th
6th 0.4 8.7 5.1 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.1 3.1 7.2 0.4 10.7 7th
8th 0.8 3.3 1.0 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.0 6.8 19.8 30.5 27.2 12.5 2.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.2% 16.4% 16.4% 15.4 0.2 0.2 1.9
11-7 12.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.2
10-8 27.2% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3 24.9
9-9 30.5% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 2.0 28.5
8-10 19.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.6 19.1
7-11 6.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 6.6
6-12 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 16.0 93.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 15.4 56.2 43.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 0.5%