Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#247
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#191
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#215
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#285
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 17.5% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 12.8 14.7
.500 or above 29.0% 68.5% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 78.9% 53.4%
Conference Champion 10.3% 30.4% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 5.4% 12.2%
First Four1.9% 0.0% 1.9%
First Round8.1% 17.5% 8.0%
Second Round0.3% 4.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 14   @ UCLA L 56-81 1%    
  Nov 05, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-75 19%    
  Nov 08, 2025 82   @ Colorado L 64-78 9%    
  Nov 12, 2025 121   @ Seattle L 63-73 18%    
  Nov 23, 2025 358   @ Central Arkansas W 74-67 73%    
  Nov 25, 2025 89   @ North Texas L 56-69 12%    
  Dec 03, 2025 321   @ Denver W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 06, 2025 301   UMKC W 70-64 69%    
  Dec 12, 2025 169   California Baptist L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 17, 2025 124   Washington St. L 72-79 28%    
  Dec 20, 2025 88   @ Utah L 66-80 13%    
  Dec 22, 2025 9   @ BYU L 62-88 1%    
  Jan 03, 2026 235   @ Idaho L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 08, 2026 217   Montana St. W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 10, 2026 189   Montana W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 15, 2026 279   @ Weber St. L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 17, 2026 282   @ Idaho St. L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 22, 2026 213   Portland St. W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 24, 2026 272   Sacramento St. W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 29, 2026 263   @ Northern Arizona L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 31, 2026 190   @ Northern Colorado L 71-77 32%    
  Feb 05, 2026 189   @ Montana L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 07, 2026 217   @ Montana St. L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 12, 2026 282   Idaho St. W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 14, 2026 279   Weber St. W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 19, 2026 272   @ Sacramento St. L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 21, 2026 213   @ Portland St. L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 26, 2026 190   Northern Colorado W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 28, 2026 263   Northern Arizona W 74-70 62%    
  Mar 02, 2026 235   Idaho W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.8 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 10.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.3 2.7 0.7 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.1 7.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.1 4.9 7.0 8.5 9.5 10.8 11.1 10.4 9.4 7.7 5.9 4.3 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 98.7% 1.3    1.2 0.1
15-3 86.5% 2.4    1.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 64.5% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1
13-5 35.1% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 12.1% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 6.4 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 58.7% 58.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 50.4% 50.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.3% 44.0% 44.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.8% 32.9% 32.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.9
14-4 4.3% 27.4% 27.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.1
13-5 5.9% 21.5% 21.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 4.7
12-6 7.7% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 6.5
11-7 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 8.4
10-8 10.4% 7.5% 7.5% 17.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.7
9-9 11.1% 5.4% 5.4% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.5
8-10 10.8% 3.7% 3.7% 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.4
7-11 9.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.8 0.0 0.2 9.3
6-12 8.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.4
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.9 91.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%