Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#173
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#143
Pace66.0#275
Improvement+1.2#100

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#125
First Shot+2.4#110
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#211
Layup/Dunks-5.7#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#10
Freethrows+1.0#124
Improvement+2.6#22

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#264
First Shot-5.7#346
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#33
Layups/Dunks-0.9#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows-2.2#308
Improvement-1.4#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 17.7% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.4 14.2
.500 or above 67.2% 86.1% 65.2%
.500 or above in Conference 70.9% 81.9% 69.7%
Conference Champion 18.7% 27.1% 17.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.5% 5.9%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round12.6% 17.7% 12.1%
Second Round0.5% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 411 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 151 @Washington St. W 83-81 34%     1 - 0 +5.2 +7.9 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 264 @San Diego L 74-78 55%     1 - 1 -6.5 +2.2 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 15 103 @UC San Diego L 67-75 20%     1 - 2 -0.3 -3.9 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 26 261 Cal St. Northridge W 78-64 66%     2 - 2 +8.6 -0.6 +8.5
  Fri, Nov 28 126 Sam Houston St. L 68-94 37%     2 - 3 -23.7 +1.7 -28.0
  Wed, Dec 3 337 North Dakota W 90-58 88%     3 - 3 +18.2 +12.4 +6.1
  Sat, Dec 6 153 @South Dakota St. W 84-81 34%     4 - 3 +6.0 +15.5 -9.4
  Wed, Dec 10 58 @Notre Dame L 64-78 10%    
  Sun, Dec 21 252 @Cal Poly W 83-82 53%    
  Tue, Dec 23 295 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Jan 3 234 Eastern Washington W 81-75 72%    
  Thu, Jan 8 206 Montana W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 164 Montana St. W 73-71 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 168 Idaho St. W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 195 @Weber St. L 75-77 43%    
  Thu, Jan 22 278 Sacramento St. W 81-73 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 171 Portland St. W 73-70 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 157 @Northern Colorado L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 251 @Northern Arizona W 73-72 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 164 @Montana St. L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 206 @Montana L 77-78 45%    
  Thu, Feb 12 195 Weber St. W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 168 Idaho St. W 72-69 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 171 @Portland St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 278 @Sacramento St. W 78-76 57%    
  Thu, Feb 26 251 Northern Arizona W 76-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 157 Northern Colorado W 76-74 58%    
  Mon, Mar 2 234 @Eastern Washington W 78-77 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.5 4.9 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.1 18.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.6 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.8 5.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 5.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.5 3.1 0.3 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.0 0.3 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.1 5.2 7.9 10.0 12.4 13.2 12.7 11.4 8.9 6.1 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 99.4% 1.7    1.7 0.0
15-3 95.6% 3.5    3.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 79.9% 4.9    3.6 1.2 0.1
13-5 50.8% 4.5    2.1 1.9 0.5 0.0
12-6 23.5% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.7% 18.7 11.9 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.2% 47.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 44.5% 44.5% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.7% 39.7% 39.7% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.6% 34.5% 34.5% 13.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.1% 28.2% 28.2% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 4.4
13-5 8.9% 22.7% 22.7% 14.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.8
12-6 11.4% 17.7% 17.7% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 9.4
11-7 12.7% 13.4% 13.4% 14.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 11.0
10-8 13.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 11.8
9-9 12.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 11.5
8-10 10.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 9.7
7-11 7.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
6-12 5.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.1
5-13 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.6 3.6 1.1 87.2 0.0%