San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#262
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#301
Pace74.7#58
Improvement-3.8#358

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#208
First Shot-3.4#268
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#81
Layup/Dunks-3.1#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#76
Freethrows-1.3#255
Improvement-2.3#347

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#317
First Shot+1.0#140
After Offensive Rebounds-5.1#358
Layups/Dunks-2.2#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#124
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-1.4#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.9% 4.9% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 7.7% 15.7% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.2% 17.3% 27.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Home) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 73 - 16
Quad 45 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 167 Idaho St. L 68-71 43%     0 - 1 -6.9 +1.2 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 187 Idaho W 78-74 47%     1 - 1 -1.0 +4.6 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 18 284 Grambling St. W 78-68 65%     2 - 1 +0.3 -2.1 +1.9
  Fri, Nov 21 271 UC Riverside L 71-85 63%     2 - 2 -23.1 -4.6 -19.0
  Tue, Nov 25 130 California Baptist L 61-76 23%     2 - 3 -12.9 -10.1 -2.7
  Sun, Nov 30 286 @Long Beach St. L 72-76 43%     2 - 4 -7.8 +5.1 -13.3
  Fri, Dec 5 185 @San Jose St. L 69-86 25%     2 - 5 -15.8 -6.2 -8.9
  Tue, Dec 9 32 USC L 74-90 6%    
  Sat, Dec 13 263 Northern Arizona W 78-75 61%    
  Fri, Dec 19 102 @UC San Diego L 71-85 11%    
  Mon, Dec 22 57 @Washington L 70-88 5%    
  Sun, Dec 28 139 Pacific L 74-78 35%    
  Tue, Dec 30 4 Gonzaga L 69-93 1%    
  Fri, Jan 2 99 @San Francisco L 70-84 10%    
  Sun, Jan 4 55 @Santa Clara L 71-89 5%    
  Thu, Jan 8 298 Pepperdine W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 139 @Pacific L 71-81 17%    
  Thu, Jan 15 114 @Seattle L 69-81 14%    
  Wed, Jan 21 158 Washington St. L 80-82 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 55 Santa Clara L 74-86 13%    
  Wed, Jan 28 298 @Pepperdine L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 163 Oregon St. L 73-75 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 42 @St. Mary's L 64-84 4%    
  Sat, Feb 7 143 @Loyola Marymount L 69-79 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 270 Portland W 81-78 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 99 San Francisco L 73-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 143 Loyola Marymount L 72-76 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 163 @Oregon St. L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 270 @Portland L 78-81 41%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.0 0.8 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.0 1.4 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.5 7.0 2.3 0.1 15.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 6.4 8.0 2.8 0.2 18.9 10th
11th 0.1 2.3 7.8 7.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 20.7 11th
12th 1.0 4.0 6.0 4.7 1.1 0.1 17.0 12th
Total 1.0 4.2 8.3 13.9 16.1 16.9 14.2 10.8 6.8 4.3 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.4% 0.4
11-7 0.9% 0.9
10-8 2.0% 2.0
9-9 4.3% 4.3
8-10 6.8% 6.8
7-11 10.8% 10.8
6-12 14.2% 14.2
5-13 16.9% 16.9
4-14 16.1% 16.1
3-15 13.9% 13.9
2-16 8.3% 8.3
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%