UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.7 293
Expected Predictive Rating -7.3 284
Pace 68.4 193
Improvement -0.5 206

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #295 C- D D C C
Defense D+ #272 D C+ D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 114 56% 230 +0.5 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 165 37% 185 +0.1 174
Three Pointers 38% 245 33% 217 -2.0 256
1st FG Attempt 0.99 217 -1.4 217
Second Chance 27.3% 272 0.87 343 0.24 332
Turnovers 19.0% 304
Freethrows 0.30 204 73% 171 0.22 191
Total Offense -4.6 295

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 21 61% 265 -5.3 337
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 172 45% 351 -1.6 303
Three Pointers 34% 347 35% 233 +3.1 58
1st FG Attempt 1.10 299 -3.8 299
Second Chance 31.1% 206 0.97 90 0.30 149
Turnovers 15.4% 276
Freethrows 0.33 270 69% 30 0.23 218
Total Defense -3.1 272

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.1 180 +0.5 257
Shot Type Accuracy -1.5 223 +3.2 302
Possession Length 17.9 244 16.5 42
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 318 0.19 243
Improvement -1.7 #285 +1.1 #117

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 32% 16% 38%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 17
Quad 46 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 288 @North Dakota W 74 - 70 38% +5  84% 1 - 0 C -0 D- -6 C+ F F B +6 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 49 @New Mexico L 68 - 82 3% -5  5% 1 - 1 C +0 C+ +3 A F+ D+ D+ -4 C- B- F
 Sat, Nov 15 288 North Dakota L 74 - 76 61% -0  36% 1 - 2 D- -12 F -13 C+ F F C+ +1 F+ A C
 Tue, Nov 18 138 @California Baptist L 57 - 80 13% -15  1% 1 - 3 F -19 F -18 F+ D+ F C+ +1 C+ B D+
 Fri, Nov 21 216 @San Diego W 85 - 71 23% +10  95% 2 - 3 B+ +14 A +11 A+ C+ B+ B- +3 A- D+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 285 Grambling St. W 83 - 74 59% -1  34% 3 - 3 C -1 B+ +7 A+ D C- D- -8 C+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 29 203 @Utah Tech L 69 - 77 22% -4  6% 3 - 4 D+ -8 C +1 B D+ D+ F+ -9 D- D F
 Thu, Dec 4 119 @UC Irvine L 60 - 73 11% -11  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D+ -7 D- -7 F D- B+ C -1 D- A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 265 @Cal Poly W 88 - 84 32% +7  82% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 C+ C A+ D- -7 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 13 21 @BYU L 53 - 100 1% -22  0% 4 - 6 F -26 F -19 D D F D+ -4 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 123 @St. Thomas L 78 - 92 11% -7  27% 4 - 7 D -9 B- +5 B D- C- F -14 F D+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 34 @UCLA L 65 - 97 2% -14  0% 4 - 8 F+ -15 F+ -10 B- F F C- -2 B- F+ C-
 Thu, Jan 1 102 Hawaii L 45 - 88 18% -21  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 F -41 F -21 F F+ C- F -25 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 322 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 66 - 67 48% -0  40% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D -8 F -12 C- F F B- +4 A- F B-
 Sat, Jan 10 139 UC San Diego L 66 - 69 28% +1  47% 4 - 11 1 - 4 C- -5 D+ -3 D B F+ C- -2 D+ C B
 Thu, Jan 15 251 @Long Beach St. L 73 - 88 29% -10  6% 4 - 12 1 - 5 F+ -17 C- -1 F B- A+ F -16 F C F
 Sat, Jan 17 210 Cal St. Fullerton W 81 - 72 43% +9  97% 5 - 12 2 - 5 C+ +3 D+ -4 B+ F D- B+ +6 A+ C+ B
 Thu, Jan 22 119 UC Irvine L 66 - 80 23% -10  0% 5 - 13 2 - 6 D- -14 D -6 D- C D D- -8 D- D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 180 @UC Davis L 66 - 74 19% -10  0% 5 - 14 2 - 7 D+ -6 D- -7 F+ B- C- C+ +0 D- B C+
 Thu, Jan 29 251 Long Beach St. W 71 - 61 51% +0  47% 6 - 14 3 - 7 C+ +2 D- -8 D C- D+ A- +10 A- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 265 Cal Poly L 87 - 94 55% -2  23% 6 - 15 3 - 8 F+ -16 C +1 B- C+ F F -16 F C- F
 Thu, Feb 5 210 @Cal St. Fullerton L 72 - 78 23% +1  47% 6 - 16 3 - 9 D+ -6 D- -7 D- F A+ C+ +2 B B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 186 @Cal St. Northridge L 74 - 88 19% -3  25% 6 - 17 3 - 10 D- -13 D+ -4 D C- D D- -8 F D- D
 Thu, Feb 12 133 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 76 27%
 Sat, Feb 14 139 @UC San Diego L 65 - 77 13%
 Thu, Feb 19 322 Cal St. Bakersfield W 77 - 72 70%
 Sat, Feb 21 180 UC Davis L 73 - 76 38%
 Thu, Feb 26 133 @UC Santa Barbara L 67 - 79 12%
 Sat, Feb 28 186 Cal St. Northridge L 78 - 81 39%
 Fri, Mar 6 102 @Hawaii L 64 - 80 8%
Totals 8 - 22 5 - 15 -8 D+ -5 C- D D D+ -3 D C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C- C- 41% 21% 38% C C- D+ D- D D C C C D+ D+ F+ C- D 45% 21% 34% D+ D C B- C+ D+ D+ B+ C-
1.02 56% 37% 33% -2 0 0.99 27% 0.9 .24 19% .30 73% .22 1.13 61% 45% 35% +3 0 1.10 31% 1.0 .30 15% .33 69% .21
Nov
6		 North Dakota D- B A+ F C 59% 7% 34% A C+ F D F F A+ A+ A+ B D+ F B F 44% 16% 40% C- F+ B A+ A+ C- F+ A+ B-
1.05 67% 67% 29% +4 +3 1.17 17% 1.0 .17 27% .52 81% .43 0.99 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 24% 0.6 .15 14% .40 50% .20
Nov
11		 New Mexico C+ F F A+ A 22% 24% 54% D+ A F C F+ D+ D+ A+ B- D+ F C- A C- 51% 18% 32% C C- B+ D+ B- F B- A+ B+
1.02 30% 27% 52% +6 -2 1.11 16% 1.0 .16 21% .25 92% .23 1.23 72% 40% 28% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.1 .29 8% .28 65% .18
Nov
15		 North Dakota F C+ A+ C+ C+ 40% 6% 53% B- C+ F+ F F F C+ F D+ C+ D+ A+ D- D- 49% 10% 41% F+ F+ B A+ A C A+ A+ A+
1.00 63% 67% 36% +6 +2 1.17 27% 0.9 .23 28% .39 62% .24 1.02 59% 17% 38% 0 +2 1.07 24% 0.7 .17 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
18		 California Baptist F F B+ F F 46% 21% 33% C+ F+ B F D+ F F+ D- F C+ B+ F A+ B- 64% 20% 16% F+ C+ F A+ B D+ D A- C-
0.75 42% 45% 24% -11 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 29% .24 69% .17 1.05 47% 55% 22% -7 +2 0.93 47% 0.6 .29 16% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 San Diego A B- D+ A+ A+ 49% 18% 33% B- A+ C B C+ B+ A D A- B- C A+ B+ A 41% 12% 47% F A- F+ C+ D+ D+ F C F
1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30 1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25
Nov
24		 Grambling St. B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C A+ F B+ D C- A+ B+ A+ D- A+ F B- C 41% 27% 33% B- C+ B+ F C- F F B F
1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43 1.07 40% 54% 31% -4 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38
Nov
29		 Utah Tech C A A+ D- B+ 39% 22% 39% D B D+ C- D+ D+ B- D+ C+ F+ C+ F D+ D- 49% 22% 29% C- D- A F D F F F F
1.09 72% 50% 28% +5 0 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 17% .32 71% .23 1.22 58% 64% 36% +7 +1 1.16 22% 1.4 .30 11% .32 83% .27
Dec
4		 UC Irvine D- F F F+ F 50% 15% 35% A F C- F D- B+ A+ D A+ C A+ F F D- 46% 20% 34% F+ D- A+ D+ A- C- F B- F
0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33 1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30
Dec
6		 Cal Poly B+ A A F C+ 48% 19% 33% C+ C+ D A C A+ A- F+ B D- F F C F 45% 6% 49% D F C A+ A D- F D+ F
1.23 73% 50% 22% +4 +1 1.11 27% 1.3 .36 7% .36 67% .24 1.18 68% 67% 33% +6 +2 1.18 30% 0.6 .18 18% .45 81% .36
Dec
13		 BYU F D- D- D D 19% 37% 44% D- D F A- D F F F F D+ F D- F F 35% 31% 35% B+ F C+ A+ A+ C F+ A+ B+
0.70 50% 30% 29% -8 -4 0.80 17% 1.3 .22 24% .09 20% .02 1.33 95% 47% 47% +22 -2 1.44 36% 0.7 .25 13% .40 50% .20
Dec
20		 St. Thomas B- A F A+ B+ 43% 22% 35% D+ B D+ F+ D- C- C+ A+ A F D+ F F F 50% 20% 30% B- F A+ F D+ F C F D
1.13 71% 18% 41% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 19% .28 94% .27 1.33 67% 55% 50% +15 +1 1.33 9% 2.5 .22 9% .30 84% .25
Dec
23		 UCLA F+ A- C F B 45% 28% 28% C B- C- F F F A+ D A C- D- D+ B+ B- 33% 33% 33% B- B- C+ F F+ C- D F F+
0.83 67% 38% 23% 0 0 1.00 28% 0.1 .03 28% .41 70% .29 1.24 68% 42% 32% +4 -2 1.05 32% 1.5 .47 13% .38 85% .32
Jan
1		 Hawaii F F+ F F F 56% 16% 29% A- F F C F+ C- C- C C- F D+ F F F 47% 8% 45% D- F F B- F C A- A+ A+
0.71 44% 14% 15% -19 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19 1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14
Jan
8		 Cal St. Bakersfield F F C+ A+ C- 42% 18% 40% C C- F F F F F+ F F B- D+ A+ F B 24% 57% 18% A+ A- F D- F B- C- C- C-
0.94 33% 44% 50% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.6 .13 23% .30 63% .19 0.96 58% 18% 44% -9 -6 0.73 41% 1.1 .46 21% .36 75% .27
Jan
10		 UC San Diego D+ C- B- F D 27% 24% 49% D D B B- B F+ A+ A+ A+ C- F D+ A+ D+ 49% 12% 39% D+ D+ D B C B F C F
1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33 1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32
Jan
15		 Long Beach St. C- C- F F F 48% 22% 30% C+ F B D+ B- A+ B- B B F D F F F 41% 33% 25% C- F C- C+ C F D- B D
1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 0 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31 1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23
Jan
17		 Cal St. Fullerton D+ A- A+ C+ A- 34% 26% 40% D- B+ F+ F F D- B+ A+ A B+ D B- A+ A+ 39% 21% 39% C A+ C+ C+ C+ B F C F
1.04 71% 54% 35% +9 -1 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 22% .36 82% .30 0.93 64% 33% 14% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.9 .21 18% .49 71% .35
Jan
22		 UC Irvine D F A+ F F+ 45% 13% 42% A- D- B- D+ C D B- A+ A D- D+ F A+ D- 47% 19% 34% F D- F A+ D+ B+ F D+ F
0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26 1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39
Jan
24		 UC Davis D- F D+ D- F 48% 6% 46% A- F+ D+ A+ B- C- C+ F F+ C+ D+ B+ F D- 43% 23% 34% C- D- C+ A- B C+ F A D-
0.96 46% 33% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.3 .36 19% .34 53% .18 1.08 63% 30% 47% +7 0 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 19% .45 68% .31
Jan
29		 Long Beach St. D- B+ C F D- 37% 20% 43% C D A- F C- D+ A+ F B+ A- A- F A+ A 48% 26% 26% F A- F B+ D+ A+ F A+ D+
1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32 0.88 50% 50% 17% -7 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal Poly C C A+ C+ B+ 35% 31% 33% F B- A+ F C+ F A+ F A+ F F F C- F 52% 6% 43% F+ F F+ B C- F D+ D D
1.17 61% 56% 35% +8 -2 1.14 54% 0.7 .38 24% .46 65% .30 1.26 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 38% 0.8 .31 16% .34 81% .27
Feb
5		 Cal St. Fullerton D- D- C D+ D- 34% 21% 45% D+ D- F F F A+ F+ F F C+ B+ A+ C+ A 62% 10% 29% F B A D+ B+ D F F F
0.95 52% 38% 32% -3 0 0.95 14% 0.7 .09 12% .24 56% .14 1.03 50% 20% 33% -7 +3 0.94 17% 1.0 .17 13% .49 84% .41
Feb
7		 Cal St. Northridge D+ C- B F+ D 25% 13% 63% C D A- F C- D F A+ D+ D- D+ F+ F F 62% 17% 21% D- F B F D- D D A+ B+
1.02 57% 43% 29% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.9 .30 18% .22 92% .20 1.21 61% 44% 55% +9 +2 1.25 29% 1.3 .39 15% .36 45% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.0 8th
9th 0.3 4.8 10.9 4.6 0.4 0.0 21.0 9th
10th 1.2 17.4 26.2 11.5 1.2 0.0 57.5 10th
11th 6.2 7.8 1.9 0.1 15.9 11th
Total 7.4 25.5 33.0 23.7 8.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.3% 0.3
8-12 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
7-13 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
6-14 23.7% 23.7
5-15 33.0% 33.0
4-16 25.5% 25.5
3-17 7.4% 7.4
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.4%