IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#261
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.0	#232

Pace	79.0	#13
Improvement	+1.1	#107

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#254

First Shot	-4.5	#294
After Offensive Rebound	+1.3	#103

Layup/Dunks	+1.4	#134
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.5	#304
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.8	#237
Freethrows	-1.6	#282

Improvement	-1.4	#292

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#239

First Shot	+1.7	#111
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.9	#348

Layups/Dunks	+0.9	#143
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.7	#141
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#220
Freethrows	+1.1	#119

Improvement	+2.5	#23

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.4%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.6	15.1

.500 or above	15.5%	23.5%	8.3%
.500 or above in Conference	28.9%	34.3%	24.1%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	10.9%	8.3%	13.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.9%	1.3%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Home) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 6	12 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Thu, Nov 6	98 @Northern Iowa	L	57-86	11%	0 - 1			-20.8	-10.2	-9.9
Sun, Nov 9	337 @North Dakota	W	93-85	59%	1 - 1			+0.2	+10.5	-10.9
Tue, Nov 11	155 @North Dakota St.	L	68-90	22%	1 - 2			-19.2	-10.7	-5.7
Sun, Nov 16	147 Troy	W	94-85	38%	2 - 2			+6.7	+17.0	-10.7
Wed, Nov 26	173 Idaho	L	64-78	34%	2 - 3			-15.1	-14.6	+0.1
Fri, Nov 28	168 Idaho St.	L	50-82	33%	2 - 4			-32.8	-26.8	-3.7
Thu, Dec 4	295 Cal St. Bakersfield	W	87-66	69%	3 - 4	1 - 0		+10.6	+4.0	+5.4
Sat, Dec 6	120 @UC Irvine	L	71-85	15%	3 - 5	1 - 1		-8.1	+6.8	-15.0
Wed, Dec 10	183 Fresno St.	L	79-80	47%
Sat, Dec 13	296 @Delaware	L	76-77	47%
Mon, Dec 22	278 Sacramento St.	W	83-79	63%
Sat, Dec 27	85 @Stanford	L	73-88	9%
Thu, Jan 1	170 @UC Davis	L	72-79	24%
Sat, Jan 3	141 UC Santa Barbara	L	77-81	37%
Thu, Jan 8	252 Cal Poly	W	89-86	60%
Sat, Jan 10	303 @Cal St. Fullerton	L	86-87	49%
Thu, Jan 15	103 @UC San Diego	L	73-86	11%
Sat, Jan 17	280 Long Beach St.	W	79-75	64%
Sun, Jan 25	104 @Hawaii	L	71-84	13%
Thu, Jan 29	170 UC Davis	L	75-76	45%
Sat, Jan 31	103 UC San Diego	L	76-83	26%
Thu, Feb 5	252 @Cal Poly	L	86-89	39%
Sat, Feb 7	258 UC Riverside	W	79-76	60%
Sat, Feb 14	104 Hawaii	L	74-81	27%
Thu, Feb 19	141 @UC Santa Barbara	L	74-84	20%
Sat, Feb 21	280 @Long Beach St.	L	76-78	43%
Thu, Feb 26	120 UC Irvine	L	71-76	32%
Sat, Feb 28	258 @UC Riverside	L	76-79	39%
Thu, Mar 5	295 @Cal St. Bakersfield	L	79-80	47%
Sat, Mar 7	303 Cal St. Fullerton	W	90-84	69%
Projected Record					12 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.1	0.0						3.5	3rd
4th										0.1	0.9	2.3	2.4	1.0	0.1	0.0							6.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.0	4.4	3.9	1.3	0.2	0.0								12.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	3.0	6.3	4.3	1.3	0.2	0.0									15.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.6	3.6	6.7	4.4	1.1	0.1											16.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	3.5	6.3	3.7	0.7	0.0												14.8	8th
9th				0.1	0.6	3.2	5.6	3.2	0.6	0.0													13.2	9th
10th			0.1	0.7	2.8	3.9	2.1	0.4	0.0														10.0	10th
11th		0.2	0.8	1.8	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0															5.8	11th

Total		0.2	0.9	2.5	5.4	8.5	12.1	13.9	14.2	13.5	10.7	7.9	4.9	3.0	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0					Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	88.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-4	63.0%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
15-5	23.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	6.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.6%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
17-3	0.1%																		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-4	0.2%		16.7%	16.7%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
15-5	0.6%		14.6%	14.6%		14.0														0.0	0.1	0.0		0.5
14-6	1.5%		7.9%	7.9%		14.1														0.0	0.1	0.0		1.4
13-7	3.0%		5.0%	5.0%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.8
12-8	4.9%		3.4%	3.4%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	4.8
11-9	7.9%		2.2%	2.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.7
10-10	10.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.0	10.6
9-11	13.5%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	13.4
8-12	14.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	14.1
7-13	13.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
6-14	12.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-15	8.5%																							8.5
4-16	5.4%																							5.4
3-17	2.5%																							2.5
2-18	0.9%																							0.9
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	99.0		0.0%