Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#275
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#307
Pace67.4#241
Improvement+1.8#76

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#211
First Shot-0.8#193
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#234
Layup/Dunks-0.5#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#263
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement+3.4#9

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#321
First Shot-6.2#350
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#57
Layups/Dunks-1.6#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#131
Freethrows-3.1#342
Improvement-1.6#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 1.8% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 14.1% 19.7% 6.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.0% 15.9% 35.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 102 - 16
Quad 47 - 69 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 52 @San Diego St. L 45-77 5%     0 - 1 -19.1 -21.8 +3.2
  Sat, Nov 8 184 @Fresno St. L 62-82 24%     0 - 2 -18.7 -11.2 -7.0
  Wed, Nov 12 138 @Pacific L 66-69 16%     0 - 3 +1.7 -3.2 +4.8
  Sun, Nov 16 82 Illinois St. L 80-82 17%     0 - 4 +1.9 +10.5 -8.7
  Fri, Nov 21 168 Montana St. L 72-78 40%     0 - 5 -9.6 -0.9 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 256 @Portland L 73-93 35%     0 - 6 -22.3 -1.9 -20.0
  Sun, Nov 30 260 San Diego W 76-72 59%     1 - 6 -4.5 +6.7 -10.7
  Thu, Dec 4 150 @UC Santa Barbara L 77-84 OT 18%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -3.3 -0.6 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 83 UC San Diego L 74-80 17%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -2.1 +5.0 -7.3
  Tue, Dec 9 197 @San Jose St. L 83-89 OT 26%     1 - 9 -5.3 +7.7 -13.0
  Thu, Dec 18 262 Pepperdine W 81-78 60%     2 - 9 -5.6 +6.1 -11.7
  Sun, Dec 21 3 @Iowa St. L 60-91 1%     2 - 10 -5.8 -2.7 -1.6
  Sat, Jan 3 257 Cal Poly W 83-81 58%    
  Thu, Jan 8 131 @UC Irvine L 66-77 15%    
  Sat, Jan 10 305 Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-72 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 272 UC Riverside W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Jan 17 212 @Cal St. Northridge L 77-83 29%    
  Thu, Jan 22 242 @Cal St. Fullerton L 79-83 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 150 UC Santa Barbara L 72-76 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 272 @UC Riverside L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 109 Hawaii L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Feb 5 83 @UC San Diego L 68-84 7%    
  Thu, Feb 12 242 Cal St. Fullerton W 82-80 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 176 @UC Davis L 71-79 23%    
  Thu, Feb 19 131 UC Irvine L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 212 Cal St. Northridge W 80-79 51%    
  Thu, Feb 26 257 @Cal Poly L 80-84 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 305 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 74-75 47%    
  Thu, Mar 5 176 UC Davis L 74-76 43%    
  Sun, Mar 8 109 @Hawaii L 65-78 12%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 7.1 4.4 0.7 0.0 16.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.4 6.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 17.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.6 4.6 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 15.2 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.7 5.8 9.5 13.2 15.5 15.0 13.1 10.1 6.6 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 5.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 13.9% 13.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 10.0% 10.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 1.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-8 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-9 3.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.8
10-10 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.6
9-11 10.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.1
8-12 13.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.1
7-13 15.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.9
6-14 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-15 13.2% 13.2
4-16 9.5% 9.5
3-17 5.8% 5.8
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%