Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.1 216
Results Rating -1.5 187
Consistency 0.17 293
Pace 70.3 127
Improvement -1.2 226

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 236 C C+ D- C C+
Defense C 201 C C- C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 102 B- 62% 86 +3.4 63
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 153 C- 37% 212 -0.6 210
Three Pointers 39% 223 D 31% 307 -3.1 280
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 144 C -0.5 188
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 178
Second Chance C- 28.9% 225 B+ 1.16 34 C+ 0.34 119
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 320
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 326
Turnovers D- 19.7% 335
Freethrows C 0.30 197 B- 74% 123 C 0.22 167
Total Offense C- -2.4 236

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A+ 70% 2 A- 6.9% 18
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 75 C 4.9% 184
Three Pointers C 85% 174 B 0.3% 40
Total A- 68% 12 B+ 3.9% 25


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 C 58% 178 -1.5 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 272 A- 31% 9 -2.3 22
Three Pointers 46% 36 C- 35% 240 +3.6 328
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 203 C -0.4 161
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 167
Second Chance C- 31.8% 250 C- 1.06 238 C- 0.34 251
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 258
Other Turnovers B+ 8.7% 34
Turnovers C 17.1% 150
Freethrows C+ 0.29 165 C- 74% 261 C 0.22 175
Total Defense C -0.7 201

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 342 C 11.4% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 42% 353 D+ 3.6% 253
Three Pointers F 93% 362 C- 0.6% 226
Total F 69% 358 C- 5.0% 215

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 137 17.3 188
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 262 0.19 246
Consistency 0.14 301 0.13 243
Improvement +1.3 126 -2.5 304

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 224 214 198
Results Rating Rank 207 202 168
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 71 - 11
Quad 35 - 56 - 16
Quad 46 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 74 86% +10  92% 1 - 0 D+ -6 F -13 D F F B+ +6 A F+ A
 Sun, Nov 9 175 UC Davis W 67 - 63 54% -0  49% 2 - 0 C -0 F+ -10 F+ D+ F A +10 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 101 @Wyoming L 56 - 93 16% -16  1% 2 - 1 F -29 F -17 F F+ D+ F -12 C F D
 Fri, Nov 21 203 Cal St. Fullerton W 103 - 85 59% +13  94% 3 - 1 B+ +13 A +13 A+ A+ B- C- -3 F A- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 149 Northern Colorado L 80 - 86 OT 48% -2  14% 3 - 2 D -8 D- -8 D- A+ F C +0 B D D-
 Sun, Nov 23 112 St. Thomas L 66 - 76 37% -5  1% 3 - 3 D -10 F -12 C A- F B- +2 A- F+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 268 Long Beach St. W 93 - 73 71% +11  94% 4 - 3 B +11 A- +11 A+ C F C -0 B- C- C+
 Mon, Dec 1 66 @Stanford L 72 - 94 9% -14  7% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +3 A B F F -13 D F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 152 Kent St. W 88 - 78 48% +0  46% 5 - 4 B- +7 D+ -3 B+ D+ F+ A +9 A- D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 82 @Oregon L 69 - 94 12% -11  2% 5 - 5 F+ -15 D- -8 D+ C+ F D+ -4 F B- B-
 Mon, Dec 22 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 61 - 79 24% -11  8% 5 - 6 D- -14 F+ -8 F A+ F D- -7 F D+ B
 Sun, Dec 28 128 Washington St. L 62 - 67 41% -3  21% 5 - 7 0 - 1 D+ -6 F -15 F A A+ A +9 A A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 30 43 Santa Clara L 85 - 92 12% -1  49% 5 - 8 0 - 2 C+ +2 A- +10 A+ A C D- -8 F+ B+ A-
 Fri, Jan 2 31 @St. Mary's L 57 - 78 4% -14  1% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C- -3 D+ -3 F+ C+ B- C- -2 D- A- C
 Sun, Jan 4 122 @San Francisco L 68 - 73 20% +4  69% 5 - 10 0 - 4 C +1 D+ -3 B- F F B +4 A D+ C-
 Thu, Jan 8 127 Pacific W 90 - 89 OT 40% +4  74% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C +1 A- +11 A- A+ F F -11 C C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 160 Oregon St. W 82 - 76 50% -2  33% 7 - 10 2 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 C B+ A- D- -7 C- B+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 270 @Pepperdine L 63 - 67 50% -0  43% 7 - 11 2 - 5 D+ -7 F -12 F F+ D+ B +5 C+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 156 @Loyola Marymount W 71 - 58 27% +11  90% 8 - 11 3 - 5 A- +16 C- -1 C+ D D+ A+ +17 A+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 24 31 St. Mary's L 69 - 75 9% -4  1% 8 - 12 3 - 6 B- +6 B- +5 B- B+ B- C -0 D+ A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 127 @Pacific L 51 - 74 21% -15  2% 8 - 13 3 - 7 F+ -17 F -16 F F F D+ -4 C+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 128 @Washington St. L 74 - 104 22% -15  3% 8 - 14 3 - 8 F -25 D+ -3 D- A+ B F -21 F F F
 Wed, Feb 4 11 Gonzaga W 87 - 80 5% +6  94% 9 - 14 4 - 8 A +23 A+ +15 A+ B+ D A- +7 A+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 117 Seattle W 54 - 53 38% -4  26% 10 - 14 5 - 8 C +1 F+ -9 F A+ B- A +10 A- B- A+
 Wed, Feb 11 238 @San Diego L 58 - 71 43% -2  46% 10 - 15 5 - 9 D- -14 F -14 F C F C- -2 F A B
 Wed, Feb 18 270 Pepperdine L 87 - 95 72% +1  41% 10 - 16 5 - 10 F+ -17 B +7 A+ F+ D+ F -24 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 117 @Seattle L 59 - 71 19% -8  0% 10 - 17 5 - 11 D+ -6 D -6 D+ D F C -0 A- D+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 11 @Gonzaga L 48 - 89 2% -16  8% 10 - 18 5 - 12 F -19 F -14 F+ B- F D -6 D- C- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 238 San Diego W 87 - 74 66% -2  30% 11 - 18 6 - 12 B- +6 B +7 A F A+ C- -2 F A+ A-
 Thu, Mar 5 270 Pepperdine W 77 - 74 61%
Totals 12 - 18 6 - 12 -3 C- -2 F C C+ C -1 D B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C- D C 42% 40% 39% C+ C C- B+ C+ D- C B- C C C A- C- C 36% 18% 46% C- C C- C- C- C C+ C- C
1.05 62% 37% 31% -1 0 1.02 29% 1.2 .34 20% .30 74% .22 1.10 58% 31% 35% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .34 17% .29 74% .22
Nov
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F B+ C+ F D- 42% 9% 49% B D F B+ F F A+ B- A+ B+ B+ A+ B A+ 36% 18% 46% D- A B- F F+ A F F F
1.01 68% 40% 23% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.3 .29 23% .50 78% .39 0.90 50% 11% 30% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.3 .32 23% .43 89% .38
Nov
9		 UC Davis F+ D- F C F 38% 19% 43% D+ F+ C+ D- D+ F A+ C- A A A+ F A+ A+ 25% 16% 59% C+ A+ F C F A B C B
0.96 50% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .27 24% .42 73% .30 0.91 38% 50% 23% -13 0 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 23% .30 75% .22
Nov
15		 Wyoming F D+ F+ F F 56% 23% 21% C F D F F+ D+ A+ F A- F F A+ C+ C 40% 12% 47% C C F F F D B F+ C+
0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31 1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23
Nov
21		 Cal St. Fullerton A B+ A A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% B- A+ D A+ A+ B- D D+ D C- D C F F 38% 14% 48% D- F C- A+ A- C+ B A+ A+
1.32 69% 50% 50% +16 +1 1.36 24% 2.5 .60 17% .26 71% .18 1.09 64% 38% 43% +8 +1 1.21 26% 0.6 .16 17% .28 50% .14
Nov
22		 Northern Colorado D- C+ B- F F+ 48% 12% 40% B D- B- A+ A+ F F C- F C C+ F A+ B+ 43% 15% 43% D+ B A+ F D D- D+ F F+
0.99 59% 43% 17% -10 +2 0.87 30% 1.6 .48 17% .24 75% .18 1.07 58% 56% 27% -2 +1 1.00 17% 2.0 .34 14% .26 89% .23
Nov
23		 St. Thomas F C- D C C 47% 18% 35% C+ C B B+ A- F F F F B- C A+ B A 34% 4% 63% C- A- C- F F+ D C F D+
0.92 58% 33% 33% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.3 .45 28% .14 57% .08 1.06 63% 0% 31% -2 +2 1.02 22% 1.4 .30 13% .29 78% .22
Nov
26		 Long Beach St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 70% 11% 19% A+ A+ F A+ C F D+ A+ B C C- B- A B+ 34% 17% 49% F B- C- D+ C- C+ F+ B D-
1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30 1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24
Dec
1		 Stanford C+ A C- A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D A C A B F A+ B A+ F C A+ F D 44% 4% 53% D D C F F D- C+ B B-
1.04 69% 36% 42% +7 -2 1.12 27% 1.3 .35 26% .47 79% .37 1.35 58% 0% 41% +5 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 12% .33 70% .23
Dec
14		 Kent St. D+ A- A- C- B+ 47% 18% 35% B- B+ F+ B+ D+ F+ C- F+ D A C- A+ A+ A 45% 18% 37% D+ A- D- C D A+ F F F
1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21 0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42
Dec
17		 Oregon D- B+ F F D 40% 21% 40% B+ D+ D A C+ F D+ B C- D+ F A+ F F 34% 14% 52% C F B+ D+ B- B- D+ F F+
0.88 61% 25% 26% -6 0 0.90 25% 1.1 .28 22% .23 79% .18 1.19 70% 25% 43% +10 +1 1.22 30% 1.2 .36 19% .36 83% .30
Dec
22		 UC Santa Barbara F+ C- D- F F 50% 19% 31% B F B A+ A+ F F F F D- F A+ F F 34% 11% 55% D F D+ D+ D+ B A+ A+ A+
0.96 58% 33% 13% -10 +1 0.83 31% 1.6 .50 22% .22 64% .14 1.24 81% 20% 46% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.1 .37 20% .18 56% .10
Dec
28		 Washington St. F F F F F 36% 18% 45% B- F C+ A+ A A+ A+ F C+ A C+ A+ C- A+ 33% 18% 49% C+ A B- A+ A+ C+ F A- F
0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22 0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34
Dec
30		 Santa Clara A- A+ A B+ A+ 43% 18% 39% C A+ A B- A C D- F F D- D F F+ F 33% 24% 43% A- F+ F A+ B+ A- D- F F
1.19 86% 44% 37% +15 +1 1.33 40% 1.1 .44 21% .28 63% .18 1.29 67% 69% 39% +14 -1 1.28 46% 0.8 .36 20% .30 82% .24
Jan
2		 St. Mary's D+ D+ A F F+ 46% 25% 29% C+ F+ A F C+ B- B- A+ A- C- F A+ F F+ 31% 18% 51% C+ D- A C A- C F+ B+ D
0.89 50% 46% 7% -14 0 0.75 33% 0.7 .23 14% .27 87% .24 1.22 71% 25% 43% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 16% .39 76% .30
Jan
4		 San Francisco D+ A+ A+ F B 32% 21% 47% C- B- D- F F F A+ A- A+ B A- A+ C A+ 33% 14% 53% C- A F A+ D+ C- F A+ F
1.01 73% 60% 23% +2 -1 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 25% .38 79% .30 1.08 50% 0% 35% -7 0 0.88 50% 0.8 .38 15% .59 62% .36
Jan
8		 Pacific A- B F A+ A 20% 39% 41% F A- A+ A A+ F D+ A+ B- F B- A F C+ 45% 20% 35% D+ C F A- C- F F F F
1.23 64% 24% 55% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.2 .46 19% .30 83% .25 1.21 52% 30% 44% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 14% .41 85% .35
Jan
10		 Oregon St. A- B+ F D C 40% 17% 43% C C B- A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ D- D+ D- C+ D+ 37% 24% 39% B C- B+ B- B+ F+ F C+ F
1.24 63% 25% 30% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.2 .42 11% .58 88% .51 1.15 59% 45% 33% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.2 .26 14% .58 76% .44
Jan
14		 Pepperdine F B+ F F F 38% 9% 53% C+ F C+ F F+ D+ F D- F B D A+ B+ B- 36% 18% 45% D+ C+ B- F F C+ F A+ C
0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11 0.99 63% 25% 30% -4 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22
Jan
17		 Loyola Marymount C- D- D A+ B- 38% 30% 32% C- C+ D C- D D+ B+ C+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 21% 31% 48% A A+ B- F+ C A- D- F F
1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26 0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26
Jan
24		 St. Mary's B- C- F A- B- 43% 24% 33% C+ B- C- A+ B+ B- A- A+ A+ C B C- F C- 46% 17% 37% D D+ B A+ A+ B C- F D-
1.06 52% 25% 38% -4 0 0.94 21% 1.4 .30 14% .30 88% .27 1.15 52% 38% 47% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.7 .24 18% .34 89% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pacific F F C+ F F 31% 13% 56% A F D- F F F A+ C- A+ D+ D F A+ C+ 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ C- F F D+ B- A- B
0.80 33% 40% 27% -13 0 0.77 19% 0.7 .13 22% .56 68% .38 1.16 62% 50% 27% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.5 .55 19% .25 69% .17
Jan
31		 Washington St. D+ F A+ F F+ 40% 26% 34% C D- B+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- F F+ A+ F F 39% 13% 48% D F D+ F F F C- F D-
1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27 1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25
Feb
4		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% A A+ B+ B+ B+ D A- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C+ A+ 32% 21% 47% C- A+ B- D+ C+ D+ F C+ F
1.18 73% 60% 47% +18 +1 1.38 30% 1.0 .30 23% .35 80% .28 1.08 50% 33% 33% -4 -1 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .40 69% .28
Feb
7		 Seattle F+ F F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F B- A+ A+ B- F A F+ A D- A+ A- A- 28% 16% 56% B A- F+ A+ B- A+ B- C B-
0.86 39% 29% 19% -19 +2 0.67 34% 1.4 .49 19% .20 80% .16 0.85 67% 14% 29% -6 0 0.91 31% 0.6 .19 24% .27 69% .19
Feb
11		 San Diego F A A- F F 40% 18% 42% C F F A+ C F D- A+ B C- A+ D- F F 33% 22% 45% C+ F F+ A+ A B A- A+ A
0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29 1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10
Feb
18		 Pepperdine B A+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 15% 30% B- A+ F A+ F+ D+ B+ F C F A C F F 31% 22% 47% C+ F F F F F F B- F+
1.25 76% 50% 44% +16 +2 1.38 16% 1.5 .24 17% .31 61% .19 1.36 44% 36% 54% +9 -1 1.20 44% 1.6 .72 13% .38 74% .28
Feb
21		 Seattle D A+ F F C- 27% 22% 51% D+ D+ F A+ D F A+ A+ A+ C A+ D- D- A- 34% 14% 52% C A- D C- D+ D F F F
0.86 70% 25% 26% -6 -1 0.89 15% 1.5 .22 28% .58 83% .48 1.03 29% 43% 38% -6 +1 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 15% .38 77% .29
Feb
25		 Gonzaga F A+ F F D- 17% 38% 45% F F+ B+ D+ B- F C- A+ B- D F F C D- 28% 11% 60% F+ D- B- D- C- C+ A+ F B+
0.71 71% 25% 21% -12 -4 0.71 30% 0.8 .24 33% .26 83% .22 1.32 87% 67% 34% +12 0 1.26 33% 1.3 .43 15% .19 82% .16
Feb
28		 San Diego B B- A+ A A 48% 15% 37% B A D+ F F A+ D A- C- C- F F+ F F 39% 24% 37% C F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ B- A
1.26 65% 63% 40% +10 +1 1.26 31% 0.6 .17 10% .31 79% .24 1.07 71% 46% 45% +13 0 1.28 15% 0.0 .00 22% .13 71% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.1%
Lose Out 69.5%