Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#107
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#114
Pace71.3#140
Improvement-0.3#213

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot-0.2#184
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#62
Layup/Dunks+1.3#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#238
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+1.1#91

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#96
First Shot+1.4#123
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#109
Layups/Dunks-1.7#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.3#2
Freethrows-8.0#365
Improvement-1.4#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.4% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 11.9
.500 or above 80.3% 82.7% 61.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 58.4% 45.9%
Conference Champion 3.5% 3.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round4.0% 4.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 35 - 38 - 13
Quad 411 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 303 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 92%     1 - 0 -1.0 -1.8 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 11 180 Austin Peay W 79-65 80%     2 - 0 +9.5 -0.9 +9.2
  Sat, Nov 15 275 Portland W 93-56 89%     3 - 0 +28.0 +15.1 +12.6
  Wed, Nov 19 126 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 46%     3 - 1 -2.7 -2.5 +0.0
  Sun, Nov 23 218 Norfolk St. W 75-67 85%     4 - 1 +1.4 +6.0 -4.2
  Wed, Nov 26 294 Denver W 101-59 91%     5 - 1 +31.6 +17.1 +14.3
  Sun, Nov 30 29 @Texas Tech L 72-76 13%     5 - 2 +12.7 +8.9 +3.7
  Sat, Dec 6 268 Dartmouth W 93-80 88%     6 - 2 +4.4 +12.5 -8.6
  Tue, Dec 9 270 South Dakota W 87-74 89%    
  Mon, Dec 15 153 South Dakota St. W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Dec 20 99 Grand Canyon W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 331 @Air Force W 75-64 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 84 @New Mexico L 76-81 31%    
  Tue, Jan 6 132 UNLV W 84-79 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 106 @Nevada L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 56 San Diego St. L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 @Fresno St. W 77-74 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 52 Boise St. L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 182 San Jose St. W 76-67 79%    
  Wed, Jan 28 51 @Utah St. L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 72 Colorado St. L 74-75 47%    
  Tue, Feb 3 56 @San Diego St. L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 51 Utah St. L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 72 @Colorado St. L 71-78 27%    
  Tue, Feb 17 183 Fresno St. W 80-71 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 99 @Grand Canyon L 71-75 36%    
  Tue, Feb 24 52 @Boise St. L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 331 Air Force W 78-61 94%    
  Tue, Mar 3 106 Nevada W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 182 @San Jose St. W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.3 4.7 0.9 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 5.3 5.1 1.1 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.1 1.3 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.9 5.3 8.1 11.2 13.4 13.6 12.9 10.7 8.6 5.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 88.6% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 67.0% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 34.0% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 47.6% 28.6% 19.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.7%
17-3 0.7% 33.6% 21.8% 11.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 15.1%
16-4 1.5% 23.3% 18.8% 4.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 5.6%
15-5 3.0% 16.6% 15.6% 1.0% 11.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 2.5 1.2%
14-6 5.6% 12.3% 11.4% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.9 0.9%
13-7 8.6% 7.2% 7.0% 0.1% 11.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 8.0 0.1%
12-8 10.7% 5.4% 5.4% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.1
11-9 12.9% 3.5% 3.5% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.5
10-10 13.6% 1.9% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.3
9-11 13.4% 1.1% 1.1% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
8-12 11.2% 0.9% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.1
7-13 8.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 8.0
6-14 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-16 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 3.8% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.9 0.3%