Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#98
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#147
Pace65.2#294
Improvement-1.5#280

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#108
First Shot-2.6#241
After Offensive Rebound+5.3#3
Layup/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#229
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement-0.2#190

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#94
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#89
Freethrows+2.3#46
Improvement-1.4#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 16.3% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.9 12.3
.500 or above 91.4% 96.5% 87.5%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 94.2% 81.4%
Conference Champion 17.7% 27.1% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round13.4% 16.3% 11.2%
Second Round2.2% 2.9% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 43 - 7
Quad 35 - 59 - 12
Quad 411 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 232 UNC Asheville W 75-58 88%     1 - 0 +9.6 +1.1 +9.2
  Sat, Nov 8 320 Prairie View W 105-62 94%     2 - 0 +30.5 +17.0 +9.6
  Thu, Nov 13 270 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 91%     3 - 0 +12.1 +22.3 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 18 51 @Boise St. L 59-62 23%     3 - 1 +10.1 -0.5 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 22 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 86%     4 - 1 +10.8 +0.5 +11.0
  Wed, Nov 26 44 St. Mary's L 65-70 27%     4 - 2 +6.7 +0.8 +5.9
  Thu, Nov 27 91 Colorado St. L 70-76 48%     4 - 3 +0.1 +8.9 -9.9
  Fri, Nov 28 145 Western Kentucky L 70-75 67%     4 - 4 -3.9 +4.9 -9.3
  Sat, Dec 6 93 @Northern Iowa W 74-69 OT 37%     5 - 4 +14.0 +9.6 +4.4
  Sat, Dec 13 115 DePaul L 58-61 69%     5 - 5 -2.7 -6.1 +3.1
  Wed, Dec 17 220 Wofford W 84-73 87%     6 - 5 +4.2 +12.8 -7.8
  Sun, Dec 21 259 Eastern Kentucky W 88-57 90%     7 - 5 +22.6 +13.9 +10.0
  Wed, Dec 31 107 @UAB L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 183 @Charlotte W 70-66 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 231 Rice W 76-63 89%    
  Sun, Jan 11 146 North Texas W 68-60 75%    
  Thu, Jan 15 114 @Florida Atlantic L 74-75 47%    
  Sun, Jan 18 79 @South Florida L 74-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 271 East Carolina W 77-63 91%    
  Sat, Jan 24 72 Memphis W 72-71 53%    
  Sun, Feb 1 92 @Tulsa L 73-77 37%    
  Wed, Feb 4 183 Charlotte W 73-63 82%    
  Sun, Feb 8 194 @Tulane W 74-69 67%    
  Wed, Feb 11 79 South Florida W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 92 Tulsa W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Feb 18 271 @East Carolina W 74-66 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 151 Temple W 77-69 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 72 @Memphis L 69-74 32%    
  Sun, Mar 1 287 @Texas San Antonio W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 114 Florida Atlantic W 77-72 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.5 5.1 2.8 0.8 0.1 17.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.9 3.7 0.8 0.1 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.4 7.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 6.5 3.7 0.4 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.0 4.1 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.8 1.0 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.3 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.4 10.2 13.0 15.4 15.4 13.6 9.7 5.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 97.5% 2.8    2.5 0.2
15-3 86.9% 5.1    3.7 1.3 0.1
14-4 57.0% 5.5    2.4 2.5 0.5 0.0
13-5 21.9% 3.0    0.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.7% 17.7 10.2 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 51.2% 36.6% 14.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 23.1%
17-1 0.8% 35.9% 32.5% 3.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 5.0%
16-2 2.8% 32.2% 31.4% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 1.2%
15-3 5.9% 27.2% 26.9% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.1 4.3 0.4%
14-4 9.7% 24.7% 24.7% 0.0% 11.8 0.6 1.6 0.2 7.3 0.0%
13-5 13.6% 19.0% 19.0% 12.1 0.3 1.8 0.5 0.0 11.0
12-6 15.4% 14.8% 14.8% 12.3 0.1 1.5 0.7 0.0 13.1
11-7 15.4% 9.9% 9.9% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 13.9
10-8 13.0% 6.8% 6.8% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 12.1
9-9 10.2% 4.9% 4.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.7
8-10 6.4% 3.8% 3.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.1
7-11 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 3.6
6-12 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.9
5-13 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.4% 13.3% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.4 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 86.6 0.1%