Memphis
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.9 120
Results Rating +1.2 140
Consistency 0.14 120
Pace 73.9 47
Improvement -6.7 357

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 208 D+ A- D C- D+
Defense B 62 B C+ A- D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 185 C 58% 165 +0.1 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 66 D+ 35% 268 +0.9 126
Three Pointers 37% 276 D+ 32% 272 -3.3 290
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 267 C- -1.7 239
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 244
Second Chance B+ 36.1% 32 B+ 1.15 40 A- 0.42 26
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 289
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 302
Turnovers D 18.8% 306
Freethrows C- 0.29 214 C 72% 195 C- 0.21 205
Total Offense C- -1.5 208

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 98 C- 11.9% 239
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 122 C+ 4.4% 143
Three Pointers C+ 86% 137 D 1.5% 324
Total C+ 57% 143 C- 6.3% 259


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 322 C 59% 200 -3.1 77
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 137 B- 36% 88 -0.1 180
Three Pointers 45% 53 B+ 30% 39 -0.2 176
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 82 B- -2.8 67
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 65
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 273 B+ 0.90 22 C+ 0.29 124
Turnovers from Steals A 13.1% 11
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 161
Turnovers A- 20.4% 25
Freethrows D 0.34 299 C 73% 204 D 0.25 298
Total Defense B +4.5 62

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 280 B+ 16.8% 28
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 272 B+ 8.1% 40
Three Pointers D+ 88% 294 C- 0.7% 217
Total D+ 60% 289 B 7.6% 45

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 44 17.8 261
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 33 0.20 293
Consistency 0.11 64 0.14 293
Improvement -2.4 300 -4.3 343

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 137 122 107
Results Rating Rank 174 140 122
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 10 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.4 15.6
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 20% 59% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 33.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 23 - 63 - 13
Quad 36 - 48 - 17
Quad 46 - 214 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 122 San Francisco W 76 - 70 62% +9  97% 1 - 0 B- +6 D -5 D+ A+ F A +10 C+ B- A
 Tue, Nov 11 74 @Mississippi L 77 - 83 22% -5  11% 1 - 1 B- +5 A- +10 A F A+ D+ -5 F+ C+ D
 Sun, Nov 16 103 UNLV L 78 - 92 56% -11  4% 1 - 2 D- -13 F+ -9 F A F C- -2 D- A+ B-
 Thu, Nov 20 8 Purdue L 71 - 80 6% -1  39% 1 - 3 B +11 B- +5 C- A+ C B+ +7 C+ A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 69 Wake Forest L 68 - 69 29% +5  82% 1 - 4 B- +8 C- -2 B+ B- F A +10 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 121 Southern Illinois W 74 - 58 62% +11  98% 2 - 4 A- +16 B- +4 C A+ D A+ +12 A+ C B
 Wed, Dec 3 196 New Orleans W 86 - 70 78% +16  97% 3 - 4 B +11 B +7 A+ F F+ B +4 B- A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 47 Baylor W 78 - 71 29% +2  71% 4 - 4 A- +16 C+ +3 D- A+ A A+ +13 A+ B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 13 @Louisville L 73 - 99 5% -17  5% 4 - 5 C- -4 B- +5 D A+ B F+ -9 F F B
 Wed, Dec 17 18 Vanderbilt L 70 - 77 OT 13% -3  14% 4 - 6 B- +8 F -13 D D- F+ A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 93 @Mississippi St. L 66 - 71 28% -4  7% 4 - 7 C+ +4 D -5 F A+ F A +9 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 316 Alabama St. W 88 - 67 92% +13  98% 5 - 7 B +9 B- +4 A B- F B- +3 B+ F+ A-
 Wed, Dec 31 136 North Texas W 57 - 48 67% +8  96% 6 - 7 1 - 0 B- +7 F -12 B- B F A+ +20 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 218 @Rice W 76 - 70 63% -1  47% 7 - 7 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +5 F A+ F C+ +1 B D A-
 Sun, Jan 11 125 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 89 40% -8  3% 7 - 8 2 - 1 D+ -5 C- -2 B D+ D+ C- -2 C- F B
 Wed, Jan 14 165 Temple W 55 - 53 73% +4  75% 8 - 8 3 - 1 C -2 F -19 F C D+ A+ +18 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Jan 18 335 Texas San Antonio W 95 - 69 94% +12  98% 9 - 8 4 - 1 B +11 B+ +9 A+ D+ C- C+ +1 D+ B- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 64 @Tulsa L 66 - 83 20% -3  21% 9 - 9 4 - 2 D+ -5 D+ -3 F+ A- F C- -3 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 24 92 @Wichita St. L 59 - 74 27% -13  5% 9 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -6 F -13 F A- F A- +7 D+ B B+
 Thu, Jan 29 125 Florida Atlantic W 92 - 65 63% +12  95% 10 - 10 5 - 3 A+ +27 B+ +8 B+ A+ C- A+ +16 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Feb 1 184 Tulane L 76 - 78 77% -5  5% 10 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 C -0 F B- B- D -6 F B- A-
 Thu, Feb 5 116 @UAB W 90 - 80 38% +8  87% 11 - 11 6 - 4 A- +16 B+ +8 A- B F+ A- +7 B+ D A
 Sun, Feb 8 170 Charlotte W 77 - 54 74% +15  99% 12 - 11 7 - 4 A +19 D+ -3 D- A+ C A+ +22 A+ B- A
 Thu, Feb 12 136 @North Texas L 69 - 76 44% +0  54% 12 - 12 7 - 5 C- -3 C +1 D A D+ D+ -4 C+ F A
 Sat, Feb 14 42 @Utah St. L 75 - 99 11% -9  17% 12 - 13 D+ -8 B- +4 F A+ A F -11 D C- D
 Thu, Feb 19 54 @South Florida L 66 - 87 16% -11  16% 12 - 14 7 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -3 F C- B- D+ -5 B B- C-
 Sun, Feb 22 116 UAB L 67 - 78 61% -9  13% 12 - 15 7 - 7 D -11 F+ -9 C- B F C- -2 D- A+ A
 Thu, Feb 26 92 Wichita St. L 82 - 88 49% -3  18% 12 - 16 7 - 8 C- -3 B +7 A D+ A+ F+ -10 B- D+ F+
 Sun, Mar 1 234 @East Carolina L 68 - 84 65% -10  9% 12 - 17 7 - 9 F+ -17 F+ -10 F A C+ D- -6 F B+ B+
 Thu, Mar 5 54 South Florida L 76 - 81 33%
 Sun, Mar 8 184 @Tulane W 74 - 72 56%
Totals 13 - 18 8 - 10 +3 C- -2 B+ C- D+ B +4 D+ C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D+ D+ C- 38% 48% 37% D+ D+ B+ B+ A- D C- C C- B C B- B+ B- 33% 22% 45% B- B D+ B+ C+ A- D C D
1.06 58% 35% 32% -2 -1 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 19% .29 72% .21 1.02 59% 36% 30% -3 -1 0.95 32% 0.9 .29 20% .34 73% .21
Nov
8		 San Francisco D D+ F B C- 33% 26% 41% D+ D+ A+ A A+ F A+ F B A F A+ C- C+ 23% 17% 60% B C+ B+ C- B- A F A- D
1.03 53% 25% 37% -3 -1 0.93 40% 1.3 .52 19% .43 54% .23 0.94 73% 13% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 20% .42 64% .27
Nov
11		 Mississippi A- A+ B+ A- A+ 31% 35% 35% D- A D+ F F A+ C+ C C+ D+ F+ C- F F 23% 52% 25% A+ F+ A F C+ D F A+ F
1.14 69% 44% 39% +8 -2 1.13 26% 0.7 .18 10% .33 70% .23 1.23 73% 40% 58% +13 -5 1.19 23% 1.4 .32 10% .54 64% .35
Nov
16		 UNLV F+ B+ F F F 44% 27% 29% C- F C+ A+ A F A+ A A+ C- F F+ A D 44% 11% 45% F+ D- D+ A+ A+ B- D F F
0.98 65% 14% 20% -9 0 0.83 31% 1.5 .44 23% .49 80% .39 1.15 83% 50% 28% +8 +2 1.22 34% 0.5 .16 18% .40 81% .32
Nov
20		 Purdue B- C+ D F D 43% 24% 33% A- C- A+ B- A+ C A+ C A+ B+ F+ A- F+ C+ 29% 22% 49% C+ C+ D- A+ A+ A- A F A-
1.05 59% 33% 24% -6 0 0.90 39% 1.1 .45 18% .45 68% .31 1.18 75% 33% 41% +9 -1 1.18 42% 0.6 .24 16% .19 82% .16
Nov
21		 Wake Forest C- A F B+ B+ 30% 14% 56% C B+ A+ F B- F B+ F C A D+ A+ A+ A+ 22% 22% 55% A A+ F D F A+ D B D+
1.01 69% 17% 38% +3 0 1.09 43% 0.8 .35 25% .36 61% .22 1.03 64% 27% 26% -8 -1 0.84 42% 1.3 .53 21% .36 74% .26
Nov
26		 Southern Illinois B- D+ F+ B- C 39% 20% 41% C+ C B+ A+ A+ D A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 37% 44% 19% A+ A+ F A C B F A F
1.06 53% 30% 35% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.4 .49 21% .36 80% .29 0.83 56% 21% 13% -14 -3 0.67 38% 0.7 .27 19% .58 61% .35
Dec
3		 New Orleans B B- A+ A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% C- A+ A- F F F+ F C- F B D A+ B- B- 37% 21% 42% C- B- D+ A+ A+ C- C- B C+
1.22 60% 70% 43% +13 0 1.28 43% 0.5 .23 18% .24 71% .17 1.00 63% 18% 32% -4 0 0.94 38% 0.5 .20 18% .37 71% .26
Dec
6		 Baylor C+ D C+ F F 44% 31% 25% A D- A+ B+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ 26% 26% 48% C- A+ D A+ B+ A- F A- F+
1.10 54% 41% 14% -8 -1 0.84 41% 1.2 .48 13% .40 76% .31 1.00 54% 23% 29% -8 -2 0.82 42% 0.8 .35 18% .43 68% .29
Dec
13		 Louisville B- C F D D+ 35% 47% 18% F D A+ A+ A+ B B+ C- B F+ F A+ F F 29% 10% 61% B+ F B- F F B F F+ F
1.02 55% 26% 30% -8 -4 0.79 38% 1.3 .50 15% .33 70% .23 1.38 86% 0% 50% +19 +1 1.41 32% 1.5 .48 18% .43 84% .36
Dec
17		 Vanderbilt F C- D+ F D 37% 29% 35% C- D C F D- F+ B+ B- A- A+ A C- A+ A+ 29% 24% 47% A A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.82 53% 33% 22% -9 -1 0.81 27% 0.6 .17 23% .40 77% .30 0.90 50% 42% 22% -10 -1 0.80 35% 0.7 .23 23% .61 78% .47
Dec
20		 Mississippi St. D F+ F F F 25% 24% 51% C+ F A+ A+ A+ F B+ D- B- A D+ B+ A A- 39% 20% 41% D+ B+ C+ A+ A- A+ F C F
0.94 46% 25% 27% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.3 .54 26% .31 69% .21 1.01 67% 33% 26% -2 0 0.98 30% 0.8 .24 21% .45 68% .31
Dec
22		 Alabama St. B- A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 15% 56% D+ A A+ F+ B- F D F F B- D D+ A+ B- 20% 35% 45% A+ B+ F B- F+ A- F A+ D
1.21 75% 38% 43% +13 0 1.28 45% 0.9 .42 25% .33 61% .20 0.92 60% 39% 22% -8 -3 0.80 43% 0.8 .36 22% .39 59% .23
Dec
31		 North Texas F B A+ F B- 39% 24% 37% C B- B+ C B F D F F A+ B- C A+ A+ 52% 13% 35% D- A+ A D- B- A+ A+ A A+
0.86 63% 50% 27% +1 0 1.02 38% 1.0 .38 30% .32 27% .09 0.72 54% 33% 6% -17 +2 0.72 26% 1.1 .29 27% .17 63% .10
Jan
3		 Rice B- B F F F 37% 34% 29% C- F A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ A+ B+ A 22% 12% 66% F B D+ D+ D A- F F F
1.16 67% 14% 25% -9 -2 0.80 45% 1.8 .83 23% .60 87% .52 1.07 67% 0% 30% -7 0 0.88 38% 1.0 .38 21% .59 77% .45
Jan
11		 Florida Atlantic C- F+ B- A+ B- 46% 9% 46% B+ B F A+ D+ D+ D- F F C- F F A+ D+ 30% 28% 42% A C- D- F F B B B- B
1.00 46% 40% 42% 0 +2 1.07 14% 1.6 .22 18% .25 63% .16 1.14 71% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.05 37% 1.4 .50 19% .25 69% .17
Jan
14		 Temple F F C F F 50% 10% 40% A F C- C+ C D+ D+ F F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% D- A+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- D D+
0.85 36% 40% 25% -16 +2 0.74 28% 1.1 .31 17% .28 60% .17 0.82 32% 86% 11% -18 +1 0.68 35% 0.7 .24 22% .38 79% .30
Jan
18		 Texas San Antonio B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 56% 13% 31% A- A+ C+ F+ D+ C- B- F+ C C+ C+ F A D 30% 21% 48% B- D+ D- A+ B- A+ A B+ A
1.31 63% 57% 53% +14 +2 1.35 39% 0.9 .35 17% .30 67% .20 0.95 53% 58% 26% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.7 .25 23% .16 67% .11
Jan
21		 Tulsa D+ C F F F 37% 18% 45% C+ F+ A+ D+ A- F C+ C- C C- A+ A C- A+ 40% 16% 44% B+ A+ F B+ D- D- F F+ F
1.00 58% 22% 26% -8 0 0.86 38% 1.1 .40 23% .28 71% .20 1.26 41% 29% 37% -6 +1 0.91 42% 1.1 .47 12% .62 86% .54
Jan
24		 Wichita St. F C C F F 27% 35% 37% D- F D+ A+ A- F F B F+ A- D- B C+ D+ 39% 21% 39% C- D+ A D+ B B+ A+ A- A+
0.82 57% 39% 16% -10 -3 0.76 24% 1.6 .38 24% .20 73% .15 1.03 64% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 18% .14 63% .08
Jan
29		 Florida Atlantic B+ B- A+ B- A- 46% 31% 24% D- B+ A A+ A+ C- C- A+ B+ A+ A+ C- B A+ 37% 16% 47% C- A+ F A+ B- A+ F C+ F
1.18 59% 50% 36% +5 -1 1.10 36% 1.3 .45 17% .29 89% .26 0.84 38% 43% 30% -10 0 0.84 41% 0.8 .31 31% .73 69% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Tulane C C B- F F 35% 26% 39% D F A D B- B- A+ A+ A+ D C F F F 41% 9% 50% F F A F B- A- F C- F
1.10 56% 42% 17% -10 -1 0.80 43% 0.9 .38 16% .65 84% .55 1.13 58% 50% 39% +5 +2 1.15 14% 1.5 .21 19% .46 77% .36
Feb
5		 UAB B+ A+ B A+ A+ 28% 39% 33% F A- C+ A B F+ A B- A A- F A+ A+ A- 26% 15% 58% C B+ D+ D+ D A F A+ F
1.13 75% 41% 42% +10 -3 1.16 28% 1.1 .31 20% .33 76% .25 1.00 79% 13% 23% -8 0 0.85 35% 1.1 .37 16% .52 60% .31
Feb
8		 Charlotte D+ C+ D- F D- 34% 32% 34% F+ D- B- A+ A+ C C- C+ C- A+ B F A+ A+ 22% 22% 56% A+ A+ A+ F B- A A+ A+ A+
1.11 61% 29% 28% -5 -2 0.89 33% 1.8 .61 14% .30 72% .22 0.78 55% 55% 18% -11 -1 0.78 22% 1.3 .27 23% .17 56% .09
Feb
12		 North Texas C C+ F C D 36% 32% 32% D- D B- A+ A D+ F A+ C- D+ B- D+ A C+ 49% 21% 31% C C+ F F+ F A F F+ F
1.00 59% 20% 33% -6 -2 0.87 34% 1.3 .46 23% .28 87% .25 1.10 53% 38% 25% -7 +1 0.90 42% 1.2 .48 22% .76 76% .58
Feb
14		 Utah St. B- C- F F F 32% 32% 36% D- F A+ A- A+ A A+ A- A+ F F A+ D+ D 42% 10% 48% C D C- C C- D F D F
1.05 53% 20% 24% -13 -2 0.72 44% 1.2 .51 17% .57 79% .45 1.38 76% 20% 38% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.2 .42 13% .57 75% .43
Feb
19		 South Florida D+ F B- C- F 31% 29% 40% D F B+ F C- B- B A- B+ D+ A+ D- C- B 40% 14% 46% A- B F A+ B- C- F F F
0.94 25% 40% 33% -10 -2 0.79 36% 0.7 .26 19% .35 75% .26 1.24 40% 43% 35% -6 +1 0.92 50% 0.8 .41 14% .58 86% .50
Feb
22		 UAB F+ D A+ F C- 41% 27% 31% D+ C- C+ A B F C+ F D+ C- C F C- F+ 42% 25% 34% C+ D- C A+ A+ A F C F
0.93 52% 57% 25% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.1 .31 21% .25 64% .16 1.09 59% 46% 33% +2 0 1.06 32% 0.5 .18 17% .42 72% .30
Feb
26		 Wichita St. B B A+ C A+ 23% 55% 21% F A F A D+ A+ D+ A C F+ F C- A+ C 30% 38% 32% A+ B- F B- D+ F+ F F F
1.14 62% 55% 33% +10 -6 1.11 19% 1.2 .22 10% .26 76% .20 1.22 75% 40% 18% -2 -3 0.92 46% 0.9 .44 11% .52 79% .41
Mar
1		 East Carolina F+ C- F D F 32% 40% 28% F F C A+ A C+ A- F B- D- D- F F F 33% 33% 35% A- F D+ A+ B+ B+ C D- C-
0.93 56% 13% 31% -12 -3 0.72 31% 1.5 .48 16% .33 65% .21 1.14 63% 50% 53% +15 -2 1.29 35% 0.8 .27 20% .34 75% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 2.2 2.2 5th
6th 11.7 11.7 6th
7th 5.3 5.3 7th
8th 15.6 0.4 16.0 8th
9th 9.2 32.3 41.5 9th
10th 20.7 2.0 22.6 10th
11th 0.6 0.6 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 30.5 49.8 19.7 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 19.7% 3.1% 3.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 19.1
8-10 49.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.9 0.4 48.5
7-11 30.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 30.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.1 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.0 1.6 23.0 54.1 21.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 10.2%