Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#187
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#145
Pace66.8#257
Improvement+0.5#152

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#120
First Shot+3.3#87
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#269
Layup/Dunks-1.4#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
Freethrows+3.7#22
Improvement-1.1#271

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#294
First Shot-2.4#250
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#277
Layups/Dunks+5.7#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#355
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement+1.7#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 38.1% 55.9% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 31.7% 21.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 16.2% 12.1% 17.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Neutral) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 76 - 14
Quad 49 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 231 Samford W 85-72 70%     1 - 0 +5.9 +13.9 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 8 237 Texas St. W 79-71 71%     2 - 0 +0.7 +8.3 -7.3
  Tue, Nov 11 319 @Louisiana W 66-62 66%     3 - 0 -1.9 -0.8 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 14 244 New Orleans L 63-85 71%     3 - 1 -29.6 -10.3 -20.7
  Fri, Nov 21 51 Utah St. L 75-96 13%     3 - 2 -10.5 +8.2 -19.0
  Sun, Nov 23 145 Boston College W 93-90 OT 39%     4 - 2 +4.0 +13.6 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 28 254 Nicholls St. W 82-72 73%     5 - 2 +1.8 +7.6 -5.7
  Tue, Dec 2 284 Grambling St. W 65-63 77%     6 - 2 -7.6 -2.1 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 6 54 Akron L 71-88 20%     6 - 3 -9.8 -3.3 -6.4
  Sun, Dec 14 103 UC San Diego L 73-79 27%    
  Wed, Dec 17 193 Louisiana Tech W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Dec 20 171 Portland St. W 74-72 59%    
  Wed, Dec 31 266 @East Carolina W 76-75 54%    
  Sun, Jan 4 122 Florida Atlantic L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 277 @Texas San Antonio W 76-75 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 110 UAB L 76-78 41%    
  Sun, Jan 18 144 North Texas W 69-68 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 122 @Florida Atlantic L 73-80 25%    
  Sun, Jan 25 181 @Charlotte L 70-73 39%    
  Wed, Jan 28 79 South Florida L 76-82 29%    
  Sun, Feb 1 69 @Memphis L 69-82 12%    
  Sun, Feb 8 91 Wichita St. L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 160 Temple W 79-77 56%    
  Sun, Feb 15 110 @UAB L 73-81 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 144 @North Texas L 66-72 31%    
  Sun, Feb 22 213 Rice W 75-70 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 89 Tulsa L 73-78 33%    
  Sun, Mar 1 79 @South Florida L 73-85 15%    
  Thu, Mar 5 160 @Temple L 76-80 35%    
  Sun, Mar 8 69 Memphis L 72-79 26%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.5 1.9 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.5 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.2 2.4 0.1 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.3 3.5 0.4 13.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.1 4.1 0.5 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.2 12th
13th 0.3 1.2 2.6 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.1 13th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.5 10.2 12.8 14.5 14.5 12.4 9.5 6.7 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 80.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 14.3% 14.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 19.4% 19.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.2% 9.3% 9.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.3% 6.9% 6.9% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-7 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
10-8 6.7% 2.9% 2.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.5
9-9 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.4
8-10 12.4% 0.6% 0.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-11 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
6-12 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 10.2
3-15 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.9 0.0%