IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#145
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.4	#201

Pace	79.8	#15
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.3	#137

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#177

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	3.7%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.8	11.5	12.3

.500 or above	58.5%	73.6%	48.9%
.500 or above in Conference	44.4%	53.6%	38.5%
Conference Champion	2.7%	4.1%	1.8%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	7.0%	12.5%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	2.3%	3.6%	1.6%
Second Round	0.5%	0.8%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Away) - 39.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	319	Louisiana Monroe	W	80-64	88%	1 - 0			+4.2	-0.9	+4.4
Nov 11, 2024	352	Alcorn St.	W	84-51	93%	2 - 0			+17.0	+9.1	+10.8
Nov 15, 2024	148	@ Furman	L	78-81	39%
Nov 19, 2024	291	Bethune-Cookman	W	84-73	85%
Nov 22, 2024	347	New Orleans	W	91-75	93%
Nov 26, 2024	196	Wyoming	W	79-76	61%
Dec 02, 2024	276	SE Louisiana	W	80-70	82%
Dec 07, 2024	95	@ George Mason	L	73-80	25%
Dec 10, 2024	231	Southern Miss	W	84-77	74%
Dec 14, 2024	80	Florida St.	L	77-83	29%
Dec 31, 2024	133	@ Charlotte	L	71-75	37%
Jan 04, 2025	238	Texas San Antonio	W	88-80	75%
Jan 07, 2025	101	@ UAB	L	78-85	27%
Jan 11, 2025	120	South Florida	W	78-77	53%
Jan 15, 2025	74	Florida Atlantic	L	86-90	37%
Jan 19, 2025	112	@ Temple	L	74-80	30%
Jan 25, 2025	191	@ Rice	L	74-75	49%
Jan 30, 2025	34	Memphis	L	80-87	26%
Feb 02, 2025	142	Tulsa	W	85-82	59%
Feb 05, 2025	238	@ Texas San Antonio	W	85-83	55%
Feb 08, 2025	73	@ North Texas	L	63-73	20%
Feb 15, 2025	191	Rice	W	78-72	69%
Feb 19, 2025	154	East Carolina	W	76-73	61%
Feb 23, 2025	86	@ Wichita St.	L	75-84	23%
Feb 26, 2025	133	Charlotte	W	74-72	57%
Mar 01, 2025	142	@ Tulsa	L	82-85	39%
Mar 06, 2025	154	@ East Carolina	L	73-76	41%
Mar 09, 2025	101	UAB	L	81-82	47%
Projected Record						15 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1				4.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.7	2.7	1.2	0.3	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.0	3.4	1.9	0.3	0.0						7.7	4th
5th									0.1	1.8	4.1	2.3	0.3	0.0							8.7	5th
6th								0.0	1.1	4.3	3.2	0.5	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.7	4.0	0.8	0.0									9.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	3.2	4.9	1.2	0.1										9.7	8th
9th						0.2	2.4	4.7	2.0	0.1											9.6	9th
10th					0.1	1.9	4.4	2.5	0.3	0.0											9.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.0	2.8	0.4	0.0												8.8	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	1.5	3.3	2.2	0.5	0.0													7.8	12th
13th	0.1	0.8	1.6	2.1	1.3	0.3	0.0														6.2	13th

Total	0.1	0.8	1.9	3.9	6.2	8.6	10.5	11.6	12.1	11.6	10.4	8.1	6.2	3.9	2.4	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	86.9%	0.4		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	63.9%	0.7		0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	35.1%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.5%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.3	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%									0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0			0.0						0.0
17-1	0.2%		50.0%	22.9%	27.1%	8.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		35.1%
16-2	0.5%		30.7%	20.3%	10.5%	10.1							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.4		13.1%
15-3	1.1%		22.5%	16.5%	6.0%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1					0.8		7.2%
14-4	2.4%		14.3%	13.1%	1.1%	11.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0				2.0		1.3%
13-5	3.9%		10.4%	10.2%	0.2%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			3.5		0.2%
12-6	6.2%		6.6%	6.6%		12.1											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			5.8
11-7	8.1%		3.2%	3.2%		12.4												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			7.9
10-8	10.4%		2.1%	2.1%		12.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.2
9-9	11.6%		1.0%	1.0%		12.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			11.5
8-10	12.1%		0.6%	0.6%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			12.0
7-11	11.6%		0.4%	0.4%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0		11.6
6-12	10.5%		0.3%	0.3%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.5
5-13	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
4-14	6.2%																							6.2
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.4%	2.2%	0.2%	11.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	97.6		0.2%