IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.7	#230
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.7	#229

Pace	68.0	#207
Improvement	+0.4	#154

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#311

First Shot	-3.5	#283
After Offensive Rebound	-1.2	#256

Layup/Dunks	+0.5	#165
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.3	#62
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.1	#277
Freethrows	-3.2	#340

Improvement	+0.0	#176

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#137

First Shot	-1.1	#202
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.1	#44

Layups/Dunks	-0.4	#180
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#96
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#246
Freethrows	-0.4	#221

Improvement	+0.4	#155

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	9.8%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.7	15.0

.500 or above	60.6%	81.6%	57.9%
.500 or above in Conference	71.4%	89.2%	69.1%
Conference Champion	2.9%	11.7%	1.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.0%	0.2%	1.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%
First Round	4.4%	9.6%	3.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 7	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2024	137	@ UAB	L	72-82	22%	0 - 1			-5.7	-2.7	-2.9
Nov 12, 2024	28	@ Mississippi St.	L	59-80	4%	0 - 2			-5.1	-9.1	+4.6
Nov 18, 2024	326	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	70-67	60%	1 - 2			-3.2	-4.2	+0.9
Nov 22, 2024	187	@ Wyoming	L	61-64	30%	1 - 3			-1.3	-9.1	+7.8
Nov 26, 2024	240	Gardner-Webb	L	69-73	51%	1 - 4			-8.1	-8.4	+0.5
Nov 27, 2024	302	North Dakota	W	76-60	65%	2 - 4			+8.4	+2.0	+7.4
Dec 02, 2024	203	@ Tulane	W	71-67	33%	3 - 4			+4.9	+2.4	+2.8
Dec 05, 2024	243	@ Nicholls St.	L	64-67	42%	3 - 5	0 - 1		-4.6	-12.1	+7.7
Dec 11, 2024	304	@ Louisiana	L	61-68	54%	3 - 6			-11.8	-13.7	+1.8
Dec 16, 2024	287	@ Grambling St.	W	75-65	50%	4 - 6			+6.3	+8.8	-1.5
Dec 30, 2024	92	@ McNeese St.	L	61-74	12%
Jan 04, 2025	190	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	70-69	52%
Jan 06, 2025	233	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	75-72	62%
Jan 11, 2025	346	@ New Orleans	W	74-69	68%
Jan 13, 2025	214	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	60-64	35%
Jan 18, 2025	296	@ Northwestern St.	W	66-65	51%
Jan 20, 2025	357	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	71-64	73%
Jan 25, 2025	307	Incarnate Word	W	73-66	74%
Jan 27, 2025	356	Houston Christian	W	74-62	87%
Feb 01, 2025	346	New Orleans	W	77-66	84%
Feb 03, 2025	179	Lamar	W	67-66	51%
Feb 08, 2025	307	@ Incarnate Word	W	70-69	54%
Feb 10, 2025	356	@ Houston Christian	W	71-65	71%
Feb 15, 2025	243	Nicholls St.	W	70-66	64%
Feb 17, 2025	92	McNeese St.	L	64-71	27%
Feb 22, 2025	357	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	74-61	87%
Feb 24, 2025	296	Northwestern St.	W	69-63	71%
Mar 01, 2025	190	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	67-72	32%
Mar 03, 2025	233	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	72-75	40%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0			2.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.8	3.5	3.2	1.4	0.2	0.0				10.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.5	2.8	5.4	3.8	1.1	0.1	0.0					13.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	3.4	6.4	4.0	0.7	0.0							15.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	3.0	6.5	3.9	0.6	0.0								14.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	2.3	5.8	3.9	0.6	0.0									12.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	1.9	4.8	3.7	0.7	0.0										11.2	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.7	2.8	0.6	0.0											8.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.0	2.5	2.1	0.5	0.0												6.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.0	0.2	0.0													3.1	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1															1.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0																0.5	12th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.7	5.0	8.0	10.8	13.7	15.0	14.0	11.8	8.4	5.0	2.5	0.8	0.2	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	97.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	73.2%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	40.8%	1.0		0.5	0.5	0.1
15-5	15.5%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.3	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
18-2	0.2%		30.9%	30.9%		12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-3	0.8%		31.3%	31.3%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
16-4	2.5%		22.0%	22.0%		14.2														0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	1.9
15-5	5.0%		16.5%	16.5%		14.6														0.0	0.3	0.4	0.1	4.2
14-6	8.4%		11.3%	11.3%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.2	7.4
13-7	11.8%		6.5%	6.5%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	11.0
12-8	14.0%		4.1%	4.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	13.4
11-9	15.0%		2.2%	2.2%		15.7																0.1	0.2	14.7
10-10	13.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	13.5
9-11	10.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
8-12	8.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
7-13	5.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
6-14	2.7%																							2.7
5-15	1.3%																							1.3
4-16	0.6%																							0.6
3-17	0.2%																							0.2
2-18	0.0%																							0.0
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	14.9												0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	2.0	1.3	95.5		0.0%