Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#204
Pace68.3#198
Improvement-1.4#276

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#255
First Shot-5.1#318
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#77
Layup/Dunks+0.8#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#234
Freethrows-2.1#298
Improvement-0.8#257

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
First Shot-0.5#184
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#267
Layups/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#149
Freethrows-3.2#342
Improvement-0.6#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 8.7% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 13.6 14.9
.500 or above 37.7% 69.7% 37.6%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 81.8% 67.8%
Conference Champion 3.1% 6.1% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round3.6% 8.7% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 71   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +3.8 +1.4 +3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 201   South Alabama L 64-70 51%     0 - 2 -10.8 -5.6 -5.7
  Nov 14, 2024 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 32%     1 - 2 +2.3 -7.7 +10.0
  Nov 15, 2024 27   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 4%     1 - 3 -20.7 -11.2 -12.0
  Nov 20, 2024 209   Towson L 64-70 53%     1 - 4 -11.4 -3.1 -8.9
  Nov 30, 2024 304   @ Louisiana W 76-75 51%     2 - 4 -3.8 +6.2 -9.8
  Dec 05, 2024 230   SE Louisiana W 67-64 58%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.7 -9.8 +5.9
  Dec 07, 2024 346   New Orleans W 73-70 83%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -11.7 -5.9 -5.8
  Dec 18, 2024 3   @ Gonzaga L 61-89 0.5%   
  Dec 30, 2024 140   @ Seattle L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 296   @ Northwestern St. L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 06, 2025 357   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 92   @ McNeese St. L 62-76 11%    
  Jan 13, 2025 307   @ Incarnate Word W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 214   Stephen F. Austin W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 20, 2025 179   Lamar L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 190   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 27, 2025 233   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 01, 2025 92   McNeese St. L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 03, 2025 356   Houston Christian W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 08, 2025 357   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-63 86%    
  Feb 10, 2025 296   Northwestern St. W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 230   @ SE Louisiana L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 17, 2025 346   @ New Orleans W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 233   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 24, 2025 190   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-73 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 214   @ Stephen F. Austin L 61-66 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 179   @ Lamar L 65-72 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.1 3.6 0.6 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 5.8 8.9 12.0 14.1 14.0 13.2 10.5 7.6 4.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 93.9% 0.3    0.3 0.1
17-3 68.3% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 41.0% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 17.1% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 38.9% 38.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 30.3% 30.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 24.2% 24.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.3% 20.0% 20.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8
15-5 4.7% 14.6% 14.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 4.0
14-6 7.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.8
13-7 10.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 9.9
12-8 13.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.8
11-9 14.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 13.7
10-10 14.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.0
9-11 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.0
8-12 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
7-13 5.8% 5.8
6-14 3.3% 3.3
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.0 96.2 0.0%