Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#212
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#344
Pace66.1#276
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 12.4% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 49.0% 66.6% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 86.7% 76.4%
Conference Champion 9.0% 12.4% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.1%
First Four1.6% 1.2% 1.8%
First Round8.5% 12.0% 6.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 56   @ New Mexico L 84-91 9%     0 - 1 +5.0 +3.3 +2.9
  Nov 08, 2024 198   South Alabama L 64-70 59%     0 - 2 -11.3 -5.5 -6.3
  Nov 14, 2024 180   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-71 32%    
  Nov 15, 2024 22   @ Cincinnati L 61-80 4%    
  Nov 20, 2024 134   Towson L 66-67 45%    
  Nov 30, 2024 188   @ Louisiana L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 05, 2024 276   SE Louisiana W 71-65 71%    
  Dec 07, 2024 347   New Orleans W 81-69 87%    
  Dec 18, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 63-88 1%    
  Dec 30, 2024 152   @ Seattle L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 332   @ Northwestern St. W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 06, 2025 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 99   @ McNeese St. L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 13, 2025 327   @ Incarnate Word W 78-74 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 171   Stephen F. Austin W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 20, 2025 280   Lamar W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 27, 2025 269   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 03, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 81-67 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-61 87%    
  Feb 10, 2025 332   Northwestern St. W 75-65 80%    
  Feb 15, 2025 276   @ SE Louisiana W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 17, 2025 347   @ New Orleans W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 269   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 24, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 171   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-72 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 280   @ Lamar W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 9.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 3.8 5.3 4.1 1.8 0.3 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 5.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.7 4.4 1.5 0.2 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.0 3.3 0.9 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.7 5.1 7.4 9.5 11.2 11.9 12.1 11.2 9.3 6.9 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 86.9% 1.8    1.4 0.4
17-3 60.0% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
16-4 32.1% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
15-5 10.8% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 50.9% 50.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.8% 41.7% 41.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
18-2 2.1% 41.0% 41.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
17-3 4.5% 31.1% 31.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.1
16-4 6.9% 25.2% 25.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 5.2
15-5 9.3% 16.9% 16.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 7.7
14-6 11.2% 12.4% 12.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.8
13-7 12.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.2
12-8 11.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.1 0.4 11.4
11-9 11.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.1
10-10 9.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
9-11 7.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.3
8-12 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
7-13 3.7% 3.7
6-14 2.1% 2.1
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.0 3.3 90.8 0.0%