Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#140
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#252
Pace67.0#235
Improvement-0.8#243

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#143
First Shot-1.1#199
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#83
Layup/Dunks-5.3#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
Freethrows+4.1#12
Improvement-0.8#252

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#130
Layups/Dunks-3.7#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#84
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement+0.0#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.3% 20.3% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.4 14.1
.500 or above 50.6% 69.2% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 85.5% 77.1%
Conference Champion 20.4% 25.9% 18.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.4% 2.7%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round16.0% 20.1% 14.4%
Second Round1.5% 2.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 34 - 76 - 12
Quad 49 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 251   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 62%     0 - 1 -9.1 +6.9 -15.8
  Nov 09, 2024 77   Liberty L 64-66 39%     0 - 2 +2.1 -0.8 +2.8
  Nov 14, 2024 249   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 62%     0 - 3 -5.9 -6.9 +1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 95   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 24%     1 - 3 +21.7 +22.2 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2024 126   Furman L 56-61 46%     1 - 4 -2.8 -8.0 +4.6
  Nov 29, 2024 2   @ Duke L 48-70 3%     1 - 5 +1.8 -10.8 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2024 276   Portland St. W 91-74 83%     2 - 5 +7.9 +15.9 -7.3
  Dec 07, 2024 132   @ UTEP L 72-88 37%     2 - 6 -11.5 +4.3 -16.0
  Dec 17, 2024 106   @ Western Kentucky L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 20, 2024 215   Illinois-Chicago W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 23, 2024 96   @ Washington L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 30, 2024 243   Nicholls St. W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 04, 2025 175   @ California Baptist L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 188   Abilene Christian W 74-69 70%    
  Jan 16, 2025 298   Utah Tech W 77-66 85%    
  Jan 18, 2025 210   Southern Utah W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 162   @ Texas Arlington L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 165   Utah Valley W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 30, 2025 102   @ Grand Canyon L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 06, 2025 303   Tarleton St. W 74-62 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 162   Texas Arlington W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 188   @ Abilene Christian L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   @ Tarleton St. W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 165   @ Utah Valley L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 175   California Baptist W 73-68 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 102   Grand Canyon L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 210   @ Southern Utah W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 08, 2025 298   @ Utah Tech W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.9 5.9 3.6 1.3 0.2 20.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.3 8.1 4.9 1.4 0.2 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.8 7.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.5 6.4 1.9 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.2 1.6 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.0 1.3 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.3 5.9 9.0 12.1 14.9 15.0 13.8 11.2 7.3 3.7 1.3 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
14-2 95.8% 3.6    3.2 0.4
13-3 81.0% 5.9    4.3 1.5 0.1
12-4 52.6% 5.9    2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0
11-5 21.5% 3.0    0.7 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.4% 20.4 12.5 5.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 51.8% 51.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.3% 47.1% 47.1% 12.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-2 3.7% 42.6% 42.6% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-3 7.3% 36.8% 36.8% 13.1 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 4.6
12-4 11.2% 30.3% 30.3% 13.5 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.8
11-5 13.8% 22.4% 22.4% 14.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.1 10.7
10-6 15.0% 15.3% 15.3% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.2 12.7
9-7 14.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 13.5
8-8 12.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.4
7-9 9.0% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.7
6-10 5.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
5-11 3.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 3.3
4-12 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.0 4.4 3.5 1.4 83.7 0.0%