California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#172
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#192
Pace64.4#290
Improvement-2.0#271

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#171
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#183
Layup/Dunks+5.2#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-4.5#357

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#201
First Shot+0.4#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#282
Layups/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#165
Freethrows+2.3#44
Improvement+2.5#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.8% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 68.8% 80.2% 55.5%
.500 or above in Conference 75.0% 85.8% 62.5%
Conference Champion 5.1% 8.4% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.0% 4.3%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round7.3% 8.8% 5.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Home) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 44 - 11
Quad 413 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 303   Incarnate Word W 83-78 83%     1 - 0 -5.7 +5.9 -11.4
  Nov 09, 2024 183   Kennesaw St. W 88-84 63%     2 - 0 +0.3 +8.1 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 175   UC Riverside L 69-70 61%     2 - 1 -4.3 -1.7 -2.6
  Nov 15, 2024 314   LIU Brooklyn W 90-77 85%     3 - 1 +1.6 +18.7 -16.6
  Nov 20, 2024 166   Northern Colorado L 68-79 60%     3 - 2 -13.9 -11.8 -1.7
  Nov 23, 2024 257   Eastern Washington W 79-68 77%     4 - 2 +2.9 +5.1 -1.7
  Nov 26, 2024 37   SMU L 77-79 12%     4 - 3 +10.3 +15.1 -5.0
  Nov 27, 2024 254   Fresno St. W 86-81 2OT 68%     5 - 3 -0.3 -4.1 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 59-74 15%     5 - 4 -4.5 -9.1 +4.6
  Dec 11, 2024 47   @ San Diego St. L 75-81 10%     5 - 5 +7.6 +23.6 -16.8
  Dec 16, 2024 111   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-75 27%     5 - 6 -5.1 -5.8 +0.8
  Dec 21, 2024 254   @ Fresno St. W 86-69 58%     6 - 6 +14.5 +17.1 -1.8
  Dec 28, 2024 278   Jackson St. W 79-73 80%     7 - 6 -3.3 -2.9 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 63-71 25%     7 - 7 -1.5 -0.1 -1.7
  Jan 04, 2025 150   Seattle W 61-59 55%     8 - 7 1 - 0 +0.2 -7.1 +7.5
  Jan 11, 2025 140   @ Utah Valley L 69-75 32%     8 - 8 1 - 1 -1.7 -0.9 -0.7
  Jan 16, 2025 262   @ Tarleton St. L 57-67 60%     8 - 9 1 - 2 -12.9 -3.2 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2025 242   @ Abilene Christian W 60-54 55%     9 - 9 2 - 2 +4.3 -6.7 +11.4
  Jan 23, 2025 140   Utah Valley W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 240   @ Southern Utah W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 242   Abilene Christian W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 06, 2025 240   Southern Utah W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 83   Grand Canyon L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 13, 2025 201   @ Texas Arlington L 74-75 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 284   Utah Tech W 75-66 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 83   @ Grand Canyon L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 27, 2025 150   @ Seattle L 67-71 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 284   @ Utah Tech W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 06, 2025 262   Tarleton St. W 70-62 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 201   Texas Arlington W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 8.9 11.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 26.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 11.4 10.4 3.2 0.2 28.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 6.5 4.7 0.9 13.3 5th
6th 0.4 3.5 3.6 0.4 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.4 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 7.4 13.3 19.0 20.7 18.2 10.6 4.9 1.4 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 94.1% 0.2    0.2
13-3 78.9% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
12-4 47.6% 2.3    0.9 0.9 0.5 0.0
11-5 12.5% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1
10-6 1.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 1.4% 23.2% 23.2% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1
12-4 4.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.9
11-5 10.6% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 9.1
10-6 18.2% 9.9% 9.9% 14.4 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.0 16.4
9-7 20.7% 7.6% 7.6% 14.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.1 19.1
8-8 19.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 18.2
7-9 13.3% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.2 0.1 13.0
6-10 7.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.3
5-11 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-12 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.1 0.5 92.6 0.0%