Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#192
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#236
Pace73.1#81
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#243
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.6% 19.8% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 57.3% 71.6% 46.3%
.500 or above in Conference 72.1% 79.4% 66.4%
Conference Champion 20.3% 26.1% 15.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.4% 7.0%
First Four1.8% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round14.8% 19.2% 11.5%
Second Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Neutral) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 412 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 76   @ Colorado L 88-90 2OT 13%     0 - 1 +8.6 +4.2 +4.8
  Nov 14, 2024 166   South Dakota St. L 75-77 43%    
  Nov 18, 2024 75   @ Washington St. L 73-85 13%    
  Nov 20, 2024 181   @ California Baptist L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 23, 2024 345   Prairie View W 85-72 89%    
  Nov 29, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 65-85 4%    
  Dec 04, 2024 169   St. Thomas W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 07, 2024 222   @ North Dakota St. L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 16, 2024 286   Air Force W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 21, 2024 309   @ Denver W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 02, 2025 233   Weber St. W 75-70 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 265   Idaho St. W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 09, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 75-80 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 218   @ Montana L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 16, 2025 209   Portland St. W 85-81 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 296   Sacramento St. W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 23, 2025 282   @ Idaho W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 81-83 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 82-74 74%    
  Feb 03, 2025 265   @ Idaho St. W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 06, 2025 218   Montana W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 165   Montana St. W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 13, 2025 296   @ Sacramento St. W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 82-84 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 228   Eastern Washington W 84-80 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   Idaho W 78-71 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona W 79-77 56%    
  Mar 03, 2025 233   @ Weber St. L 72-73 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 5.1 5.0 3.1 1.4 0.4 20.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 4.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.7 5.4 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 5.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.3 0.4 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.3 5.2 7.0 8.5 10.6 11.5 11.4 10.7 9.6 7.6 5.6 3.1 1.4 0.4 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
16-2 98.3% 3.1    2.9 0.2
15-3 88.3% 5.0    4.2 0.8 0.0
14-4 66.9% 5.1    3.4 1.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 38.8% 3.7    1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1
12-6 12.8% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 14.0 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 75.4% 75.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 54.0% 53.8% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5%
16-2 3.1% 46.4% 46.4% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7
15-3 5.6% 40.1% 40.1% 13.7 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.4
14-4 7.6% 29.6% 29.6% 14.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 5.4
13-5 9.6% 25.6% 25.6% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.2 7.2
12-6 10.7% 17.9% 17.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 8.8
11-7 11.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 9.8
10-8 11.5% 10.3% 10.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.3
9-9 10.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.9
8-10 8.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 8.1
7-11 7.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.8
6-12 5.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.1
5-13 3.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.6% 15.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 4.0 4.4 3.6 84.4 0.0%