Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#265
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#229
Pace61.5#353
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#318
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#179
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.4% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 25.2% 37.2% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.6% 53.5% 38.1%
Conference Champion 6.9% 9.8% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 15.8% 11.2% 19.2%
First Four1.8% 1.7% 1.8%
First Round5.3% 7.6% 3.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 49 - 711 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 72   @ Arizona St. L 48-55 7%     0 - 1 +3.8 -15.7 +19.2
  Nov 07, 2024 65   @ USC L 69-75 7%     0 - 2 +5.5 +3.7 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 277   @ San Diego L 66-68 42%    
  Nov 18, 2024 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 62-65 38%    
  Nov 20, 2024 30   @ UCLA L 50-71 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 252   @ South Dakota L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 07, 2024 245   Oral Roberts W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 18, 2024 124   Utah Valley L 61-66 32%    
  Jan 02, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 192   @ Northern Colorado L 65-72 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 233   Weber St. W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 16, 2025 165   Montana St. L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 218   Montana W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 23, 2025 296   @ Sacramento St. L 59-60 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 228   Eastern Washington W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 282   Idaho W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 192   Northern Colorado L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   @ Weber St. L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 13, 2025 218   @ Montana L 63-68 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 209   Portland St. W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 296   Sacramento St. W 62-57 65%    
  Feb 27, 2025 282   @ Idaho L 64-66 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 70-66 64%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 6.9 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.3 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.3 6.1 8.4 10.4 11.5 11.5 10.9 9.8 8.3 6.2 4.2 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-3 89.9% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 69.1% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 38.1% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 13.8% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 4.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 36.8% 36.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.7% 34.7% 34.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.5% 35.5% 35.5% 14.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.8% 24.3% 24.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.2% 18.9% 18.9% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.4
12-6 6.2% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 5.2
11-7 8.3% 10.6% 10.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 7.4
10-8 9.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.1
9-9 10.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.1 0.4 10.4
8-10 11.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.1
7-11 11.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-13 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-16 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.7 93.9 0.0%