Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#329
Pace68.7#188
Improvement+1.2#102

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#214
First Shot+3.4#88
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#363
Layup/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#42
Freethrows+2.5#55
Improvement-0.9#262

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#333
First Shot-5.6#343
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks-5.3#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement+2.1#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 4.5% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 3.5% 12.3% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 30.3% 43.8% 29.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 4.0% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 21.4% 12.7% 22.0%
First Four1.9% 2.1% 1.9%
First Round1.7% 3.7% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 47 - 78 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 114   @ Minnesota L 57-80 11%     0 - 1 -16.7 -7.1 -11.3
  Nov 13, 2024 247   @ Tulsa L 76-85 31%     0 - 2 -10.8 +4.1 -15.1
  Nov 19, 2024 129   @ Belmont L 80-90 14%     0 - 3 -5.1 -1.2 -2.8
  Nov 21, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 68-100 2%     0 - 4 -15.4 -1.6 -12.3
  Dec 01, 2024 191   Missouri St. L 67-72 40%     0 - 5 -9.5 +0.4 -10.4
  Dec 04, 2024 286   Northern Arizona W 83-76 61%     1 - 5 -2.7 +5.6 -8.1
  Dec 07, 2024 231   @ Idaho St. L 55-71 28%     1 - 6 -16.8 -13.9 -3.7
  Dec 16, 2024 25   @ Texas Tech L 50-86 2%     1 - 7 -19.2 -13.0 -8.1
  Dec 22, 2024 85   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-86 6%    
  Jan 04, 2025 271   @ UMKC L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 09, 2025 131   North Dakota St. L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 302   North Dakota W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 228   @ South Dakota L 80-86 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 123   @ South Dakota St. L 69-81 13%    
  Jan 23, 2025 325   Denver W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 294   Nebraska Omaha W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 29, 2025 143   @ St. Thomas L 70-81 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 271   UMKC W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 228   South Dakota L 83-84 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 131   @ North Dakota St. L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 15, 2025 302   @ North Dakota L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 325   @ Denver L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   St. Thomas L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 27, 2025 123   South Dakota St. L 72-78 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 294   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.2 1.0 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 7.3 5.4 0.9 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 7.2 5.4 1.0 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 3.4 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.1 9th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.8 7.9 11.5 14.8 15.7 14.3 11.7 8.6 5.2 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 98.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 80.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 48.8% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 15.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.7% 19.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 17.5% 17.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.4% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
11-5 2.9% 10.9% 10.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 2.6
10-6 5.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.8
9-7 8.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 8.2
8-8 11.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 11.3
7-9 14.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 14.0
6-10 15.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.5
5-11 14.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.7
4-12 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.4
3-13 7.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-14 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
1-15 1.4% 1.4
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.2 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%