IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.3	#114
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.4	#146

Pace	59.3	#357
Improvement	-0.9	#249

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#158

First Shot	+0.5	#156
After Offensive Rebound	-0.1	#190

Layup/Dunks	+3.6	#64
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#103
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.7	#294
Freethrows	-0.8	#235

Improvement	+1.0	#101

Defense
Total Defense	+2.9	#95

First Shot	+0.8	#153
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.2	#43

Layups/Dunks	-1.3	#221
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.1	#196
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.7	#219
Freethrows	+2.7	#30

Improvement	-1.9	#311

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Average Seed	9.8	9.8	10.3

.500 or above	7.7%	8.0%	1.5%
.500 or above in Conference	1.6%	1.7%	0.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	56.0%	55.4%	67.4%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 95.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 6	2 - 12
Quad 2	2 - 5	4 - 17
Quad 3	2 - 2	5 - 19
Quad 4	7 - 0	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	293	Oral Roberts	W	80-57	89%	1 - 0			+13.1	+6.3	+8.4
Nov 09, 2024	294	Nebraska Omaha	W	68-64	89%	2 - 0			-6.0	-6.0	+0.3
Nov 13, 2024	72	North Texas	L	51-54	45%	2 - 1			+1.6	-3.9	+4.8
Nov 16, 2024	105	Yale	W	59-56	57%	3 - 1			+4.5	+2.1	+3.3
Nov 19, 2024	241	Cleveland St.	W	58-47	84%	4 - 1			+3.8	-11.3	+16.0
Nov 25, 2024	219	Central Michigan	W	68-65	81%	5 - 1			-2.8	-0.9	-1.8
Nov 28, 2024	100	Wichita St.	L	66-68 OT	43%	5 - 2			+3.0	-5.6	+8.7
Nov 29, 2024	94	Wake Forest	L	51-57	41%	5 - 3			-0.2	-8.9	+7.8
Dec 01, 2024	289	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-62	89%	6 - 3			+7.2	+11.2	-2.5
Dec 04, 2024	14	Michigan St.	L	72-90	20%	6 - 4	0 - 1		-5.7	+12.3	-19.6
Dec 09, 2024	46	@ Indiana	L	67-82	16%	6 - 5	0 - 2		-1.2	+1.6	-3.2
Dec 21, 2024	339	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-63	95%
Dec 29, 2024	349	Morgan St.	W	80-61	96%
Jan 02, 2025	22	Purdue	L	62-70	23%
Jan 06, 2025	39	Ohio St.	L	63-68	31%
Jan 10, 2025	35	@ Wisconsin	L	62-74	14%
Jan 13, 2025	19	@ Maryland	L	60-74	10%
Jan 16, 2025	20	Michigan	L	63-71	23%
Jan 21, 2025	43	@ Iowa	L	67-78	16%
Jan 25, 2025	23	Oregon	L	62-70	24%
Jan 28, 2025	14	@ Michigan St.	L	57-72	9%
Feb 01, 2025	96	Washington	W	66-65	53%
Feb 04, 2025	31	@ Penn St.	L	63-75	13%
Feb 08, 2025	16	Illinois	L	64-73	22%
Feb 15, 2025	80	@ USC	L	62-69	28%
Feb 18, 2025	17	@ UCLA	L	53-68	9%
Feb 22, 2025	31	Penn St.	L	66-72	28%
Feb 25, 2025	59	Northwestern	L	59-62	40%
Mar 01, 2025	52	@ Nebraska	L	61-71	19%
Mar 05, 2025	35	Wisconsin	L	65-71	30%
Mar 09, 2025	62	@ Rutgers	L	63-72	22%
Projected Record						12 - 19	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0							0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	3rd
4th												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	4th
5th												0.0	0.1	0.0									0.1	5th
6th											0.0	0.1	0.0										0.2	6th
7th										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0										0.3	7th
8th										0.0	0.2	0.1											0.4	8th
9th									0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0											0.6	9th
10th								0.0	0.1	0.6	0.2	0.0											0.9	10th
11th								0.0	0.6	0.7	0.0												1.4	11th
12th							0.0	0.4	1.3	0.4	0.0												2.0	12th
13th						0.0	0.3	1.5	1.2	0.1													3.1	13th
14th					0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	0.6	0.0													4.9	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	1.8	3.7	1.8	0.1														7.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.4	2.8	5.5	3.5	0.6	0.0													12.9	16th
17th		0.3	1.9	5.8	8.6	5.7	1.4	0.1														23.7	17th
18th	2.6	7.6	12.1	11.5	6.1	1.5	0.1															41.7	18th

Total	2.6	7.9	14.1	17.8	17.8	14.7	10.8	6.8	4.0	2.0	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	100.0%	0.0			0.0
14-6	30.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%										0.0
14-6	0.0%												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%		97.1%	5.9%	91.2%	8.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		96.9%
12-8	0.2%		60.7%	2.4%	58.3%	9.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		59.8%
11-9	0.4%		37.4%	1.5%	36.0%	10.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.3		36.5%
10-10	0.9%		16.4%		16.4%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.8		16.4%
9-11	2.0%		2.4%	0.2%	2.2%	10.7											0.0	0.0	0.0					2.0		2.2%
8-12	4.0%		0.3%	0.1%	0.3%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0					3.9		0.3%
7-13	6.8%		0.0%		0.0%	11.0												0.0						6.8		0.0%
6-14	10.8%																							10.8
5-15	14.7%																							14.7
4-16	17.8%																							17.8
3-17	17.8%																							17.8
2-18	14.1%																							14.1
1-19	7.9%																							7.9
0-20	2.6%																							2.6

Total	100%		0.6%	0.0%	0.5%	9.8					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0					99.4		0.5%