UCLA
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#30
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#142
Pace62.7#343
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#7
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 5.0% 5.1% 1.1%
Top 4 Seed 15.4% 15.7% 4.4%
Top 6 Seed 29.2% 29.7% 11.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.4% 62.1% 34.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.4% 59.2% 32.3%
Average Seed 6.6 6.6 7.5
.500 or above 82.2% 83.0% 54.9%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 69.3% 48.3%
Conference Champion 9.7% 9.9% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.5% 7.0%
First Four4.3% 4.3% 3.3%
First Round59.2% 60.0% 32.5%
Second Round39.1% 39.7% 19.5%
Sweet Sixteen18.0% 18.4% 7.0%
Elite Eight8.0% 8.2% 3.0%
Final Four3.4% 3.5% 1.4%
Championship Game1.4% 1.4% 0.5%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 97.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 25 - 310 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 227   Rider W 85-50 95%     1 - 0 +28.8 +16.5 +15.3
  Nov 08, 2024 56   New Mexico L 64-72 63%     1 - 1 +1.0 -8.4 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2024 305   Boston University W 71-40 97%     2 - 1 +20.6 -9.2 +28.7
  Nov 15, 2024 260   Lehigh W 79-58 97%    
  Nov 20, 2024 265   Idaho St. W 71-50 97%    
  Nov 22, 2024 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-53 97%    
  Nov 26, 2024 214   Southern Utah W 77-59 95%    
  Dec 03, 2024 79   Washington W 72-64 76%    
  Dec 08, 2024 39   @ Oregon L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 13, 2024 8   Arizona L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 17, 2024 345   Prairie View W 83-55 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 10   North Carolina L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 28, 2024 4   Gonzaga L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 67   @ Nebraska W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 07, 2025 25   Michigan W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 10, 2025 31   @ Maryland L 62-65 40%    
  Jan 13, 2025 37   @ Rutgers L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 17, 2025 45   Iowa W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 21, 2025 38   Wisconsin W 67-63 64%    
  Jan 24, 2025 79   @ Washington W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 27, 2025 65   @ USC W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 39   Oregon W 68-63 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 36   Penn St. W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 11, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 14, 2025 24   @ Indiana L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 18, 2025 88   Minnesota W 69-60 78%    
  Feb 23, 2025 17   Ohio St. W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 15   @ Purdue L 65-70 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 50   @ Northwestern L 63-64 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 65   USC W 72-65 72%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.8 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 9.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.0 1.2 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.0 1.9 0.2 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 4.1 5.7 7.5 9.5 10.9 11.8 11.2 10.1 8.9 6.7 4.4 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 94.8% 1.3    1.1 0.2
17-3 83.3% 2.3    1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 63.1% 2.8    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 28.9% 1.9    0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 51.4% 48.6% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.5% 100.0% 33.6% 66.4% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.4% 100.0% 30.1% 69.9% 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.8% 100.0% 27.1% 72.9% 2.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.4% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 3.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 6.7% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 4.4 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 8.9% 99.2% 12.9% 86.3% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 2.1 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.1%
13-7 10.1% 96.6% 9.4% 87.2% 6.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 96.2%
12-8 11.2% 89.6% 5.9% 83.6% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.2 88.9%
11-9 11.8% 74.9% 3.0% 71.9% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.2 0.1 3.0 74.1%
10-10 10.9% 50.1% 1.8% 48.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 0.3 5.4 49.1%
9-11 9.5% 22.5% 1.0% 21.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.3 21.7%
8-12 7.5% 6.4% 0.6% 5.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.0 5.9%
7-13 5.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.6%
6-14 4.1% 4.1
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 61.4% 7.0% 54.4% 6.6 1.9 3.1 4.7 5.7 6.7 7.1 8.0 7.7 6.2 4.9 4.5 0.8 0.0 38.6 58.4%