Purdue
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#15
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#38
Pace67.3#246
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#9
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#52
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.7% 2.6% 0.9%
#1 Seed 8.2% 12.2% 4.5%
Top 2 Seed 19.7% 27.4% 12.4%
Top 4 Seed 42.9% 54.1% 32.3%
Top 6 Seed 61.1% 72.2% 50.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 82.4% 89.9% 75.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 79.9% 88.1% 72.5%
Average Seed 4.9 4.3 5.5
.500 or above 87.7% 94.1% 81.7%
.500 or above in Conference 79.4% 84.6% 74.4%
Conference Champion 17.1% 21.7% 12.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.7% 1.8%
First Four4.0% 3.0% 5.0%
First Round80.5% 88.5% 72.8%
Second Round62.1% 71.3% 53.3%
Sweet Sixteen34.8% 42.5% 27.4%
Elite Eight16.8% 21.8% 12.0%
Final Four8.0% 10.7% 5.5%
Championship Game3.6% 5.0% 2.4%
National Champion1.6% 2.3% 1.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Home) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 9
Quad 26 - 214 - 11
Quad 34 - 018 - 11
Quad 43 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 90-73 96%     1 - 0 +11.0 +10.8 -0.6
  Nov 08, 2024 180   Northern Kentucky W 72-50 95%     2 - 0 +18.1 +8.6 +12.4
  Nov 11, 2024 110   Yale W 92-84 89%     3 - 0 +8.9 +15.4 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2024 7   Alabama L 80-81 49%    
  Nov 19, 2024 29   @ Marquette L 74-75 46%    
  Nov 23, 2024 200   Marshall W 86-66 97%    
  Nov 28, 2024 59   North Carolina St. W 77-71 70%    
  Dec 05, 2024 36   @ Penn St. W 78-77 51%    
  Dec 08, 2024 31   Maryland W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 14, 2024 28   Texas A&M W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 21, 2024 3   Auburn L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 29, 2024 149   Toledo W 86-70 93%    
  Jan 02, 2025 88   @ Minnesota W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 05, 2025 50   Northwestern W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 09, 2025 37   @ Rutgers W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 12, 2025 67   Nebraska W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 15, 2025 79   @ Washington W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 39   @ Oregon W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 21, 2025 17   Ohio St. W 74-70 61%    
  Jan 24, 2025 25   Michigan W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 31, 2025 24   Indiana W 76-71 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 45   @ Iowa W 82-81 55%    
  Feb 07, 2025 65   USC W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 11, 2025 25   @ Michigan L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 38   Wisconsin W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 27   @ Michigan St. L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 23, 2025 24   @ Indiana L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 30   UCLA W 70-65 67%    
  Mar 04, 2025 37   Rutgers W 74-68 70%    
  Mar 07, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 75-77 44%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.7 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 17.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.4 2.4 0.7 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 3.3 0.6 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 2.8 0.7 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.6 5.1 7.3 9.0 10.2 11.6 11.6 11.0 9.6 7.4 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
18-2 96.7% 2.7    2.5 0.2 0.0
17-3 86.2% 4.2    3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
16-4 63.5% 4.7    2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
15-5 31.4% 3.0    1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.9 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 100.0% 57.0% 43.0% 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.1% 100.0% 45.2% 54.8% 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
18-2 2.8% 100.0% 37.5% 62.5% 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 4.9% 100.0% 32.2% 67.8% 1.8 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 7.4% 100.0% 28.4% 71.6% 2.2 1.8 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 9.6% 100.0% 22.9% 77.1% 2.9 1.1 2.8 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 11.0% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 3.7 0.4 1.5 3.3 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 11.6% 99.8% 11.9% 87.9% 4.6 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.8 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 11.6% 98.5% 6.3% 92.2% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.6 2.6 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
11-9 10.2% 94.2% 4.4% 89.8% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.6 94.0%
10-10 9.0% 82.8% 2.8% 80.1% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.5 82.3%
9-11 7.3% 53.4% 1.7% 51.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.4 52.7%
8-12 5.1% 23.2% 0.7% 22.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 22.6%
7-13 3.6% 5.8% 0.2% 5.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.3 5.6%
6-14 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.4%
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 82.4% 12.5% 69.9% 4.9 8.2 11.5 12.3 10.9 9.9 8.3 6.0 4.2 3.4 3.1 3.5 1.1 0.0 17.6 79.9%