IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Rutgers
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.2	#37
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.9	#74

Pace	69.1	#187
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#86

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.6	#14

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.6%	1.6%	0.4%
Top 2 Seed	4.4%	4.5%	0.9%
Top 4 Seed	13.9%	14.2%	4.0%
Top 6 Seed	26.6%	27.1%	9.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	55.3%	56.1%	28.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	53.1%	53.9%	27.1%
Average Seed	6.6	6.6	7.7

.500 or above	76.5%	77.4%	45.5%
.500 or above in Conference	53.2%	53.8%	31.7%
Conference Champion	5.6%	5.6%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.1%	5.9%	14.9%

First Four	4.6%	4.6%	4.2%
First Round	53.0%	53.7%	26.5%
Second Round	33.9%	34.5%	13.8%
Sweet Sixteen	15.2%	15.5%	5.3%
Elite Eight	6.4%	6.5%	2.0%
Final Four	2.6%	2.7%	0.4%
Championship Game	1.0%	1.0%	0.2%
National Champion	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 97.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 3	10 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	14 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	275	Wagner	W	75-52	96%	1 - 0			+14.0	+3.0	+11.4
Nov 11, 2024	187	St. Peter's	W	75-65	92%	2 - 0			+5.7	+8.3	-1.8
Nov 15, 2024	285	Monmouth	W	82-61	97%
Nov 20, 2024	206	Merrimack	W	73-56	94%
Nov 24, 2024	176	@ Kennesaw St.	W	83-74	79%
Nov 26, 2024	81	Notre Dame	W	69-65	64%
Nov 27, 2024	7	Alabama	L	73-80	28%
Dec 07, 2024	17	@ Ohio St.	L	65-71	30%
Dec 10, 2024	36	Penn St.	W	75-72	60%
Dec 14, 2024	97	Seton Hall	W	67-58	79%
Dec 21, 2024	107	Princeton	W	76-69	72%
Dec 30, 2024	182	Columbia	W	82-67	92%
Jan 02, 2025	24	@ Indiana	L	68-73	34%
Jan 06, 2025	38	Wisconsin	W	70-67	61%
Jan 09, 2025	15	Purdue	L	71-72	49%
Jan 13, 2025	30	UCLA	W	65-63	56%
Jan 16, 2025	67	@ Nebraska	W	70-69	50%
Jan 20, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	72-75	39%
Jan 25, 2025	27	Michigan St.	L	69-70	45%
Jan 29, 2025	50	@ Northwestern	L	65-67	45%
Feb 01, 2025	25	Michigan	W	71-70	55%
Feb 05, 2025	20	Illinois	W	73-72	53%
Feb 09, 2025	31	@ Maryland	L	65-69	36%
Feb 12, 2025	45	Iowa	W	80-76	64%
Feb 16, 2025	39	@ Oregon	L	68-71	41%
Feb 19, 2025	79	@ Washington	W	72-71	53%
Feb 23, 2025	65	USC	W	75-69	69%
Feb 27, 2025	25	@ Michigan	L	68-73	35%
Mar 04, 2025	15	@ Purdue	L	68-74	30%
Mar 09, 2025	88	Minnesota	W	72-64	75%
Projected Record						18 - 12	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.5	1.4	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1		5.6	1st
2nd													0.1	0.7	1.9	1.9	0.8	0.2	0.0				5.6	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	2.2	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0					5.8	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	1.9	2.7	1.0	0.1							5.9	4th
5th											0.0	0.9	3.1	1.6	0.2	0.0							5.9	5th
6th											0.3	2.6	2.7	0.4	0.0								6.0	6th
7th										0.0	1.4	3.4	1.1	0.0									5.9	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	3.1	2.3	0.2										6.0	8th
9th									0.1	1.6	3.7	0.7	0.0										6.1	9th
10th								0.0	0.5	3.4	1.9	0.1											5.9	10th
11th								0.1	2.0	3.5	0.5	0.0											6.2	11th
12th							0.0	0.8	3.1	1.6	0.1												5.6	12th
13th						0.0	0.4	2.2	2.8	0.4	0.0												5.8	13th
14th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.0	1.0	0.1													5.6	14th
15th					0.1	0.8	2.3	1.6	0.3	0.0													5.1	15th
16th			0.0	0.1	0.7	1.8	2.1	0.5	0.0													5.2	16th
17th			0.1	0.6	1.5	1.6	0.5	0.0														4.4	17th
18th	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0														3.5	18th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.9	1.7	3.2	4.8	6.6	8.5	9.8	11.0	11.0	10.2	9.6	7.7	5.8	4.2	2.6	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.1		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	98.3%	0.6		0.5	0.0
17-3	81.8%	1.1		0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	65.5%	1.7		1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
15-5	32.7%	1.4		0.4	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	8.3%	0.5		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.6%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.6%	5.6		3.1	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%							0.0	0.0	0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	32.9%	67.1%	1.4		0.2	0.1	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	40.5%	59.5%	1.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	1.4%		100.0%	26.1%	73.9%	2.1		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0														100.0%
16-4	2.6%		100.0%	23.2%	76.8%	2.6		0.4	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	4.2%		99.9%	18.7%	81.2%	3.5		0.2	0.7	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.0		99.9%
14-6	5.8%		99.9%	13.7%	86.2%	4.5		0.1	0.3	1.1	1.5	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.9%
13-7	7.7%		99.4%	8.4%	91.0%	5.7		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.9	1.7	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.0		99.3%
12-8	9.6%		97.2%	4.9%	92.3%	6.7			0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.1	2.0	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0					0.3		97.0%
11-9	10.2%		90.8%	3.8%	87.0%	7.8			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.9	2.0	1.6	1.1	0.6	0.1					0.9		90.5%
10-10	11.0%		74.2%	1.9%	72.3%	8.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.5	1.8	1.8	1.3	0.2					2.8		73.7%
9-11	11.0%		42.4%	1.1%	41.3%	10.0						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.7	0.4	0.0				6.3		41.8%
8-12	9.8%		14.4%	0.3%	14.1%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	0.3	0.0				8.3		14.2%
7-13	8.5%		1.7%	0.2%	1.5%	11.1								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				8.3		1.5%
6-14	6.6%		0.1%		0.1%	12.0													0.0					6.6		0.1%
5-15	4.8%																							4.8
4-16	3.2%																							3.2
3-17	1.7%																							1.7
2-18	0.9%																							0.9
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		55.3%	4.7%	50.6%	6.6		1.6	2.8	4.3	5.2	6.1	6.6	6.8	6.4	5.4	4.6	4.6	1.0	0.0				44.7		53.1%