IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Wagner
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.0	#275
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.2	#149

Pace	57.2	#363
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.8	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#147

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	24.0%	34.4%	23.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	74.6%	92.3%	72.9%
.500 or above in Conference	86.9%	94.8%	86.1%
Conference Champion	31.5%	45.5%	30.1%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.4%	2.0%

First Four	13.5%	12.7%	13.5%
First Round	16.6%	27.4%	15.6%
Second Round	0.4%	1.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 8.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 4	15 - 7	16 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	37	@ Rutgers	L	52-75	4%	0 - 1			-8.8	-10.6	+1.3
Nov 13, 2024	18	@ St. John's	L	45-66	3%	0 - 2			-4.1	-15.9	+10.0
Nov 16, 2024	97	@ Seton Hall	L	48-62	9%
Nov 19, 2024	305	@ Boston University	L	59-61	45%
Nov 26, 2024	105	@ Georgetown	L	55-69	11%
Dec 04, 2024	363	Coppin St.	W	64-49	92%
Dec 08, 2024	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	63-58	69%
Dec 14, 2024	354	@ NJIT	W	61-56	66%
Dec 18, 2024	334	Manhattan	W	64-57	74%
Jan 03, 2025	342	Chicago St.	W	66-58	76%
Jan 05, 2025	348	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	71-62	80%
Jan 10, 2025	235	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	56-62	31%
Jan 18, 2025	356	Mercyhurst	W	63-52	84%
Jan 20, 2025	350	St. Francis (PA)	W	67-57	80%
Jan 24, 2025	356	@ Mercyhurst	W	60-55	68%
Jan 26, 2025	350	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	64-60	63%
Jan 30, 2025	359	@ Stonehill	W	63-58	68%
Feb 01, 2025	337	Le Moyne	W	66-58	75%
Feb 06, 2025	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	66-58	75%
Feb 08, 2025	348	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	68-65	62%
Feb 13, 2025	337	@ Le Moyne	W	63-61	56%
Feb 20, 2025	359	Stonehill	W	66-55	83%
Feb 22, 2025	342	@ Chicago St.	W	63-61	57%
Feb 27, 2025	339	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	63-61	56%
Mar 01, 2025	235	Central Connecticut St.	W	60-59	52%
Projected Record						14 - 11	11 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.5	2.5	6.2	8.3	7.9	4.7	1.4		31.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.9	4.6	8.7	7.5	3.5	0.7				25.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.5	6.4	3.1	0.6	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.4	4.2	1.6	0.1	0.0						9.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.3	2.2	3.0	0.9	0.0								6.5	5th
6th					0.0	0.2	1.5	2.4	0.6	0.0									4.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	0.4	0.0										3.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.0											2.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.8	9th

Total		0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.1	3.7	5.7	8.0	10.4	13.1	14.5	14.3	11.9	8.6	4.7	1.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.4		1.4
15-1	100.0%	4.7		4.5	0.2
14-2	91.9%	7.9		6.7	1.1	0.0
13-3	70.2%	8.3		5.6	2.6	0.1
12-4	43.2%	6.2		2.9	2.7	0.6	0.0
11-5	17.1%	2.5		0.5	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.5%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	31.5%	31.5		21.8	7.9	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.4%		64.8%	64.8%		13.9									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.5
15-1	4.7%		54.9%	54.9%		14.8													0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	0.5	2.1
14-2	8.6%		46.6%	46.6%		15.4														0.0	0.4	1.5	2.0	4.6
13-3	11.9%		35.8%	35.8%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.8	3.4	7.6
12-4	14.3%		29.6%	29.6%		15.9															0.0	0.3	4.0	10.1
11-5	14.5%		22.4%	22.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	3.2	11.2
10-6	13.1%		16.6%	16.6%		16.0																0.0	2.2	10.9
9-7	10.4%		12.3%	12.3%		16.0																	1.3	9.1
8-8	8.0%		8.7%	8.7%		16.0																	0.7	7.3
7-9	5.7%		6.7%	6.7%		16.0																	0.4	5.3
6-10	3.7%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.2	3.5
5-11	2.1%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.1	2.0
4-12	1.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
3-13	0.4%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
2-14	0.2%																							0.2
1-15	0.0%																							0.0
0-16

Total	100%		24.0%	24.0%	0.0%	15.6									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	4.1	17.9	76.0		0.0%