IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.9	#337
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.7	#332

Pace	68.3	#211
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.1	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.7%	12.5%	7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	21.1%	46.2%	19.8%
.500 or above in Conference	56.3%	70.4%	55.6%
Conference Champion	7.6%	15.1%	7.2%
Last Place in Conference	10.0%	4.9%	10.3%

First Four	7.2%	10.5%	7.0%
First Round	3.5%	6.5%	3.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 12	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	89	@ Syracuse	L	82-86	4%	0 - 1			+4.8	+4.5	+0.7
Nov 06, 2024	202	Cal St. Northridge	L	75-97	30%	0 - 2			-27.3	-6.4	-18.7
Nov 13, 2024	1	@ Connecticut	L	49-90	0.5%	0 - 3			-17.6	-6.7	-15.8
Nov 16, 2024	113	@ St. Bonaventure	L	61-79	5%
Nov 22, 2024	314	Tennessee Martin	L	76-78	41%
Nov 23, 2024	219	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	68-79	16%
Nov 25, 2024	269	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	73-81	22%
Nov 29, 2024	334	@ Manhattan	L	69-73	37%
Dec 03, 2024	313	Army	W	65-64	51%
Dec 07, 2024	330	Binghamton	W	72-70	57%
Dec 18, 2024	329	@ Dartmouth	L	66-70	36%
Dec 22, 2024	81	@ Notre Dame	L	59-80	3%
Dec 29, 2024	320	@ Niagara	L	69-74	33%
Jan 03, 2025	339	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	72-75	41%
Jan 10, 2025	348	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	80-75	66%
Jan 12, 2025	356	Mercyhurst	W	70-64	71%
Jan 18, 2025	342	@ Chicago St.	L	72-75	40%
Jan 20, 2025	359	Stonehill	W	74-67	72%
Jan 24, 2025	235	Central Connecticut St.	L	67-71	36%
Jan 30, 2025	348	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	77-78	46%
Feb 01, 2025	275	@ Wagner	L	58-66	25%
Feb 06, 2025	350	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-73	46%
Feb 08, 2025	356	@ Mercyhurst	W	68-67	51%
Feb 13, 2025	275	Wagner	L	61-63	44%
Feb 15, 2025	342	Chicago St.	W	75-72	61%
Feb 20, 2025	350	St. Francis (PA)	W	75-70	66%
Feb 22, 2025	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	75-72	61%
Feb 27, 2025	235	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	64-74	19%
Mar 01, 2025	359	@ Stonehill	W	71-70	52%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.0	2.1	2.3	1.4	0.4	0.1		7.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.8	3.3	4.5	3.0	0.8	0.1				12.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.4	5.2	5.7	2.3	0.4	0.0					15.1	3rd
4th							0.0	1.6	6.2	5.6	1.7	0.2	0.0						15.2	4th
5th						0.0	1.3	5.8	5.3	1.2	0.0								13.6	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	4.7	4.9	1.1	0.0									11.8	6th
7th				0.1	1.0	3.9	4.2	1.0	0.0										10.1	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.2	3.2	2.9	0.7	0.0											8.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.0												5.8	9th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.5	3.3	5.8	8.3	10.9	13.3	13.9	12.7	11.0	8.1	5.4	3.2	1.5	0.4	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
14-2	92.1%	1.4		1.1	0.2
13-3	72.6%	2.3		1.6	0.7	0.1
12-4	38.1%	2.1		0.9	0.9	0.2	0.0
11-5	12.6%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	7.6%	7.6		4.4	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		50.0%	50.0%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-1	0.4%		44.4%	44.4%		15.7														0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2
14-2	1.5%		33.3%	33.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.5	1.0
13-3	3.2%		26.3%	26.3%		16.0																0.0	0.8	2.4
12-4	5.4%		21.9%	21.9%		16.0																0.0	1.2	4.2
11-5	8.1%		14.7%	14.7%		16.0																	1.2	6.9
10-6	11.0%		10.7%	10.7%		16.0																	1.2	9.8
9-7	12.7%		7.1%	7.1%		16.0																	0.9	11.8
8-8	13.9%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																	0.7	13.2
7-9	13.3%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.5	12.8
6-10	10.9%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.3	10.6
5-11	8.3%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
4-12	5.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
3-13	3.3%																							3.3
2-14	1.5%																							1.5
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	7.6	92.3		0.0%