Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#305
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#278
Pace65.0#283
Improvement-2.9#331

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
First Shot-2.1#237
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#254
Layup/Dunks-0.9#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#61
Freethrows-3.2#338
Improvement-0.3#205

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#313
First Shot-3.5#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#273
Layups/Dunks-1.5#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#351
Freethrows+2.9#27
Improvement-2.6#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 25.9% 33.1% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 40.4% 44.9% 33.0%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.5% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.2% 15.5% 22.6%
First Four3.5% 3.8% 2.9%
First Round3.5% 4.3% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 412 - 1113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 248   Albany W 67-59 50%     1 - 0 +0.2 -8.8 +9.3
  Nov 08, 2024 2   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -18.2 -3.1 -14.6
  Nov 15, 2024 236   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 26%     1 - 2 -4.0 +16.1 -20.1
  Nov 20, 2024 339   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 73%     2 - 2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 316   @ Manhattan L 79-80 42%     2 - 3 -6.8 -0.2 -6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 338   @ Le Moyne W 103-100 3OT 51%     3 - 3 -5.1 -1.6 -4.3
  Dec 08, 2024 121   Cornell L 84-103 24%     3 - 4 -19.4 +6.1 -25.0
  Dec 13, 2024 144   @ George Washington L 60-75 14%     3 - 5 -11.3 -6.7 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2024 310   Binghamton W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 29, 2024 234   Texas San Antonio L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 02, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 65-72 24%    
  Jan 05, 2025 252   @ Boston University L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 08, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 239   Lafayette L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 252   Boston University W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 26, 2025 301   Navy W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 224   Colgate L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 237   @ American L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 260   Bucknell W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 301   @ Navy L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 237   American L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 23, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 25, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 64-71 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 246   Lehigh L 73-74 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 4.5 1.4 0.1 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.4 5.7 2.1 0.2 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.9 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.7 4.0 0.5 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.8 3.9 0.8 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.9 3.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 11.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 6.4 9.1 12.0 13.1 13.3 12.5 10.3 7.3 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 94.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 82.1% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 54.9% 1.6    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 24.6% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.7% 26.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 29.8% 29.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 24.5% 24.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.6% 22.4% 22.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2
13-5 3.0% 18.9% 18.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.4
12-6 4.9% 15.2% 15.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.2
11-7 7.3% 10.3% 10.3% 15.9 0.0 0.7 6.5
10-8 10.3% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.4
9-9 12.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.8
8-10 13.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 12.8
7-11 13.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.8
6-12 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.9
5-13 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.0
4-14 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.6 94.7 0.0%