Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#134
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#148
Pace77.1#21
Improvement+1.2#132

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot+8.6#13
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#350
Layup/Dunks+4.6#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#15
Freethrows-0.1#180
Improvement+2.0#76

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#261
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#198
Layups/Dunks-3.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#152
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement-0.8#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 19.2% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.3 13.6
.500 or above 93.2% 96.0% 84.3%
.500 or above in Conference 93.2% 96.0% 84.2%
Conference Champion 23.5% 27.2% 11.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round18.3% 19.2% 15.4%
Second Round1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 76.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 2
Quad 35 - 47 - 7
Quad 410 - 316 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 115   Samford W 88-86 56%     1 - 0 +2.2 -1.2 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2024 191   @ La Salle L 77-93 51%     1 - 1 -14.6 +0.2 -13.6
  Nov 16, 2024 276   Lafayette W 81-71 85%     2 - 1 +0.8 +7.4 -6.4
  Nov 21, 2024 216   Robert Morris L 76-86 77%     2 - 2 -15.8 -1.7 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2024 253   @ Iona W 84-68 66%     3 - 2 +13.5 +6.7 +5.6
  Nov 27, 2024 103   @ Syracuse L 72-82 32%     3 - 3 -3.3 -2.7 +0.2
  Dec 04, 2024 198   @ Colgate W 84-57 53%     4 - 3 +28.1 +17.0 +12.6
  Dec 08, 2024 305   @ Army W 103-84 75%     5 - 3 +13.8 +25.1 -11.8
  Dec 10, 2024 118   @ California W 88-80 36%     6 - 3 +13.5 +12.0 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2024 144   Illinois St. L 77-80 62%     6 - 4 -4.4 +4.4 -8.9
  Dec 30, 2024 270   Siena L 77-83 84%     6 - 5 -14.9 -2.7 -11.9
  Jan 11, 2025 207   @ Columbia W 94-83 55%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +11.5 +20.2 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 287   @ Penn W 86-76 73%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +5.6 +5.4 -0.4
  Jan 20, 2025 212   Brown W 81-74 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 122   @ Princeton L 80-84 36%    
  Jan 31, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 88-77 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 215   Harvard W 82-75 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 88   Yale L 81-83 44%    
  Feb 14, 2025 215   @ Harvard W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth W 85-80 68%    
  Feb 21, 2025 88   @ Yale L 79-86 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 212   @ Brown W 79-77 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 287   Penn W 85-73 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 122   Princeton W 83-81 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 207   Columbia W 89-82 74%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 3.2 8.0 7.9 3.3 0.7 23.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 8.2 13.1 8.0 1.3 32.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 9.3 10.4 3.3 0.3 26.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 5.4 3.6 0.6 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.4 0.2 4.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.7 9.7 14.8 19.6 19.6 16.4 9.1 3.3 0.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.3    3.1 0.2
12-2 86.3% 7.9    5.5 2.4 0.0
11-3 49.1% 8.0    3.3 4.0 0.7
10-4 16.1% 3.2    0.7 1.6 0.9 0.0
9-5 1.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.5% 23.5 13.4 8.2 1.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 43.2% 43.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4
13-1 3.3% 35.8% 35.8% 12.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 2.1
12-2 9.1% 31.1% 31.1% 12.7 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.3 6.3
11-3 16.4% 24.9% 24.9% 13.1 0.7 2.3 1.1 0.0 12.3
10-4 19.6% 23.4% 23.4% 13.5 0.3 2.0 2.1 0.3 15.0
9-5 19.6% 17.4% 17.4% 13.8 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 16.2
8-6 14.8% 9.8% 9.8% 14.4 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 13.4
7-7 9.7% 4.3% 4.3% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.3
6-8 4.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.7
5-9 1.6% 1.6
4-10 0.4% 0.4
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.8 7.4 5.9 1.8 0.1 81.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 11.3 3.1 6.3 50.0 40.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%