Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#174
Pace76.3#23
Improvement-2.7#298

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#85
First Shot+7.5#25
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#355
Layup/Dunks+4.0#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#21
Freethrows-0.3#192
Improvement-1.6#260

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#280
First Shot-3.4#287
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-3.5#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#158
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement-1.0#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 14.0% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 88.1% 98.3% 80.4%
.500 or above in Conference 88.1% 98.3% 80.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.1% 14.0% 5.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Away) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 54 - 7
Quad 410 - 514 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 113   Samford W 88-86 48%     1 - 0 +2.4 +0.7 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2024 236   @ La Salle L 77-93 55%     1 - 1 -17.5 -1.2 -15.1
  Nov 16, 2024 298   Lafayette W 81-71 83%     2 - 1 -0.2 +7.6 -7.6
  Nov 21, 2024 173   Robert Morris L 76-86 61%     2 - 2 -13.1 -0.7 -12.0
  Nov 25, 2024 259   @ Iona W 84-68 60%     3 - 2 +13.2 +7.0 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2024 108   @ Syracuse L 72-82 27%     3 - 3 -4.0 -3.9 +0.6
  Dec 04, 2024 239   @ Colgate W 84-57 56%     4 - 3 +25.3 +12.7 +14.1
  Dec 08, 2024 287   @ Army W 103-84 66%     5 - 3 +14.6 +25.3 -11.1
  Dec 10, 2024 112   @ California W 88-80 28%     6 - 3 +13.8 +12.1 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2024 127   Illinois St. L 77-80 52%     6 - 4 -3.8 +4.1 -8.0
  Dec 30, 2024 228   Siena L 77-83 72%     6 - 5 -12.2 -2.2 -9.7
  Jan 11, 2025 275   @ Columbia W 94-83 64%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +7.2 +18.8 -11.3
  Jan 18, 2025 260   @ Penn W 86-76 60%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +7.2 +5.5 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2025 185   Brown L 82-83 64%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -5.0 +9.0 -14.0
  Jan 25, 2025 162   @ Princeton W 85-76 40%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +11.5 +14.2 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2025 206   Dartmouth W 76-64 68%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +7.0 +4.3 +2.9
  Feb 01, 2025 251   Harvard W 75-60 76%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +7.4 +7.0 +2.0
  Feb 08, 2025 70   Yale L 88-103 29%     11 - 7 5 - 2 -9.5 +9.5 -17.9
  Feb 14, 2025 251   @ Harvard L 73-75 59%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -4.5 -2.9 -1.6
  Feb 15, 2025 206   @ Dartmouth L 49-88 49%     11 - 9 5 - 4 -38.9 -25.5 -10.2
  Feb 21, 2025 70   @ Yale L 88-92 16%     11 - 10 5 - 5 +6.6 +14.5 -7.7
  Feb 22, 2025 185   @ Brown L 78-79 43%    
  Feb 28, 2025 260   Penn W 85-77 78%    
  Mar 02, 2025 162   Princeton W 80-78 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 275   Columbia W 91-82 81%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.5 15.9 17.0 33.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 9.2 21.1 0.8 31.1 3rd
4th 2.3 17.7 2.3 22.3 4th
5th 0.4 7.2 3.7 11.2 5th
6th 0.9 0.9 1.8 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
Total 1.4 10.5 31.0 39.3 17.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 17.8% 18.3% 18.3% 13.4 0.3 1.4 1.4 0.1 14.5
8-6 39.3% 13.1% 13.1% 14.5 0.2 2.0 2.8 0.1 34.2
7-7 31.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 30.3
6-8 10.5% 10.5
5-9 1.4% 1.4
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.4 0.2 90.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 13.4 7.7 44.3 43.7 4.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.1%
Lose Out 1.4%