Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#121
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#108
Pace77.1#25
Improvement+3.9#14

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#70
First Shot+7.7#21
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#342
Layup/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#4
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+2.4#29

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#282
Layups/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#53
Freethrows-0.5#227
Improvement+1.5#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 23.2% 17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.3
.500 or above 95.1% 97.5% 89.4%
.500 or above in Conference 86.3% 88.2% 81.6%
Conference Champion 28.0% 30.2% 22.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.2% 2.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round21.6% 23.2% 17.9%
Second Round2.9% 3.4% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 47 - 7
Quad 410 - 217 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 109   Samford W 88-86 56%     1 - 0 +3.0 -1.8 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 155   @ La Salle L 77-93 48%     1 - 1 -12.7 +0.8 -12.4
  Nov 16, 2024 239   Lafayette W 81-71 82%     2 - 1 +3.0 +8.1 -4.9
  Nov 21, 2024 259   Robert Morris L 76-86 85%     2 - 2 -18.5 -1.0 -17.1
  Nov 25, 2024 257   @ Iona W 84-68 69%     3 - 2 +13.5 +5.8 +6.6
  Nov 27, 2024 97   @ Syracuse L 72-82 29%     3 - 3 -1.6 -3.5 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2024 224   @ Colgate W 84-57 61%     4 - 3 +26.7 +15.7 +12.5
  Dec 08, 2024 305   @ Army W 103-84 76%     5 - 3 +14.2 +24.7 -10.9
  Dec 10, 2024 120   @ California W 88-80 38%     6 - 3 +13.7 +11.0 +2.4
  Dec 22, 2024 160   Illinois St. W 80-74 71%    
  Dec 30, 2024 283   Siena W 80-68 88%    
  Jan 11, 2025 183   @ Columbia W 84-83 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 284   @ Penn W 81-75 72%    
  Jan 20, 2025 159   Brown W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 119   @ Princeton L 79-82 38%    
  Jan 31, 2025 306   Dartmouth W 86-73 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 232   Harvard W 82-73 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 105   Yale W 82-81 54%    
  Feb 14, 2025 232   @ Harvard W 79-76 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 306   @ Dartmouth W 83-76 75%    
  Feb 21, 2025 105   @ Yale L 79-84 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 159   @ Brown L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 28, 2025 284   Penn W 84-72 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 119   Princeton W 82-79 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 183   Columbia W 87-80 72%    
Projected Record 17 - 8 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 6.0 9.4 7.4 3.3 0.7 28.0 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 8.4 9.3 3.7 0.6 24.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.8 7.2 1.6 0.1 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.9 5.0 0.8 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.7 0.2 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.9 7.4 11.2 15.4 17.6 16.9 13.2 8.0 3.3 0.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.3    3.2 0.1
12-2 93.0% 7.4    6.2 1.2 0.0
11-3 71.2% 9.4    5.5 3.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 35.3% 6.0    1.8 2.9 1.2 0.1
9-5 6.8% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 28.0% 28.0 17.5 8.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 54.2% 53.9% 0.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6%
13-1 3.3% 47.1% 47.1% 12.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7
12-2 8.0% 40.9% 40.9% 12.4 0.1 1.9 1.1 0.1 4.7
11-3 13.2% 35.7% 35.7% 12.7 0.0 1.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.5
10-4 16.9% 28.6% 28.6% 13.1 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.2 0.1 12.1
9-5 17.6% 23.5% 23.5% 13.5 0.3 1.9 1.7 0.2 13.5
8-6 15.4% 14.8% 14.8% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 13.1
7-7 11.2% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.8
6-8 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
5-9 3.9% 3.9
4-10 1.7% 1.7
3-11 0.6% 0.6
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.1 9.2 4.7 0.9 0.0 78.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 10.3 0.7 1.4 6.1 3.4 4.1 3.4 15.5 46.6 18.2 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 1.9% 11.0 1.9