IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.8	#89
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.4	#83

Pace	75.3	#49
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.3	#67

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.5	#121

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	1.1%	1.3%	0.3%
Top 6 Seed	3.4%	3.9%	0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.2%	18.2%	6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	15.2%	17.2%	5.7%
Average Seed	8.3	8.3	8.6

.500 or above	49.5%	54.2%	26.0%
.500 or above in Conference	35.4%	38.2%	21.9%
Conference Champion	1.1%	1.3%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	10.7%	9.1%	18.0%

First Four	2.4%	2.7%	1.1%
First Round	14.9%	16.8%	5.5%
Second Round	7.2%	8.1%	2.6%
Sweet Sixteen	2.0%	2.3%	0.6%
Elite Eight	0.7%	0.8%	0.2%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 83.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 5	6 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 2	10 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	337	Le Moyne	W	86-82	96%	1 - 0			-9.9	-2.5	-7.7
Nov 12, 2024	172	Colgate	W	74-72	81%	2 - 0			-1.6	+0.5	-2.1
Nov 16, 2024	185	Youngstown St.	W	82-72	83%
Nov 21, 2024	23	Texas	L	73-80	26%
Nov 27, 2024	183	Cornell	W	89-79	82%
Dec 03, 2024	9	@ Tennessee	L	69-83	10%
Dec 07, 2024	81	@ Notre Dame	L	72-76	35%
Dec 10, 2024	253	Albany	W	90-77	88%
Dec 14, 2024	105	Georgetown	W	79-75	65%
Dec 21, 2024	31	Maryland	L	70-76	29%
Dec 28, 2024	242	Bucknell	W	82-69	87%
Dec 31, 2024	62	Wake Forest	W	79-78	50%
Jan 04, 2025	80	@ Florida St.	L	76-80	35%
Jan 07, 2025	96	Georgia Tech	W	84-81	62%
Jan 11, 2025	144	@ Boston College	W	75-73	57%
Jan 14, 2025	49	Louisville	L	79-80	47%
Jan 18, 2025	81	Notre Dame	W	75-73	56%
Jan 22, 2025	44	@ Clemson	L	71-79	25%
Jan 25, 2025	35	Pittsburgh	L	76-79	42%
Jan 29, 2025	70	@ Stanford	L	73-78	33%
Feb 01, 2025	119	@ California	L	78-79	49%
Feb 05, 2025	6	Duke	L	73-82	21%
Feb 08, 2025	144	Boston College	W	78-70	75%
Feb 11, 2025	33	@ Miami (FL)	L	75-84	23%
Feb 15, 2025	10	North Carolina	L	78-86	26%
Feb 18, 2025	35	@ Pittsburgh	L	73-82	24%
Feb 26, 2025	59	North Carolina St.	W	78-77	50%
Mar 01, 2025	82	@ Virginia Tech	L	74-78	36%
Mar 04, 2025	63	@ SMU	L	80-86	31%
Mar 08, 2025	78	Virginia	W	65-64	55%
Projected Record						15 - 15	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0					3.1	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.9	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0						3.7	4th
5th											0.0	0.7	2.0	1.3	0.3	0.0							4.3	5th
6th										0.0	0.3	2.1	2.1	0.5	0.0								5.0	6th
7th										0.0	1.3	2.7	1.0	0.1									5.1	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	2.9	1.9	0.2										5.6	8th
9th									0.1	2.1	3.1	0.7	0.0										6.0	9th
10th								0.0	1.0	3.6	1.7	0.1											6.4	10th
11th							0.0	0.3	2.8	3.3	0.4												6.7	11th
12th						0.0	0.1	1.7	3.8	1.3	0.0												6.9	12th
13th						0.0	0.8	3.6	2.7	0.2	0.0												7.4	13th
14th					0.0	0.4	2.6	3.7	0.9	0.0													7.6	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	2.0	3.8	1.6	0.1														7.9	15th
16th			0.0	0.3	1.6	3.4	2.1	0.3	0.0													7.6	16th
17th		0.0	0.4	1.6	2.7	2.0	0.5	0.0														7.3	17th
18th	0.1	0.8	1.5	2.1	1.3	0.4	0.0															6.2	18th

Total	0.1	0.8	1.9	3.9	5.9	8.1	10.0	11.3	11.3	11.1	9.8	8.2	6.3	4.7	3.0	1.9	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	88.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	84.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	69.1%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	36.6%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	13.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%									0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	17.6%	82.4%	3.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	0.4%		100.0%	18.7%	81.3%	4.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	0.9%		97.9%	14.8%	83.1%	5.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		97.5%
15-5	1.9%		95.2%	8.4%	86.8%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0						0.1		94.7%
14-6	3.0%		84.5%	7.3%	77.3%	7.6			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1						0.5		83.3%
13-7	4.7%		70.9%	3.6%	67.3%	8.6					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.0					1.4		69.9%
12-8	6.3%		50.1%	2.1%	48.1%	9.3					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.7	0.1					3.1		49.1%
11-9	8.2%		26.9%	1.0%	25.9%	9.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.1					6.0		26.1%
10-10	9.8%		12.3%	0.5%	11.8%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0				8.6		11.9%
9-11	11.1%		3.2%	0.2%	3.0%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					10.7		3.0%
8-12	11.3%		0.6%	0.1%	0.4%	11.1											0.0	0.0	0.0					11.3		0.4%
7-13	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		11.0											0.0		0.0					11.3
6-14	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						10.0
5-15	8.1%																							8.1
4-16	5.9%																							5.9
3-17	3.9%																							3.9
2-18	1.9%																							1.9
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		16.2%	1.1%	15.1%	8.3		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.0	1.3	1.8	2.4	2.7	2.8	2.7	0.3	0.0				83.8		15.2%