Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#97
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#135
Pace74.6#54
Improvement+2.9#28

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#67
First Shot+5.0#53
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#226
Layup/Dunks+6.7#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#348
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement+1.3#81

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot-0.4#179
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#72
Layups/Dunks+0.6#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+1.6#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 4.6% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% 4.1% 1.1%
Average Seed 9.9 9.6 10.1
.500 or above 34.6% 54.3% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 30.2% 38.5% 28.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 5.1% 8.8%
First Four0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
First Round1.7% 3.9% 1.2%
Second Round0.6% 1.4% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Neutral) - 19.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 23 - 64 - 14
Quad 35 - 39 - 17
Quad 45 - 015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 338   Le Moyne W 86-82 95%     1 - 0 -10.1 -1.1 -9.4
  Nov 12, 2024 224   Colgate W 74-72 86%     2 - 0 -4.3 -2.0 -2.3
  Nov 16, 2024 211   Youngstown St. W 104-95 2OT 84%     3 - 0 +3.6 +8.6 -7.0
  Nov 21, 2024 33   Texas L 66-70 25%     3 - 1 +8.3 +2.2 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 25   Texas Tech L 74-79 21%     3 - 2 +8.8 +9.4 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2024 121   Cornell W 82-72 71%     4 - 2 +9.6 +0.0 +8.9
  Dec 03, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 70-96 6%     4 - 3 -3.0 +10.3 -13.2
  Dec 07, 2024 81   @ Notre Dame L 64-69 33%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +4.8 -2.6 +7.3
  Dec 10, 2024 248   Albany W 102-85 89%     5 - 4 +9.2 +19.8 -11.3
  Dec 14, 2024 90   Georgetown L 71-75 59%     5 - 5 -0.9 +2.1 -3.2
  Dec 21, 2024 19   Maryland L 74-83 20%    
  Dec 28, 2024 260   Bucknell W 80-66 90%    
  Dec 31, 2024 94   Wake Forest W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 65   @ Florida St. L 77-83 28%    
  Jan 07, 2025 110   Georgia Tech W 80-76 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 150   @ Boston College W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 14, 2025 50   Louisville L 78-80 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 81   Notre Dame W 75-73 55%    
  Jan 22, 2025 30   @ Clemson L 68-78 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 32   Pittsburgh L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 87   @ Stanford L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 120   @ California L 81-82 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 2   Duke L 69-81 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 150   Boston College W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 11, 2025 91   @ Miami (FL) L 78-82 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 18   North Carolina L 81-87 29%    
  Feb 18, 2025 32   @ Pittsburgh L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 26, 2025 79   North Carolina St. W 75-74 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 125   @ Virginia Tech W 75-74 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 49   @ SMU L 76-84 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 93   Virginia W 66-63 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.6 1.8 0.2 6.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 4.8 1.5 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 4.3 3.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.6 4.8 1.0 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.6 0.1 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.1 0.7 0.0 8.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 1.5 0.1 7.8 15th
16th 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.1 0.2 7.3 16th
17th 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.2 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.1 8.3 11.2 13.6 14.5 13.3 11.2 8.2 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 47.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 16.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 4.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 94.4% 13.9% 80.6% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.5%
16-4 0.2% 67.3% 7.5% 59.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 64.6%
15-5 0.6% 53.6% 5.0% 48.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 51.2%
14-6 1.5% 28.3% 3.2% 25.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 25.9%
13-7 3.1% 13.5% 2.0% 11.5% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 11.8%
12-8 5.3% 6.5% 1.1% 5.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.0 5.5%
11-9 8.2% 2.0% 0.9% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.0 1.1%
10-10 11.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.3%
9-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.0%
8-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 14.5
7-13 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 11.2% 11.2
5-15 8.3% 8.3
4-16 5.1% 5.1
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 0.4% 1.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0 1.7%