Colgate
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#172
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Pace65.7#288
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#146
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 37.1% 25.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 68.0% 86.7% 65.3%
.500 or above in Conference 89.3% 95.9% 88.4%
Conference Champion 39.1% 53.1% 37.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 1.1%
First Four4.8% 2.1% 5.2%
First Round25.3% 36.3% 23.7%
Second Round1.8% 4.2% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 415 - 518 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 137   @ Drexel L 56-73 32%     0 - 1 -12.7 -10.2 -3.5
  Nov 12, 2024 89   @ Syracuse L 72-74 19%     0 - 2 +6.8 +2.2 +4.6
  Nov 18, 2024 59   @ North Carolina St. L 64-76 12%    
  Nov 22, 2024 236   @ Harvard L 68-69 50%    
  Nov 27, 2024 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 67-71 35%    
  Nov 29, 2024 203   Appalachian St. W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 30, 2024 123   Sam Houston St. L 70-74 37%    
  Dec 04, 2024 183   Cornell W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 08, 2024 170   @ Northeastern L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 11, 2024 12   @ Kentucky L 65-85 4%    
  Dec 15, 2024 139   Vermont W 63-62 54%    
  Dec 22, 2024 221   Iona W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 02, 2025 313   Army W 67-56 83%    
  Jan 05, 2025 242   @ Bucknell W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 08, 2025 260   Lehigh W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 11, 2025 305   Boston University W 72-62 81%    
  Jan 15, 2025 259   @ Navy W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 216   @ Lafayette L 64-65 48%    
  Jan 20, 2025 242   Bucknell W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 255   @ American W 65-64 53%    
  Jan 29, 2025 313   @ Army W 64-59 65%    
  Feb 01, 2025 216   Lafayette W 67-62 68%    
  Feb 03, 2025 260   @ Lehigh W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 331   Loyola Maryland W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 12, 2025 343   @ Holy Cross W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 305   @ Boston University W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 19, 2025 259   Navy W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 331   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 26, 2025 343   Holy Cross W 75-61 88%    
  Mar 01, 2025 255   American W 68-61 72%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 5.2 8.9 9.8 7.6 4.3 1.5 39.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.8 6.5 3.8 1.2 0.1 19.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 5.0 4.5 1.6 0.2 13.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.8 0.3 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.8 4.6 6.5 8.6 10.8 12.7 13.4 12.8 11.0 7.7 4.3 1.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.5    1.5
17-1 100.0% 4.3    4.3 0.0
16-2 98.5% 7.6    7.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 89.5% 9.8    8.1 1.7 0.1
14-4 69.2% 8.9    5.6 2.9 0.4 0.0
13-5 38.9% 5.2    1.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 12.7% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 39.1% 39.1 28.8 8.2 1.8 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.5% 63.7% 63.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5
17-1 4.3% 58.7% 58.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8
16-2 7.7% 51.0% 51.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.8
15-3 11.0% 45.2% 45.2% 14.4 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.9 0.5 6.0
14-4 12.8% 34.1% 34.1% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.0 8.4
13-5 13.4% 27.4% 27.4% 15.3 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.7 9.7
12-6 12.7% 22.1% 22.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 9.9
11-7 10.8% 16.9% 16.9% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 9.0
10-8 8.6% 13.4% 13.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 7.5
9-9 6.5% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.9
8-10 4.6% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.2 4.3
7-11 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 2.7
6-12 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 1.7
5-13 0.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 27.2% 27.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 6.2 7.8 8.7 72.8 0.0%