IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

American
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#255
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.4	#284

Pace	58.7	#360
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#209

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.9%	21.8%	10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.4	15.4

.500 or above	40.4%	77.7%	40.0%
.500 or above in Conference	66.7%	88.0%	66.4%
Conference Champion	12.8%	30.1%	12.5%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	1.6%	5.2%

First Four	4.0%	2.7%	4.0%
First Round	9.0%	21.8%	8.9%
Second Round	0.3%	0.8%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 8	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	127	@ La Salle	L	52-65	17%	0 - 1			-7.5	-8.5	-1.4
Nov 10, 2024	236	Harvard	W	67-55	57%	1 - 1			+5.6	-1.2	+8.0
Nov 12, 2024	308	@ Siena	L	66-74	50%	1 - 2			-12.5	+3.7	-17.6
Nov 15, 2024	10	@ North Carolina	L	59-83	1%
Nov 18, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	65-75	17%
Nov 22, 2024	205	UMKC	L	64-66	42%
Nov 24, 2024	253	Albany	L	72-73	49%
Dec 04, 2024	153	George Washington	L	70-72	41%
Dec 18, 2024	106	@ Saint Joseph's	L	61-73	13%
Dec 22, 2024	78	@ Virginia	L	50-65	9%
Dec 29, 2024	302	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	76-71	69%
Jan 02, 2025	259	@ Navy	L	65-68	41%
Jan 05, 2025	343	Holy Cross	W	71-61	81%
Jan 08, 2025	305	@ Boston University	L	64-65	49%
Jan 11, 2025	242	Bucknell	W	67-65	58%
Jan 13, 2025	331	@ Loyola Maryland	W	64-62	57%
Jan 18, 2025	343	@ Holy Cross	W	68-64	63%
Jan 22, 2025	260	Lehigh	W	71-68	62%
Jan 25, 2025	172	Colgate	L	64-65	47%
Jan 29, 2025	216	@ Lafayette	L	60-65	34%
Feb 01, 2025	313	Army	W	64-57	71%
Feb 05, 2025	242	@ Bucknell	L	64-68	37%
Feb 08, 2025	260	@ Lehigh	L	68-71	42%
Feb 10, 2025	216	Lafayette	W	63-62	54%
Feb 15, 2025	331	Loyola Maryland	W	67-59	76%
Feb 19, 2025	313	@ Army	W	61-60	51%
Feb 22, 2025	305	Boston University	W	68-62	69%
Feb 26, 2025	259	Navy	W	68-65	62%
Mar 01, 2025	172	@ Colgate	L	61-68	28%
Projected Record						13 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.2	1.0	2.7	3.6	2.9	1.7	0.5	0.2		12.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	1.9	4.7	4.3	2.2	0.5	0.0				14.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	2.5	5.5	4.0	1.2	0.1						13.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.6	5.7	3.5	0.7	0.1	0.0						12.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.2	5.5	3.5	0.6	0.0								12.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.9	3.2	0.5	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.7	4.0	2.7	0.4	0.0										8.9	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.5	3.1	2.0	0.4	0.0											7.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.9	1.3	0.2	0.0												5.1	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0													2.9	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.4	4.0	6.3	8.3	10.3	11.9	12.6	11.7	10.4	8.3	6.0	3.4	1.7	0.5	0.2			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	97.9%	1.7		1.6	0.1
15-3	85.8%	2.9		2.3	0.6	0.0
14-4	60.7%	3.6		2.1	1.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	32.7%	2.7		1.0	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	9.2%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.3%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.8%	12.8		7.8	3.6	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		47.1%	47.1%		12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-1	0.5%		41.1%	41.1%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
16-2	1.7%		39.5%	39.5%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	1.0
15-3	3.4%		33.1%	33.1%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	2.3
14-4	6.0%		26.7%	26.7%		15.1														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	4.4
13-5	8.3%		20.9%	20.9%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	6.6
12-6	10.4%		15.2%	15.2%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.9
11-7	11.7%		11.9%	11.9%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.2	10.3
10-8	12.6%		8.3%	8.3%		16.0																0.0	1.0	11.5
9-9	11.9%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																0.0	0.7	11.2
8-10	10.3%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.4	9.9
7-11	8.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	8.1
6-12	6.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	6.3
5-13	4.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
4-14	2.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
3-15	1.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.8	6.4	89.2		0.0%