American
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#236
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#223
Pace60.0#355
Improvement+1.1#134

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot+1.4#134
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#337
Layup/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#11
Freethrows-1.3#269
Improvement-0.9#236

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-3.1#271
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#111
Layups/Dunks-6.8#360
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#6
Freethrows-1.6#291
Improvement+2.0#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 18.6% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 69.5% 76.7% 49.8%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 94.7% 79.8%
Conference Champion 24.3% 28.7% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 2.0%
First Four8.2% 7.6% 9.8%
First Round13.9% 15.1% 10.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 73.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 415 - 816 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 191   @ La Salle L 52-65 29%     0 - 1 -11.6 -9.9 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2024 215   Harvard W 67-55 56%     1 - 1 +6.3 -0.5 +8.0
  Nov 12, 2024 270   @ Siena L 66-74 47%     1 - 2 -11.4 +4.9 -17.8
  Nov 15, 2024 26   @ North Carolina L 55-107 4%     1 - 3 -35.5 -12.5 -20.1
  Nov 18, 2024 105   @ High Point L 73-80 16%     1 - 4 -0.6 +12.9 -14.9
  Nov 22, 2024 223   UMKC W 64-60 47%     2 - 4 +0.5 -6.4 +7.1
  Nov 24, 2024 260   Albany W 81-77 55%     3 - 4 -1.6 +2.6 -4.3
  Dec 04, 2024 119   George Washington W 81-71 OT 34%     4 - 4 +9.9 +0.0 +8.9
  Dec 18, 2024 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-84 11%     4 - 5 -18.0 -8.3 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2024 107   @ Virginia L 58-63 16%     4 - 6 +1.2 +2.5 -2.3
  Dec 29, 2024 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 93-96 2OT 68%     4 - 7 -12.0 -2.2 -9.3
  Jan 02, 2025 291   @ Navy L 58-81 52%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -27.7 -12.7 -17.2
  Jan 05, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 75-64 77%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -0.8 +4.5 -3.6
  Jan 08, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 54-60 50%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -10.2 -8.8 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2025 265   Bucknell W 68-58 67%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +1.3 -0.8 +2.8
  Jan 13, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland W 73-54 57%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +13.0 +6.2 +9.2
  Jan 18, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross W 74-65 58%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +2.7 +4.0 -0.2
  Jan 22, 2025 296   Lehigh W 71-65 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 198   Colgate W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 276   @ Lafayette L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 305   Army W 70-64 73%    
  Feb 05, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 296   @ Lehigh W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 10, 2025 276   Lafayette W 67-62 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 76%    
  Feb 19, 2025 305   @ Army W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   Boston University W 65-60 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 291   Navy W 71-65 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 198   @ Colgate L 63-68 31%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 4.8 8.4 6.7 2.9 0.4 24.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.9 9.5 11.8 5.5 1.3 0.1 30.0 2nd
3rd 1.0 7.1 8.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 18.8 3rd
4th 0.2 4.1 5.7 1.0 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.2 1.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.4 2.5 1.2 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.1 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.8 10.6 16.0 19.8 18.9 14.1 8.0 2.9 0.4 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-3 98.3% 2.9    2.7 0.2
14-4 84.1% 6.7    5.1 1.6 0.1
13-5 59.7% 8.4    4.3 3.7 0.5
12-6 25.3% 4.8    1.3 2.3 1.0 0.2
11-7 5.2% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.3% 24.3 13.8 8.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.4% 32.5% 32.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 2.9% 37.5% 37.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 1.8
14-4 8.0% 30.7% 30.7% 15.3 0.2 1.3 1.0 5.6
13-5 14.1% 21.2% 21.2% 15.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 11.1
12-6 18.9% 20.7% 20.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.4 15.0
11-7 19.8% 17.0% 17.0% 15.9 0.2 3.2 16.4
10-8 16.0% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 2.2 13.8
9-9 10.6% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.7
8-10 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.4 5.5
7-11 2.7% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.2 2.5
6-12 0.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.7 13.3 82.3 0.0%