Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
232 Bucknell 22.1%   16   14 - 14 10 - 5 16 - 15 12 - 6 -3.9      -3.4 268 -0.5 185 69.2 146 -4.7 241 -3.0 2
239 Colgate 19.7%   11 - 16 9 - 6 13 - 17 11 - 7 -4.3      +0.2 170 -4.4 309 66.4 228 -5.9 267 -4.3 4
247 American 18.2%   15 - 11 11 - 4 17 - 12 13 - 5 -4.8      -1.8 222 -3.0 253 60.4 353 -2.1 202 -1.2 1
279 Lehigh 6.1%   8 - 16 5 - 10 10 - 17 7 - 11 -6.5      -4.9 308 -1.6 221 67.6 194 -9.1 311 -10.9 9
283 Navy 8.5%   9 - 18 7 - 8 11 - 19 9 - 9 -6.8      -4.0 283 -2.8 252 66.7 220 -9.6 318 -7.1 6
287 Army 10.2%   14 - 11 10 - 5 15 - 13 11 - 7 -6.9      -3.2 262 -3.7 286 67.3 201 -4.6 240 -3.2 3
298 Lafayette 3.9%   9 - 18 5 - 10 11 - 19 7 - 11 -7.7      -6.5 336 -1.2 208 65.1 262 -10.1 322 -10.4 7
300 Boston University 7.3%   13 - 14 8 - 7 14 - 16 9 - 9 -7.8      -5.1 309 -2.7 249 60.4 352 -6.4 274 -6.2 5
317 Holy Cross 2.1%   11 - 15 5 - 10 12 - 17 6 - 12 -9.2      -3.7 273 -5.5 327 64.8 274 -6.6 283 -11.0 10
325 Loyola Maryland 1.9%   9 - 16 5 - 10 10 - 18 6 - 12 -9.9      -5.6 316 -4.4 303 67.0 210 -9.6 317 -10.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bucknell 1.9 37.1 40.0 15.7 7.0 0.3
Colgate 2.9 10.5 21.7 37.8 27.2 2.6 0.2
American 1.2 83.2 13.2 2.8 0.7
Lehigh 7.7 1.2 7.6 43.0 24.4 16.1 7.7
Navy 5.4 0.9 6.9 44.2 44.9 2.5 0.6 0.1
Army 2.6 16.3 27.4 34.1 21.4 0.8
Lafayette 7.6 2.7 8.7 44.0 23.0 14.4 7.3
Boston University 4.9 0.1 0.9 5.0 14.2 60.9 18.9
Holy Cross 8.4 0.5 4.3 19.6 28.9 26.6 20.1
Loyola Maryland 8.2 0.7 5.7 23.0 30.3 24.6 15.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bucknell 12 - 6 5.0 25.2 42.5 27.3
Colgate 11 - 7 4.0 22.3 43.5 30.2
American 13 - 5 6.6 29.8 45.0 18.6
Lehigh 7 - 11 12.3 37.8 37.3 12.6
Navy 9 - 9 7.1 30.7 45.6 16.7
Army 11 - 7 18.2 42.2 31.7 8.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 11.4 36.6 37.8 14.2
Boston University 9 - 9 19.1 44.6 29.8 6.5
Holy Cross 6 - 12 32.8 42.8 21.0 3.5
Loyola Maryland 6 - 12 27.4 42.8 24.8 5.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 37.1% 11.0 18.1 5.7 2.3 0.1
Colgate 10.5% 0.3 2.8 5.0 2.2 0.1
American 83.2% 49.9 24.4 6.6 2.3 0.1
Lehigh
Navy
Army 16.3% 3.4 6.8 3.9 2.2 0.1
Lafayette
Boston University 0.1% 0.0 0.1
Holy Cross
Loyola Maryland


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 16   0.2 3.9 18.0 77.9 0.0%
Colgate 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 0.6 19.1 80.3 0.0%
American 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 0.1 4.0 14.1 81.8 0.0%
Lehigh 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 6.1 93.9 0.0%
Navy 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 8.5 91.5 0.0%
Army 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.4 9.8 89.8 0.0%
Lafayette 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 3.9 96.1 0.0%
Boston University 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 7.3 92.7 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 22.1% 11.6% 16.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 19.7% 16.5% 12.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 18.2% 7.8% 14.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 6.1% 6.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 8.5% 8.5% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 10.2% 7.9% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 3.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 7.3% 6.7% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 64.7% 0.6 35.3 64.7
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0