Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#267
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#262
Pace69.0#173
Improvement-2.0#270

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#325
First Shot-4.3#294
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#286
Layup/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#358
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement+0.1#176

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#170
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#321
Layups/Dunks+2.3#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#274
Freethrows+3.0#20
Improvement-2.1#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 13.4% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 29.3% 42.9% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 90.0% 70.1%
Conference Champion 6.9% 11.4% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.9% 3.3%
First Four8.2% 8.3% 8.1%
First Round7.1% 9.2% 5.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 414 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 195   @ Delaware W 85-73 25%     1 - 0 +13.0 +0.7 +11.0
  Nov 07, 2024 324   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 55%     2 - 0 -1.3 -3.9 +2.4
  Nov 09, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -8.7 -3.8 -1.8
  Nov 13, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 60%     2 - 2 -12.5 -1.1 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 208   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 47%     3 - 2 -1.1 -7.2 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2024 356   NJIT W 81-64 83%     4 - 2 +0.9 +4.2 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 294   Rider L 53-57 66%     4 - 3 -14.3 -17.1 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2024 24   @ Maryland L 67-91 3%     4 - 4 -6.5 -1.1 -3.9
  Nov 30, 2024 273   Siena L 58-71 51%     4 - 5 -19.2 -8.8 -12.2
  Dec 04, 2024 99   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 22%     4 - 6 -15.0 -20.8 +4.5
  Dec 08, 2024 205   @ Radford L 70-74 OT 27%     4 - 7 -3.6 -6.9 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2024 15   @ Gonzaga L 65-86 2%     4 - 8 -1.6 -7.7 +8.0
  Dec 28, 2024 102   @ Syracuse L 63-75 12%     4 - 9 -5.2 -8.5 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2025 297   @ Lehigh L 64-66 OT 47%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -7.1 -17.2 +10.3
  Jan 05, 2025 197   Colgate W 66-60 44%     5 - 10 1 - 1 +1.6 -2.3 +4.5
  Jan 08, 2025 277   Lafayette W 65-62 OT 62%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -6.1 -11.8 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2025 235   @ American L 58-68 34%     6 - 11 2 - 2 -11.6 -11.7 -0.6
  Jan 15, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 86-82 71%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -7.8 +8.5 -16.0
  Jan 18, 2025 292   Navy W 73-69 66%     8 - 11 4 - 2 -6.1 -0.5 -5.3
  Jan 20, 2025 197   @ Colgate L 80-87 26%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -6.2 +6.5 -12.6
  Jan 25, 2025 283   @ Boston University L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 29, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 71-66 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 292   @ Navy L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 235   American W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 302   @ Army L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 12, 2025 283   Boston University W 66-62 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 65-67 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 297   Lehigh W 72-68 67%    
  Feb 23, 2025 302   Army W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 26, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland W 69-68 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross W 71-70 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.6 2.2 2.2 1.6 0.3 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 8.0 8.3 3.7 0.9 0.0 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 9.0 8.4 2.4 0.2 21.4 3rd
4th 0.2 6.8 7.7 1.3 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 7.2 1.6 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 5.6 2.2 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 3.0 0.2 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.5 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.5 6.2 12.2 17.9 20.4 18.4 12.9 6.1 2.5 0.4 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 89.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 63.4% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.0
13-5 36.6% 2.2    1.0 1.1 0.2
12-6 16.8% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1
11-7 3.2% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 2.6 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.4% 27.0% 27.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 2.5% 20.7% 20.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.0
13-5 6.1% 19.3% 19.3% 15.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.9
12-6 12.9% 18.7% 18.7% 15.9 0.2 2.2 10.5
11-7 18.4% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.1 2.4 16.0
10-8 20.4% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 2.2 18.2
9-9 17.9% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 1.8 16.1
8-10 12.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 11.7
7-11 6.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 6.0
6-12 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.4
5-13 0.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 10.4 88.6 0.0%