Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Pace60.6#349
Improvement+1.0#144

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#129
First Shot+0.2#164
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#118
Layup/Dunks-2.3#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#238
Freethrows+3.9#15
Improvement-0.4#202

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#237
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#118
Layups/Dunks+3.5#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#307
Freethrows-2.2#324
Improvement+1.4#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 12.6% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.7% 100.0% 89.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round12.0% 12.6% 9.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 77.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 33 - 33 - 10
Quad 415 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 10%     0 - 1 -26.8 -12.6 -13.8
  Nov 08, 2024 216   William & Mary W 89-77 67%     1 - 1 +6.5 +11.4 -5.0
  Nov 12, 2024 286   Old Dominion W 87-75 79%     2 - 1 +2.5 +9.2 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 237   @ Evansville W 92-81 52%     3 - 1 +9.5 +30.7 -20.1
  Nov 21, 2024 23   @ Clemson L 51-79 5%     3 - 2 -9.9 -8.6 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 63-48 91%     4 - 2 -0.7 -7.5 +8.6
  Nov 26, 2024 153   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-56 44%     5 - 2 +13.6 -0.3 +14.9
  Dec 01, 2024 331   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-70 75%     6 - 2 +1.0 +9.6 -7.7
  Dec 05, 2024 310   @ NC Central W 70-67 69%     7 - 2 -3.1 -8.4 +5.2
  Dec 08, 2024 232   Bucknell W 74-70 OT 70%     8 - 2 -2.4 -3.9 +1.3
  Dec 14, 2024 68   @ Utah L 63-81 14%     8 - 3 -7.2 -3.2 -4.3
  Dec 17, 2024 67   @ Colorado St. L 68-78 14%     8 - 4 +0.9 +7.6 -7.9
  Dec 22, 2024 84   @ South Carolina L 48-74 17%     8 - 5 -16.7 -14.2 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2025 96   @ High Point L 58-76 21%     8 - 6 0 - 1 -10.4 -5.1 -8.7
  Jan 04, 2025 196   Winthrop W 87-67 64%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +15.4 +14.9 +1.5
  Jan 11, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 80-67 80%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +3.2 +8.4 -4.1
  Jan 15, 2025 257   Gardner-Webb W 79-75 75%     11 - 6 3 - 1 -3.8 +4.3 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern L 54-58 63%     11 - 7 3 - 2 -8.4 -14.4 +5.6
  Jan 22, 2025 200   Longwood L 74-77 64%     11 - 8 3 - 3 -7.7 +5.6 -13.6
  Jan 25, 2025 270   @ Presbyterian W 82-69 59%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +9.8 +24.4 -11.8
  Jan 29, 2025 184   @ UNC Asheville L 65-72 42%     12 - 9 4 - 4 -5.7 -0.8 -5.9
  Feb 01, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 79-69 90%     13 - 9 5 - 4 -4.9 +6.0 -9.8
  Feb 05, 2025 96   High Point L 75-78 37%     13 - 10 5 - 5 -0.5 +6.5 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2025 200   @ Longwood W 71-69 45%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +2.4 +3.8 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2025 196   @ Winthrop L 74-78 45%     14 - 11 6 - 6 -3.5 -1.0 -2.5
  Feb 20, 2025 184   UNC Asheville W 77-53 61%     15 - 11 7 - 6 +20.2 +10.6 +12.9
  Feb 22, 2025 270   Presbyterian W 71-64 77%    
  Feb 26, 2025 257   @ Gardner-Webb W 74-72 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 285   Charleston Southern W 74-65 80%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 1.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 11.3 26.0 37.3 3rd
4th 0.2 15.2 33.6 7.7 56.7 4th
5th 0.9 2.9 3.8 5th
6th 1.2 1.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.3 18.1 44.8 34.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 34.7% 14.6% 14.6% 14.2 0.7 2.8 1.6 0.0 29.7
9-7 44.8% 11.2% 11.2% 14.8 0.1 1.1 3.3 0.5 39.8
8-8 18.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.1 0.3 1.0 0.5 16.3
7-9 2.3% 6.0% 6.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 2.2
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.8 4.2 6.0 1.1 88.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.1% 100.0% 14.2 13.6 54.5 31.6 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.3%
Lose Out 1.3%