NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#301
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#307
Pace66.7#227
Improvement+0.1#184

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#243
First Shot-4.0#292
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#104
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#262
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement-0.8#224

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#322
First Shot-3.1#276
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#324
Layups/Dunks-4.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#83
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement+0.9#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 14.9% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.2% 22.1% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 74.6% 93.5% 70.7%
Conference Champion 6.3% 22.5% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four8.4% 11.9% 7.7%
First Round5.1% 8.6% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Away) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 49 - 1111 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 81   @ George Mason L 58-75 6%     0 - 1 -7.2 -4.5 -3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 239   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 47%     0 - 2 -13.1 +2.4 -15.3
  Nov 12, 2024 106   @ High Point L 60-76 10%     0 - 3 -9.6 -5.0 -7.1
  Nov 15, 2024 252   Georgia Southern L 75-80 41%     0 - 4 -10.3 -6.5 -3.4
  Nov 16, 2024 218   William & Mary W 78-76 33%     1 - 4 -1.1 -0.5 -0.7
  Nov 17, 2024 204   @ Winthrop L 75-77 22%     1 - 5 -1.6 +2.0 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2024 285   @ Georgia St. L 79-93 37%     1 - 6 -18.3 +8.2 -27.5
  Dec 05, 2024 203   Radford L 67-70 38%     1 - 7 -7.6 -10.9 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 239   @ Gardner-Webb W 78-77 29%     2 - 7 -1.1 +2.9 -3.9
  Dec 10, 2024 43   @ West Virginia L 45-79 3%     2 - 8 -20.3 -13.3 -11.2
  Dec 14, 2024 186   @ Longwood W 77-70 19%     3 - 8 +8.4 +5.3 +3.1
  Dec 20, 2024 186   Longwood L 67-82 34%     3 - 9 -18.6 -6.7 -12.3
  Dec 28, 2024 333   @ N.C. A&T L 72-85 52%     3 - 10 -21.3 -2.1 -19.9
  Jan 04, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 61-63 75%     3 - 11 0 - 1 -17.0 -15.6 -1.4
  Jan 07, 2025 331   @ Morgan St. L 98-102 2OT 52%     3 - 12 0 - 2 -12.3 -1.5 -10.0
  Jan 11, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-69 84%     4 - 12 1 - 2 +0.6 +9.4 -8.2
  Jan 13, 2025 319   Delaware St. W 75-72 65%     5 - 12 2 - 2 -8.9 -0.5 -8.3
  Jan 25, 2025 247   South Carolina St. W 82-77 49%     6 - 12 3 - 2 -2.6 +1.2 -4.1
  Feb 03, 2025 176   @ Norfolk St. L 67-77 17%    
  Feb 08, 2025 290   @ Howard L 76-79 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 75-63 89%    
  Feb 17, 2025 331   Morgan St. W 82-76 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 24, 2025 319   @ Delaware St. L 73-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 290   Howard W 79-77 59%    
  Mar 03, 2025 176   Norfolk St. L 69-74 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 247   @ South Carolina St. L 71-76 30%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.8 3.3 1.8 0.3 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 2.6 9.5 3.8 0.2 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 12.1 6.2 0.2 21.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 11.8 7.9 0.3 21.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 8.6 9.5 0.8 20.1 5th
6th 1.0 4.9 6.1 0.9 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 8th
Total 0.1 1.8 6.9 16.5 24.9 23.3 16.8 7.3 2.0 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
11-3 90.9% 1.8    1.2 0.6
10-4 45.1% 3.3    0.7 1.9 0.7
9-5 4.9% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 2.2 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.3% 31.3% 31.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2
11-3 2.0% 24.7% 24.7% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.5
10-4 7.3% 20.9% 20.9% 16.0 0.1 1.5 5.8
9-5 16.8% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 2.5 14.3
8-6 23.3% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 2.3 21.0
7-7 24.9% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.5 23.4
6-8 16.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.7 15.8
5-9 6.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.7
4-10 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.1 90.6 0.0%