NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#267
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#299
Pace66.0#276
Improvement+1.0#74

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#213
First Shot-0.4#199
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#244
Layup/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
Freethrows+0.3#169
Improvement+0.3#121

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#298
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#328
Layups/Dunks-8.8#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.7#7
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement+0.7#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 22.1% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 41.8% 58.0% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 90.0% 84.4%
Conference Champion 21.9% 26.6% 19.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.2%
First Four12.8% 13.1% 12.6%
First Round12.3% 16.1% 10.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 31.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 412 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 96   @ George Mason L 58-75 10%     0 - 1 -8.6 -7.8 -1.2
  Nov 08, 2024 222   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 53%     0 - 2 -12.0 +3.1 -14.8
  Nov 12, 2024 125   @ High Point L 60-76 15%     0 - 3 -10.5 -4.2 -8.8
  Nov 15, 2024 214   Georgia Southern L 75-80 39%     0 - 4 -7.6 -6.2 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 208   William & Mary W 78-76 38%     1 - 4 -0.4 +0.4 -0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 193   @ Winthrop L 75-77 25%     1 - 5 -0.5 +4.6 -5.1
  Nov 22, 2024 223   @ Georgia St. L 69-74 31%    
  Dec 05, 2024 227   Radford W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 07, 2024 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-75 31%    
  Dec 10, 2024 76   @ West Virginia L 64-80 7%    
  Dec 14, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 64-71 25%    
  Dec 20, 2024 179   Longwood L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 272   @ N.C. A&T L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-61 83%    
  Jan 06, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-64 85%    
  Jan 13, 2025 345   Delaware St. W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 25, 2025 321   South Carolina St. W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 232   @ Howard L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 03, 2025 206   @ Norfolk St. L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-58 93%    
  Feb 17, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 24, 2025 345   @ Delaware St. W 72-68 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 232   Howard W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 03, 2025 206   Norfolk St. L 70-71 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 321   @ South Carolina St. W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.2 7.1 7.1 3.3 0.7 21.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.5 10.1 5.8 1.0 24.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.9 9.2 3.3 0.3 22.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.9 6.0 1.4 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.4 0.2 4.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.9 7.3 11.1 15.7 17.6 16.7 13.2 8.0 3.3 0.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.3    3.1 0.2
12-2 87.9% 7.1    5.0 2.0 0.0
11-3 54.0% 7.1    3.2 3.3 0.6
10-4 19.1% 3.2    0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1
9-5 2.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.9% 21.9 12.9 7.2 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 51.2% 51.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
13-1 3.3% 44.9% 44.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.8
12-2 8.0% 37.5% 37.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.0
11-3 13.2% 29.6% 29.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.5 9.3
10-4 16.7% 22.5% 22.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.7 12.9
9-5 17.6% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7 14.8
8-6 15.7% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6 14.1
7-7 11.1% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.8 10.2
6-8 7.3% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.4 6.9
5-9 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 3.7
4-10 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-11 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-12 0.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 16.0 81.7 0.0%