Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#65
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#127
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#54
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 5.6% 5.8% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 11.7% 12.1% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.8% 31.7% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.9% 30.7% 10.7%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.3
.500 or above 52.5% 53.9% 22.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.4% 33.2% 15.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 11.6% 24.5%
First Four4.4% 4.5% 2.5%
First Round28.7% 29.5% 9.8%
Second Round16.7% 17.2% 5.4%
Sweet Sixteen7.0% 7.2% 2.2%
Elite Eight2.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Final Four1.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 24 - 37 - 14
Quad 33 - 110 - 15
Quad 45 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 295   Robert Morris W 82-64 96%    
  Nov 08, 2024 116   Massachusetts W 78-69 79%    
  Nov 15, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 69-73 36%    
  Nov 20, 2024 210   Iona W 79-65 89%    
  Nov 27, 2024 6   Gonzaga L 73-81 23%    
  Dec 06, 2024 101   Georgetown W 77-71 70%    
  Dec 10, 2024 256   NC Central W 80-64 92%    
  Dec 14, 2024 298   Bethune-Cookman W 84-65 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 362   Mercyhurst W 86-57 99%    
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Kansas L 69-82 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 87   Oklahoma St. W 74-69 65%    
  Jan 07, 2025 11   Arizona L 77-81 35%    
  Jan 12, 2025 79   @ Colorado L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 15, 2025 3   @ Houston L 60-73 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 8   Iowa St. L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 21, 2025 73   Arizona St. W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 39   @ Kansas St. L 69-75 33%    
  Jan 29, 2025 3   Houston L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 02, 2025 27   @ Cincinnati L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 53   @ TCU L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 77   Utah W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 11, 2025 32   BYU L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 9   @ Baylor L 67-78 19%    
  Feb 19, 2025 27   Cincinnati L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 21   @ Texas Tech L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 25, 2025 53   TCU W 77-75 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 32   @ BYU L 73-79 31%    
  Mar 04, 2025 77   @ Utah L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 71   Central Florida W 75-71 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 1.1 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.8 0.2 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.5 0.9 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.1 1.5 0.1 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.8 15th
16th 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.2 16th
Total 0.3 1.3 2.7 4.7 7.3 9.0 10.1 11.0 11.0 10.2 8.9 7.4 5.9 4.1 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 89.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 94.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 67.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 36.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 41.2% 58.8% 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 23.2% 76.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.7% 99.8% 11.7% 88.1% 3.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 2.8% 99.6% 8.8% 90.9% 4.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-7 4.1% 98.4% 4.8% 93.6% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.4%
12-8 5.9% 93.8% 2.9% 90.9% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 93.6%
11-9 7.4% 82.3% 1.3% 80.9% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.3 82.0%
10-10 8.9% 60.1% 0.4% 59.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.5 60.0%
9-11 10.2% 26.2% 0.4% 25.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.5 25.9%
8-12 11.0% 8.1% 0.2% 7.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 7.9%
7-13 11.0% 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.8 1.2%
6-14 10.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
5-15 9.0% 9.0
4-16 7.3% 7.3
3-17 4.7% 4.7
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 30.8% 1.4% 29.5% 7.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.9 1.0 0.0 69.2 29.9%