Preseason Rankings
Colorado
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#79
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.9#159
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#73
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.9% 4.2% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 8.5% 9.0% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.2% 26.4% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.6% 25.8% 9.6%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 8.9
.500 or above 49.7% 51.9% 22.1%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 25.8% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 16.8% 29.9%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 2.5%
First Round23.1% 24.3% 8.1%
Second Round12.8% 13.5% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen4.9% 5.1% 1.1%
Elite Eight1.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 23 - 36 - 14
Quad 33 - 19 - 15
Quad 46 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 262   Eastern Washington W 83-68 93%    
  Nov 08, 2024 226   Northern Colorado W 82-68 90%    
  Nov 13, 2024 244   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-61 91%    
  Nov 17, 2024 182   Harvard W 75-64 84%    
  Nov 25, 2024 24   Michigan St. L 65-70 33%    
  Dec 02, 2024 314   Pacific W 82-63 95%    
  Dec 07, 2024 84   Colorado St. W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 13, 2024 178   South Dakota St. W 77-66 83%    
  Dec 21, 2024 299   Bellarmine W 78-60 93%    
  Dec 30, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 73   @ Arizona St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 08, 2025 71   @ Central Florida L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 12, 2025 65   West Virginia W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 15, 2025 27   Cincinnati L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-72 42%    
  Jan 21, 2025 32   BYU L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 11   @ Arizona L 71-83 17%    
  Jan 28, 2025 73   Arizona St. W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 02, 2025 53   @ TCU L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 77   @ Utah L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   Houston L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 11, 2025 2   @ Kansas L 67-81 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 71   Central Florida W 73-70 58%    
  Feb 18, 2025 8   @ Iowa St. L 63-75 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 9   Baylor L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 24, 2025 2   Kansas L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 02, 2025 39   @ Kansas St. L 67-74 29%    
  Mar 05, 2025 21   @ Texas Tech L 67-75 25%    
  Mar 08, 2025 53   TCU W 75-74 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 3.5 1.5 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 11.2 15th
16th 0.7 2.1 3.3 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 11.2 16th
Total 0.7 2.2 4.3 6.7 8.8 10.4 11.2 11.1 10.6 9.3 7.6 5.8 4.3 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 87.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 71.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 41.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 16.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.8% 81.2% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.1% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.9% 100.0% 6.9% 93.1% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 3.0% 98.4% 4.5% 93.9% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4%
12-8 4.3% 94.1% 2.8% 91.3% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 93.9%
11-9 5.8% 83.0% 1.5% 81.5% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 82.7%
10-10 7.6% 64.3% 0.6% 63.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 64.1%
9-11 9.3% 34.1% 0.3% 33.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 33.9%
8-12 10.6% 9.9% 0.2% 9.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.6 9.8%
7-13 11.1% 1.7% 0.1% 1.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.9 1.6%
6-14 11.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.2%
5-15 10.4% 10.4
4-16 8.8% 8.8
3-17 6.7% 6.7
2-18 4.3% 4.3
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 25.2% 0.8% 24.4% 7.6 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 74.8 24.6%