Harvard
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#251
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#259
Pace65.9#239
Improvement+1.4#125

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#259
First Shot+1.0#140
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#352
Layup/Dunks-2.3#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#97
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+2.0#85

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#226
First Shot-3.2#275
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#85
Layups/Dunks-5.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#183
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-0.7#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.2% 37.3% 3.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.0% 1.5%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 40.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 48 - 710 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 223   Marist W 79-66 53%     1 - 0 +7.2 +11.0 -3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 283   @ Navy L 80-85 47%     1 - 1 -9.3 +2.1 -11.2
  Nov 10, 2024 247   @ American L 55-67 39%     1 - 2 -14.3 -14.0 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 212   @ Northeastern L 56-78 32%     1 - 3 -22.1 -16.9 -5.0
  Nov 17, 2024 91   @ Colorado L 66-88 11%     1 - 4 -13.9 -0.4 -13.8
  Nov 22, 2024 239   Colgate W 78-67 57%     2 - 4 +4.2 +3.5 +1.3
  Nov 27, 2024 168   Massachusetts L 54-62 42%     2 - 5 -10.9 -14.4 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 64-77 2%     2 - 6 +7.4 +6.2 +1.1
  Dec 04, 2024 317   @ Holy Cross L 67-68 56%     2 - 7 -7.6 -6.2 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2024 355   @ New Hampshire W 72-62 72%     3 - 7 -1.2 -4.3 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2024 159   Furman L 63-77 40%     3 - 8 -16.4 -4.9 -13.0
  Dec 29, 2024 259   @ Iona W 67-61 41%     4 - 8 +3.2 -0.2 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 162   Princeton L 64-68 41%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -6.6 -2.8 -4.2
  Jan 18, 2025 185   @ Brown W 80-67 28%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +14.1 +10.9 +3.7
  Jan 20, 2025 260   Penn L 67-82 61%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -22.9 -5.0 -19.4
  Jan 25, 2025 70   @ Yale L 55-84 8%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -18.4 -12.3 -7.3
  Jan 31, 2025 275   @ Columbia W 90-82 45%     6 - 11 2 - 3 +4.2 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 01, 2025 164   @ Cornell L 60-75 24%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -12.6 -8.6 -5.7
  Feb 08, 2025 206   @ Dartmouth L 56-76 31%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -19.9 -9.2 -12.6
  Feb 14, 2025 164   Cornell W 75-73 41%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -0.7 -5.0 +4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 275   Columbia W 87-75 65%     8 - 13 4 - 5 +3.1 +9.2 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2025 162   @ Princeton L 71-76 24%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -2.5 +10.9 -14.2
  Feb 22, 2025 260   @ Penn L 70-72 40%    
  Feb 28, 2025 185   Brown L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 70   Yale L 68-79 17%    
  Mar 08, 2025 206   Dartmouth L 71-72 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.3 0.8 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 1.3 4.9 3rd
4th 2.5 8.0 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 2.1 19.3 3.1 24.6 5th
6th 5.0 27.5 12.1 0.1 44.7 6th
7th 9.0 5.1 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 13.9 34.8 34.0 15.0 2.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.4 0.1 0.0 2.1
7-7 15.0% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 14.5
6-8 34.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 33.9
5-9 34.8% 34.8
4-10 13.9% 13.9
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 13.9%