Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#132
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#152
Pace77.1#22
Improvement+2.4#55

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#73
First Shot+7.9#19
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#347
Layup/Dunks+4.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#12
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement+2.1#53

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#249
First Shot-1.7#235
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#245
Layups/Dunks-2.7#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#142
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement+0.3#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 15.7% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 88.1% 90.5% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.9% 81.1% 71.9%
Conference Champion 19.5% 20.5% 12.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.6% 5.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round15.1% 15.7% 10.9%
Second Round1.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 35 - 46 - 7
Quad 49 - 316 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 118   Samford W 88-86 56%     1 - 0 +1.8 -3.0 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 168   @ La Salle L 77-93 46%     1 - 1 -13.4 +0.6 -12.9
  Nov 16, 2024 279   Lafayette W 81-71 85%     2 - 1 +0.6 +7.3 -6.5
  Nov 21, 2024 252   Robert Morris L 76-86 81%     2 - 2 -17.8 -1.7 -15.7
  Nov 25, 2024 262   @ Iona W 84-68 65%     3 - 2 +13.6 +5.6 +6.8
  Nov 27, 2024 103   @ Syracuse L 72-82 28%     3 - 3 -2.3 -3.3 +1.7
  Dec 04, 2024 244   @ Colgate W 84-57 61%     4 - 3 +25.6 +14.8 +12.3
  Dec 08, 2024 308   @ Army W 103-84 74%     5 - 3 +13.9 +25.4 -12.0
  Dec 10, 2024 126   @ California W 88-80 37%     6 - 3 +12.9 +11.3 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2024 153   Illinois St. L 77-80 66%     6 - 4 -5.8 +4.9 -10.9
  Dec 30, 2024 304   Siena W 81-69 87%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   @ Columbia L 83-84 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 288   @ Penn W 81-76 70%    
  Jan 20, 2025 173   Brown W 80-75 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 111   @ Princeton L 79-84 33%    
  Jan 31, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 86-75 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 234   Harvard W 82-74 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 97   Yale L 81-82 48%    
  Feb 14, 2025 234   @ Harvard W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 21, 2025 97   @ Yale L 78-85 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 173   @ Brown L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 288   Penn W 84-73 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 111   Princeton W 82-81 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 169   Columbia W 86-81 67%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.9 4.5 1.7 0.3 19.5 1st
2nd 0.1 2.6 8.1 8.3 2.7 0.3 22.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 9.1 6.8 1.6 0.1 20.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 7.6 5.3 0.7 15.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.7 0.4 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.4 0.2 6.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.8 9.8 14.4 17.5 16.8 14.7 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
12-2 92.8% 4.5    3.7 0.8 0.0
11-3 71.4% 6.9    4.1 2.6 0.3
10-4 32.7% 4.8    1.4 2.3 1.0 0.1
9-5 7.0% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 11.2 6.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 65.1% 65.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
13-1 1.7% 44.1% 44.1% 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-2 4.9% 35.4% 35.4% 12.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 0.1 3.1
11-3 9.7% 29.0% 29.0% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 6.9
10-4 14.7% 24.5% 24.5% 13.2 0.4 2.0 1.1 0.1 11.1
9-5 16.8% 20.1% 20.1% 13.6 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.4
8-6 17.5% 12.3% 12.3% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 15.3
7-7 14.4% 3.5% 3.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 13.9
6-8 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.8
5-9 5.8% 5.8
4-10 2.8% 2.8
3-11 1.2% 1.2
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.3 4.5 1.2 0.0 84.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 10.6 4.4 13.2 13.2 49.5 19.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%