Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#253
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#182
Pace67.6#235
Improvement+2.4#17

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#279
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#299
Layup/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#281
Freethrows+1.6#96
Improvement+0.6#94

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot-3.5#286
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#44
Layups/Dunks-3.3#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows+0.1#186
Improvement+1.8#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 4.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 53.0% 57.0% 29.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 47.3% 32.1%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.6% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 4.3% 7.2%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round3.9% 4.2% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 85.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 73 - 9
Quad 412 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 54   @ West Virginia L 59-87 7%     0 - 1 -15.8 -8.2 -7.1
  Nov 07, 2024 216   @ Delaware L 77-81 31%     0 - 2 -3.6 -1.1 -2.2
  Nov 14, 2024 339   Stonehill W 63-51 81%     1 - 2 -2.2 -12.2 +10.4
  Nov 15, 2024 355   Lindenwood W 67-53 87%     2 - 2 -2.8 -6.5 +5.3
  Nov 17, 2024 356   New Orleans W 73-62 87%     3 - 2 -5.9 -10.8 +4.5
  Nov 21, 2024 209   @ Cornell W 86-76 30%     4 - 2 +10.6 +6.9 +3.3
  Nov 27, 2024 351   Canisius W 76-65 86%    
  Nov 30, 2024 159   @ Ohio L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 04, 2024 173   Youngstown St. L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 08, 2024 137   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-79 19%    
  Dec 17, 2024 126   Towson L 63-67 36%    
  Dec 29, 2024 201   Northern Kentucky W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 02, 2025 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 214   @ Oakland L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 08, 2025 219   Cleveland St. W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 12, 2025 143   Wright St. L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 17, 2025 252   @ Green Bay L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 19, 2025 211   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 22, 2025 173   @ Youngstown St. L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 214   Oakland W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 360   IU Indianapolis W 76-63 86%    
  Feb 02, 2025 143   @ Wright St. L 71-80 22%    
  Feb 05, 2025 328   Detroit Mercy W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 219   @ Cleveland St. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 137   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 21, 2025 252   Green Bay W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 23, 2025 211   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 27, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 73-66 72%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 3.2 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.8 3.5 4.7 1.6 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.6 5.5 1.8 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 0.9 3.9 5.7 2.1 0.2 13.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.2 5.5 2.7 0.2 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.1 4.3 1.9 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 3.5 5.7 8.1 10.3 12.0 13.0 11.9 10.4 8.2 6.1 4.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-3 92.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 64.3% 0.8    0.6 0.1
15-5 40.0% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 18.6% 18.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.4% 15.8% 15.8% 13.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.2% 24.7% 24.7% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.4% 15.0% 15.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.1
14-6 4.3% 12.0% 12.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.7
13-7 6.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 5.4
12-8 8.2% 8.9% 8.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 7.5
11-9 10.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 9.9
10-10 11.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.4
9-11 13.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
8-12 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-13 10.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.2
6-14 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-15 5.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-16 3.5% 3.5
3-17 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-18 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 95.8 0.0%