Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#216
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#175
Pace71.2#105
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#242
First Shot-2.7#248
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#186
Layup/Dunks+0.8#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#347
Freethrows+3.8#17
Improvement+5.0#6

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#186
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#55
Layups/Dunks-3.2#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#71
Freethrows-1.0#260
Improvement-2.8#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 7.3% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.1
.500 or above 96.2% 99.3% 94.5%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 92.9% 73.0%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round5.9% 7.3% 5.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 35.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 35 - 66 - 8
Quad 413 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 38   @ West Virginia L 59-87 6%     0 - 1 -13.3 -5.5 -7.4
  Nov 07, 2024 195   @ Delaware L 77-81 34%     0 - 2 -3.0 -4.8 +2.1
  Nov 14, 2024 316   Stonehill W 63-51 79%     1 - 2 +0.5 -13.9 +14.7
  Nov 15, 2024 342   Lindenwood W 67-53 85%     2 - 2 -0.2 -3.7 +5.1
  Nov 17, 2024 347   New Orleans W 73-62 86%     3 - 2 -3.7 -10.3 +6.3
  Nov 21, 2024 143   @ Cornell W 86-76 25%     4 - 2 +14.0 +7.5 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2024 345   Canisius W 72-64 85%     5 - 2 -6.5 -8.2 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2024 160   @ Ohio L 68-84 28%     5 - 3 -13.0 -4.9 -8.2
  Dec 04, 2024 207   Youngstown St. L 58-72 57%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -19.0 -17.1 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2024 144   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-82 25%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -1.0 -5.8 +5.3
  Dec 17, 2024 175   Towson W 68-67 50%     6 - 5 -2.3 +3.0 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2024 344   St. Francis (PA) W 90-77 85%     7 - 5 -1.5 +5.2 -7.4
  Dec 29, 2024 234   Northern Kentucky W 97-93 3OT 64%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -2.8 -3.0 -0.9
  Jan 02, 2025 330   @ Detroit Mercy L 76-78 OT 68%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -10.1 -2.3 -7.8
  Jan 04, 2025 179   @ Oakland W 79-71 32%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +9.7 +13.9 -3.4
  Jan 08, 2025 169   Cleveland St. L 69-80 49%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -14.0 -4.5 -9.5
  Jan 12, 2025 178   Wright St. W 75-72 51%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -0.4 -4.2 +3.7
  Jan 17, 2025 331   @ Green Bay W 89-67 70%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +13.3 +10.6 +2.8
  Jan 19, 2025 162   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-79 28%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +4.8 +7.5 -2.7
  Jan 22, 2025 207   @ Youngstown St. L 69-72 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 179   Oakland W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 327   IU Indianapolis W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 02, 2025 178   @ Wright St. L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 330   Detroit Mercy W 76-66 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 234   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 169   @ Cleveland St. L 69-74 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 144   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-80 43%    
  Feb 21, 2025 331   Green Bay W 81-70 85%    
  Feb 23, 2025 162   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 327   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.9 6.2 1.0 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 8.7 2.8 0.1 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 8.9 6.7 0.3 17.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 7.6 9.2 1.0 0.0 19.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 6.7 8.3 2.1 0.0 19.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.4 1.3 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.2 12.8 19.2 22.7 19.5 12.2 4.8 1.4 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 95.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-5 62.0% 0.9    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-6 23.5% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 1.4% 12.4% 12.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-6 4.8% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.1
13-7 12.2% 10.9% 10.9% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 10.8
12-8 19.5% 8.4% 8.4% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.4 17.9
11-9 22.7% 4.2% 4.2% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 21.8
10-10 19.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 18.5
9-11 12.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.2 0.2 12.5
8-12 5.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.2
7-13 1.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 1.6
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 1.5 94.0 0.0%