IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.8	#354
Expected Predictive Rating	-21.2	#363

Pace	65.1	#278
Improvement	+0.4	#149

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#295

First Shot	+1.1	#145
After Offensive Rebound	-5.5	#364

Layup/Dunks	-3.0	#290
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#76
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.3	#50
Freethrows	-2.0	#292

Improvement	-0.7	#240

Defense
Total Defense	-8.4	#360

First Shot	-8.5	#362
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.1	#176

Layups/Dunks	-3.6	#308
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#162
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.2	#332
Freethrows	-1.0	#258

Improvement	+1.1	#90

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	2.5%	6.5%	1.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	65.2%	44.4%	70.8%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 21.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 10
Quad 4	4 - 17	5 - 27

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	12	@ Arizona	L	64-93	1%	0 - 1			-9.8	-0.9	-8.1
Nov 09, 2024	87	St. Bonaventure	L	78-87	7%	0 - 2			-5.5	+18.2	-24.7
Nov 13, 2024	359	@ Mercyhurst	L	52-62	44%	0 - 3			-21.1	-18.2	-4.3
Nov 16, 2024	280	SIU Edwardsville	L	58-76	27%	0 - 4			-24.5	-13.4	-11.9
Nov 17, 2024	294	@ Western Michigan	L	69-92	21%	0 - 5			-27.2	-5.5	-22.1
Nov 19, 2024	13	@ Maryland	L	37-108	1%	0 - 6			-51.9	-28.4	-17.6
Nov 23, 2024	173	Brown	L	76-83	19%	0 - 7			-10.7	+11.0	-22.6
Nov 27, 2024	252	@ Robert Morris	L	64-72	15%	0 - 8			-9.8	-5.4	-4.7
Dec 06, 2024	194	Merrimack	L	52-60	22%	0 - 9	0 - 1		-12.7	-17.7	+4.5
Dec 08, 2024	304	Siena	L	53-66	42%	0 - 10	0 - 2		-23.8	-13.9	-12.4
Dec 14, 2024	224	Maine	L	79-84	27%	0 - 11			-11.5	+12.0	-23.9
Dec 18, 2024	121	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-72	5%	0 - 12			-6.4	-3.5	-3.9
Dec 21, 2024	84	@ Bradley	L	59-92	3%	0 - 13			-23.3	-0.6	-28.0
Jan 05, 2025	296	@ Sacred Heart	L	70-79	21%
Jan 10, 2025	303	Rider	L	68-70	43%
Jan 12, 2025	204	St. Peter's	L	62-70	23%
Jan 16, 2025	262	@ Iona	L	66-76	17%
Jan 18, 2025	299	@ Fairfield	L	70-78	22%
Jan 23, 2025	296	Sacred Heart	L	73-76	41%
Jan 25, 2025	218	Marist	L	63-70	27%
Jan 31, 2025	311	Niagara	L	69-71	44%
Feb 06, 2025	240	@ Quinnipiac	L	69-81	15%
Feb 08, 2025	194	@ Merrimack	L	61-75	10%
Feb 12, 2025	311	@ Niagara	L	66-74	25%
Feb 16, 2025	228	Mount St. Mary's	L	69-75	29%
Feb 21, 2025	218	@ Marist	L	60-73	12%
Feb 23, 2025	304	@ Siena	L	64-72	23%
Feb 28, 2025	276	Manhattan	L	74-77	37%
Mar 02, 2025	262	Iona	L	69-73	34%
Mar 06, 2025	303	@ Rider	L	65-73	24%
Mar 08, 2025	204	@ St. Peter's	L	59-73	11%
Projected Record						5 - 26	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0							0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.0									0.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.2	3rd
4th											0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0									0.3	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0	0.0									0.6	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.0										1.0	6th
7th									0.2	0.9	0.4	0.0											1.6	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.1	1.3	0.1	0.0											2.7	8th
9th							0.1	1.2	2.4	0.6													4.3	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.4	3.4	1.5	0.1													6.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.4	4.2	3.1	0.3														10.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	1.5	4.8	7.1	4.5	1.1	0.0														19.3	12th
13th	1.4	5.9	11.3	14.5	12.2	6.2	1.3	0.1															52.9	13th

Total	1.4	5.9	11.5	16.1	17.4	15.9	11.6	9.1	5.5	3.2	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0								Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-6	42.9%	0.0			0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																							0.0
14-6	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%																							0.1
12-8	0.3%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
11-9	0.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
10-10	1.4%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
9-11	3.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
8-12	5.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
7-13	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
6-14	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
5-15	15.9%																							15.9
4-16	17.4%																							17.4
3-17	16.1%																							16.1
2-18	11.5%																							11.5
1-19	5.9%																							5.9
0-20	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	16.0																	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.4%