Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#355
Expected Predictive Rating-16.7#356
Pace65.6#249
Improvement+0.8#162

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#281
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#364
Layup/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#47
Freethrows-2.1#297
Improvement-0.6#209

Defense
Total Defense-9.8#360
First Shot-9.7#362
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#199
Layups/Dunks-3.9#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#337
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement+1.3#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 43 - 183 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 12   @ Arizona L 64-93 0.4%    0 - 1 -8.2 -0.3 -7.2
  Nov 09, 2024 104   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 9%     0 - 2 -7.8 +16.5 -25.3
  Nov 13, 2024 345   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 33%     0 - 3 -19.5 -18.8 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2024 246   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 20%     0 - 4 -22.9 -13.0 -10.7
  Nov 17, 2024 304   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 21%     0 - 5 -28.5 -5.2 -23.7
  Nov 19, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 37-108 0.5%    0 - 6 -50.6 -27.7 -17.0
  Nov 23, 2024 204   Brown L 76-83 20%     0 - 7 -11.9 +11.3 -24.1
  Nov 27, 2024 158   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 7%     0 - 8 -5.0 -4.3 -1.0
  Dec 06, 2024 206   Merrimack L 52-60 20%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -13.1 -16.5 +2.9
  Dec 08, 2024 237   Siena L 53-66 25%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -20.0 -13.2 -9.3
  Dec 14, 2024 223   Maine L 79-84 22%     0 - 11 -10.9 +11.7 -23.0
  Dec 18, 2024 117   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-72 5%     0 - 12 -6.5 -4.2 -3.2
  Dec 21, 2024 96   @ Bradley L 59-92 3%     0 - 13 -24.8 -0.8 -29.3
  Jan 05, 2025 259   @ Sacred Heart L 82-99 15%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -19.7 +5.2 -24.7
  Jan 10, 2025 307   Rider W 85-67 40%     1 - 14 1 - 3 +6.8 +16.1 -7.2
  Jan 12, 2025 276   St. Peter's L 49-62 32%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -22.1 -19.4 -4.1
  Jan 16, 2025 249   @ Iona L 61-82 14%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -23.2 -4.3 -20.6
  Jan 18, 2025 330   @ Fairfield W 78-67 27%     2 - 16 2 - 5 +3.3 +8.4 -4.1
  Jan 23, 2025 259   Sacred Heart L 84-93 29%     2 - 17 2 - 6 -17.1 +3.8 -20.7
  Jan 25, 2025 241   Marist L 47-70 26%     2 - 18 2 - 7 -30.3 -19.2 -14.3
  Jan 31, 2025 321   Niagara L 63-64 44%     2 - 19 2 - 8 -13.3 -10.7 -2.7
  Feb 06, 2025 197   @ Quinnipiac L 71-89 9%     2 - 20 2 - 9 -17.2 -1.8 -14.7
  Feb 08, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 51-69 10%     2 - 21 2 - 10 -17.7 -14.5 -4.4
  Feb 12, 2025 321   @ Niagara L 60-71 25%     2 - 22 2 - 11 -17.9 -11.4 -7.4
  Feb 16, 2025 261   Mount St. Mary's L 66-73 29%     2 - 23 2 - 12 -15.2 -6.7 -8.8
  Feb 21, 2025 241   @ Marist L 81-89 13%     2 - 24 2 - 13 -9.9 +19.2 -29.9
  Feb 23, 2025 237   @ Siena W 93-88 13%     3 - 24 3 - 13 +3.4 +8.2 -5.4
  Feb 28, 2025 248   Manhattan L 72-77 27%     3 - 25 3 - 14 -12.6 -3.5 -9.4
  Mar 02, 2025 249   Iona L 52-82 27%     3 - 26 3 - 15 -37.6 -15.0 -26.1
  Mar 06, 2025 307   @ Rider L 68-76 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 276   @ St. Peter's L 61-71 17%    
Projected Record 3 - 28 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 1.9 1.9 12th
13th 66.3 29.7 2.2 98.1 13th
Total 66.3 29.7 4.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 4.0% 4.0
4-16 29.7% 29.7
3-17 66.3% 66.3
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.0%
Lose Out 66.3%