Preseason Rankings
Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#297
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.1#221
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 15.6% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.2 15.3
.500 or above 29.4% 71.6% 29.1%
.500 or above in Conference 46.0% 75.4% 45.8%
Conference Champion 4.4% 17.6% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 2.5% 9.3%
First Four1.4% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round3.6% 14.2% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 412 - 913 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 11   @ Arizona L 62-88 1%    
  Nov 09, 2024 120   St. Bonaventure L 64-71 28%    
  Nov 13, 2024 362   @ Mercyhurst W 72-64 77%    
  Nov 16, 2024 316   SIU Edwardsville W 68-67 55%    
  Nov 17, 2024 311   @ Western Michigan L 70-72 43%    
  Nov 19, 2024 38   @ Maryland L 55-76 3%    
  Nov 23, 2024 181   Brown L 68-71 39%    
  Nov 27, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 68-71 39%    
  Dec 06, 2024 243   Merrimack L 65-66 50%    
  Dec 08, 2024 339   Siena W 69-62 73%    
  Dec 14, 2024 253   Maine W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 18, 2024 100   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-77 9%    
  Dec 21, 2024 92   @ Bradley L 60-76 8%    
  Jan 05, 2025 334   @ Sacred Heart W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 10, 2025 241   Rider L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 12, 2025 214   St. Peter's L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 210   @ Iona L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 237   @ Fairfield L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 334   Sacred Heart W 75-68 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 235   Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 31, 2025 308   Niagara W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 06, 2025 212   @ Quinnipiac L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 243   @ Merrimack L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 308   @ Niagara L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 16, 2025 270   Mount St. Mary's W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 21, 2025 235   @ Marist L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 23, 2025 339   @ Siena W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 28, 2025 331   Manhattan W 72-66 69%    
  Mar 02, 2025 210   Iona L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 06, 2025 241   @ Rider L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 214   @ St. Peter's L 59-66 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.8 1.0 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.2 1.4 0.1 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 2.5 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.2 8.1 9.5 10.2 10.8 10.3 9.5 7.8 6.3 4.9 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 98.4% 0.5    0.4 0.0 0.0
17-3 83.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.0% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 9.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 71.4% 71.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 42.4% 42.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 32.5% 32.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.1% 28.2% 28.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.0% 22.0% 22.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.6
15-5 3.4% 18.2% 18.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.8
14-6 4.9% 12.8% 12.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.3
13-7 6.3% 9.9% 9.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.7
12-8 7.8% 6.9% 6.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.3
11-9 9.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
10-10 10.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.1
9-11 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.7
8-12 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.1
7-13 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.5
6-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-15 6.2% 6.2
4-16 4.4% 4.4
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%