Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.9#351
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#357
Pace65.1#265
Improvement+0.7#152

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#269
First Shot+1.9#123
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#364
Layup/Dunks-2.7#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#44
Freethrows-2.0#298
Improvement+0.3#172

Defense
Total Defense-9.3#361
First Shot-9.2#363
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-3.6#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#336
Freethrows-1.1#262
Improvement+0.4#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 71.4% 53.9% 87.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 45 - 165 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 11   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -8.9 -1.4 -6.7
  Nov 09, 2024 95   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 8%     0 - 2 -6.0 +16.0 -23.0
  Nov 13, 2024 358   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 45%     0 - 3 -21.5 -19.2 -3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 259   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 24%     0 - 4 -23.6 -13.2 -11.3
  Nov 17, 2024 308   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 26%     0 - 5 -29.1 -6.2 -23.3
  Nov 19, 2024 17   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -52.0 -29.6 -16.6
  Nov 23, 2024 213   Brown L 76-83 24%     0 - 7 -12.4 +9.2 -22.5
  Nov 27, 2024 215   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 13%     0 - 8 -8.4 -6.3 -2.5
  Dec 06, 2024 183   Merrimack L 52-60 19%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -11.4 -15.4 +3.5
  Dec 08, 2024 262   Siena L 53-66 33%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -21.3 -12.8 -10.9
  Dec 14, 2024 196   Maine L 79-84 20%     0 - 11 -9.1 +13.3 -22.7
  Dec 18, 2024 138   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-72 7%     0 - 12 -7.9 -5.0 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 91   @ Bradley L 59-92 3%     0 - 13 -24.1 +0.7 -30.0
  Jan 05, 2025 283   @ Sacred Heart L 82-99 21%     0 - 14 0 - 3 -21.4 +3.8 -24.9
  Jan 10, 2025 305   Rider W 85-67 42%     1 - 14 1 - 3 +7.3 +17.3 -7.9
  Jan 12, 2025 241   St. Peter's L 49-62 29%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -20.2 -16.7 -4.9
  Jan 16, 2025 254   @ Iona L 61-82 17%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -23.7 -5.1 -20.3
  Jan 18, 2025 318   @ Fairfield W 78-67 28%     2 - 16 2 - 5 +4.1 +7.3 -2.1
  Jan 23, 2025 283   Sacred Heart L 84-93 37%     2 - 17 2 - 6 -18.5 +2.5 -20.8
  Jan 25, 2025 209   Marist L 47-70 23%     2 - 18 2 - 7 -28.2 -17.9 -13.6
  Jan 31, 2025 315   Niagara L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 06, 2025 184   @ Quinnipiac L 67-82 8%    
  Feb 08, 2025 183   @ Merrimack L 59-74 8%    
  Feb 12, 2025 315   @ Niagara L 68-74 27%    
  Feb 16, 2025 287   Mount St. Mary's L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 21, 2025 209   @ Marist L 60-73 11%    
  Feb 23, 2025 262   @ Siena L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 28, 2025 289   Manhattan L 76-79 40%    
  Mar 02, 2025 254   Iona L 69-74 34%    
  Mar 06, 2025 305   @ Rider L 67-74 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 241   @ St. Peter's L 58-69 15%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2 1.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 1.2 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.1 3.2 0.3 5.7 10th
11th 0.1 2.4 6.6 2.3 0.1 11.4 11th
12th 0.3 4.0 11.1 6.2 0.5 22.1 12th
13th 5.9 17.4 20.2 9.9 1.4 0.0 54.7 13th
Total 5.9 17.6 24.3 23.4 16.4 8.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
8-12 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
6-14 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
5-15 23.4% 23.4
4-16 24.3% 24.3
3-17 17.6% 17.6
2-18 5.9% 5.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.9%