Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#92
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#258
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#75
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 2.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.9% 27.4% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 3.5% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 12.4
.500 or above 90.4% 91.2% 70.7%
.500 or above in Conference 87.9% 88.5% 73.6%
Conference Champion 32.3% 33.0% 15.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 2.3%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 0.5%
First Round26.3% 26.8% 14.1%
Second Round9.0% 9.3% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 96.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 33 - 4
Quad 38 - 411 - 8
Quad 410 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 327   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 08, 2024 91   @ Washington St. L 64-67 39%    
  Nov 12, 2024 232   Texas San Antonio W 81-68 88%    
  Nov 16, 2024 306   Northern Illinois W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 21, 2024 185   Texas St. W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 03, 2024 140   @ Southern Illinois W 66-64 58%    
  Dec 14, 2024 98   Santa Clara W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 18, 2024 82   San Francisco W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 21, 2024 297   Canisius W 76-60 92%    
  Dec 29, 2024 242   Valparaiso W 76-63 87%    
  Jan 01, 2025 132   @ Indiana St. W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 207   Missouri St. W 74-62 84%    
  Jan 08, 2025 106   Drake W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 203   @ Illinois-Chicago W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 15, 2025 132   Indiana St. W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 136   @ Murray St. W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 21, 2025 144   @ Belmont W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 193   Illinois St. W 70-59 82%    
  Jan 29, 2025 203   Illinois-Chicago W 75-64 83%    
  Feb 02, 2025 112   @ Northern Iowa L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 144   Belmont W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 228   @ Evansville W 73-66 71%    
  Feb 12, 2025 140   Southern Illinois W 69-61 74%    
  Feb 16, 2025 106   @ Drake L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   @ Illinois St. W 67-62 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 136   Murray St. W 71-63 74%    
  Feb 26, 2025 242   @ Valparaiso W 73-66 72%    
  Mar 02, 2025 112   Northern Iowa W 71-65 68%    
Projected Record 20 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 6.8 7.9 6.5 3.7 1.4 32.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.1 5.8 3.6 1.4 0.2 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 4.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.4 5.8 7.6 9.0 10.5 11.4 11.7 10.7 9.3 6.7 3.7 1.4 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
19-1 100.0% 3.7    3.7 0.0
18-2 96.8% 6.5    6.0 0.5 0.0
17-3 85.2% 7.9    6.3 1.6 0.0
16-4 63.3% 6.8    4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0
15-5 36.6% 4.3    1.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 13.3% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 32.3% 32.3 23.8 6.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.4% 92.7% 71.7% 21.0% 4.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 74.3%
19-1 3.7% 80.1% 61.4% 18.6% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 48.3%
18-2 6.7% 62.2% 49.9% 12.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.5 24.4%
17-3 9.3% 48.1% 42.7% 5.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 9.4%
16-4 10.7% 37.5% 35.8% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.7 2.6%
15-5 11.7% 29.0% 28.6% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.5%
14-6 11.4% 22.2% 22.1% 0.0% 12.5 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.9 0.0%
13-7 10.5% 17.8% 17.8% 12.9 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 8.7
12-8 9.0% 11.2% 11.2% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.0
11-9 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.0
10-10 5.8% 5.5% 5.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.5
9-11 4.4% 3.5% 3.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
8-12 3.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-15 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.9% 24.4% 2.5% 10.9 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.6 5.8 8.7 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 73.1 3.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 3.0 20.2 19.5 21.8 22.0 8.3 7.5 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 95.5% 4.0 5.5 5.5 19.1 24.5 36.4 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 90.5% 5.3 1.6 1.6 23.8 31.7 14.3 15.9 1.6