Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#67
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#72
Pace71.8#91
Improvement+2.6#68

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#51
First Shot+4.7#60
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#126
Layup/Dunks+2.9#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#38
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement+1.5#86

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#95
First Shot+0.9#146
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#49
Layups/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows+0.1#184
Improvement+1.1#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 20.3% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.1% 13.2% 6.6%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.3% 99.8% 98.2%
Conference Champion 11.0% 14.4% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.8% 6.6% 4.1%
First Round14.3% 16.7% 9.1%
Second Round5.0% 6.1% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 5
Quad 25 - 48 - 8
Quad 33 - 311 - 12
Quad 410 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 102   Saint Louis W 85-78 66%     1 - 0 +11.0 +9.0 +1.8
  Nov 08, 2024 64   Arizona St. L 74-81 49%     1 - 1 +1.6 +6.4 -4.8
  Nov 13, 2024 112   North Dakota St. L 80-88 OT 78%     1 - 2 -7.6 -4.3 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 68   @ Nevada L 59-85 41%     1 - 3 -15.1 -4.5 -12.5
  Nov 19, 2024 175   UC Riverside W 96-54 86%     2 - 3 +38.7 +24.3 +15.6
  Nov 23, 2024 87   Stanford L 69-71 68%     2 - 4 +1.7 -4.3 +6.0
  Nov 28, 2024 62   TCU W 69-52 49%     3 - 4 +25.7 +4.0 +22.0
  Nov 29, 2024 95   Washington L 69-76 59%     3 - 5 -1.0 +2.6 -3.8
  Dec 03, 2024 74   @ McNeese St. W 74-67 43%     4 - 5 +17.2 +12.5 +5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 254   Fresno St. W 81-66 93%     5 - 5 +7.0 -1.2 +6.9
  Dec 14, 2024 73   Bradley W 84-74 53%     6 - 5 +17.6 +21.0 -2.7
  Dec 18, 2024 183   Kennesaw St. W 94-74 87%     7 - 5 +16.3 +12.4 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2024 268   South Dakota W 98-81 94%     8 - 5 +8.2 +6.0 +0.6
  Dec 28, 2024 203   Pepperdine W 91-80 89%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +6.1 +15.0 -9.0
  Dec 30, 2024 75   @ San Francisco L 94-97 OT 43%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +7.1 +15.0 -7.6
  Jan 02, 2025 290   @ San Diego W 81-80 89%     10 - 6 2 - 1 -3.7 +7.8 -11.6
  Jan 09, 2025 70   Oregon St. W 82-81 OT 62%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +6.1 +3.8 +2.3
  Jan 11, 2025 75   San Francisco W 77-54 64%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +27.6 +6.8 +21.0
  Jan 16, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 54-57 68%     12 - 7 4 - 2 +0.6 -11.1 +11.5
  Jan 18, 2025 14   @ Gonzaga W 103-99 15%     13 - 7 5 - 2 +23.4 +23.3 -0.4
  Jan 23, 2025 85   Washington St. W 81-77 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 70   @ Oregon St. L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 302   Pacific W 86-67 97%    
  Feb 06, 2025 308   @ Portland W 84-70 90%    
  Feb 08, 2025 290   San Diego W 85-66 96%    
  Feb 11, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 85   @ Washington St. L 78-79 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 14   Gonzaga L 79-85 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 302   @ Pacific W 83-69 89%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.3 5.5 3.7 0.5 11.0 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 11.5 6.3 0.5 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.0 16.8 9.3 0.4 29.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 9.6 7.6 0.3 18.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.2 7.0 0.5 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 0.9 6.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.1 9.4 20.5 27.1 22.4 12.1 4.2 0.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-3 89.0% 3.7    2.4 1.3 0.0
14-4 45.1% 5.5    1.2 2.9 1.3 0.1
13-5 5.6% 1.3    0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.0% 11.0 4.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.5% 98.1% 29.6% 68.5% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
15-3 4.2% 64.7% 18.9% 45.8% 9.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.4 1.5 56.5%
14-4 12.1% 44.0% 16.2% 27.8% 10.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.9 0.0 6.8 33.1%
13-5 22.4% 21.7% 8.6% 13.1% 10.5 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 0.2 17.5 14.3%
12-6 27.1% 9.6% 4.6% 4.9% 10.8 0.1 0.5 1.9 0.2 24.5 5.1%
11-7 20.5% 5.3% 3.8% 1.4% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 19.5 1.5%
10-8 9.4% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 0.9%
9-9 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 11.0 0.0 3.0
8-10 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.6
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.4% 7.1% 10.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 5.1 8.0 0.5 82.6 11.1%