Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#99
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#186
Pace72.0#99
Improvement+1.0#76

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#63
First Shot+3.5#81
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#120
Layup/Dunks+5.4#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#99
Freethrows-1.8#275
Improvement+0.6#94

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#142
First Shot-1.4#227
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#50
Layups/Dunks+3.7#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#324
Freethrows-1.2#248
Improvement+0.3#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.4 10.2 10.8
.500 or above 65.0% 77.0% 53.3%
.500 or above in Conference 69.5% 75.0% 64.1%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.5%
First Round3.2% 4.5% 1.9%
Second Round1.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 23 - 44 - 11
Quad 35 - 29 - 13
Quad 48 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   Saint Louis W 85-78 51%     1 - 0 +11.8 +8.4 +3.1
  Nov 08, 2024 53   Arizona St. L 74-81 34%     1 - 1 +2.3 +6.3 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2024 242   North Dakota St. L 80-88 OT 87%     1 - 2 -15.0 -5.4 -9.0
  Nov 16, 2024 39   @ Nevada L 59-85 19%     1 - 3 -11.6 -2.4 -11.0
  Nov 19, 2024 198   UC Riverside W 96-54 83%     2 - 3 +37.2 +22.5 +15.8
  Nov 23, 2024 67   Stanford L 75-76 49%    
  Nov 28, 2024 60   TCU L 75-79 37%    
  Dec 03, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 07, 2024 253   Fresno St. W 84-71 88%    
  Dec 14, 2024 93   Bradley L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 18, 2024 160   Kennesaw St. W 89-81 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 249   South Dakota W 86-73 87%    
  Dec 28, 2024 238   Pepperdine W 82-70 85%    
  Dec 30, 2024 59   @ San Francisco L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 298   @ San Diego W 81-72 81%    
  Jan 09, 2025 98   Oregon St. W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 59   San Francisco L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 72-92 4%    
  Jan 23, 2025 80   Washington St. W 78-77 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 98   @ Oregon St. L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 44   St. Mary's L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 291   Pacific W 83-68 90%    
  Feb 06, 2025 289   @ Portland W 79-70 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 298   San Diego W 84-69 91%    
  Feb 11, 2025 44   @ St. Mary's L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 19, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 80   @ Washington St. L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 27, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 75-89 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 291   @ Pacific W 80-71 78%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.3 3.2 1.2 0.2 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.4 7.7 3.2 0.2 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 6.0 6.8 2.7 0.2 0.0 17.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 4.4 1.4 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 2.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 5.4 8.6 12.2 14.4 15.5 14.6 11.2 7.4 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 58.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 24.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 94.9% 25.6% 69.2% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.1%
16-2 0.6% 70.0% 21.6% 48.5% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 61.8%
15-3 1.7% 41.4% 11.4% 30.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 33.8%
14-4 4.1% 21.1% 8.9% 12.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 13.5%
13-5 7.4% 9.5% 5.5% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 6.7 4.2%
12-6 11.2% 3.8% 2.9% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.9%
11-7 14.6% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3 0.3%
10-8 15.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.4 0.0%
9-9 14.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
8-10 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
7-11 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 8.6
6-12 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 1.8% 1.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4 1.8%