North Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#249
Pace64.7#304
Improvement-0.5#242

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#170
First Shot+1.2#134
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#227
Layup/Dunks-0.9#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#54
Freethrows-2.6#303
Improvement-1.6#349

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#312
First Shot-4.8#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#154
Layups/Dunks-3.0#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows+2.5#65
Improvement+1.1#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 13.1% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 35.5% 56.9% 30.5%
.500 or above in Conference 54.8% 67.6% 51.9%
Conference Champion 10.6% 15.9% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 7.2% 13.8%
First Four2.4% 1.9% 2.5%
First Round8.1% 12.2% 7.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 74 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 172   Illinois St. L 68-77 49%     0 - 1 -12.7 -0.8 -12.6
  Nov 11, 2024 239   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 81-86 38%     0 - 2 -5.8 +15.9 -22.3
  Nov 13, 2024 99   @ Santa Clara W 88-80 OT 13%     1 - 2 +16.2 +10.0 +5.5
  Nov 18, 2024 132   @ Southern Illinois L 44-69 20%     1 - 3 -20.2 -21.9 -0.1
  Nov 26, 2024 127   @ Samford L 75-84 19%    
  Nov 27, 2024 353   West Georgia W 76-67 80%    
  Nov 28, 2024 137   Utah Valley L 67-73 31%    
  Dec 04, 2024 225   @ Weber St. L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 07, 2024 173   Northern Colorado L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 10, 2024 85   @ Butler L 66-80 11%    
  Dec 15, 2024 319   Western Michigan W 77-69 76%    
  Dec 23, 2024 239   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 02, 2025 163   St. Thomas L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 04, 2025 262   Nebraska Omaha W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 09, 2025 250   @ Oral Roberts L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 295   @ Denver W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 215   UMKC W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 249   @ South Dakota L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 255   North Dakota W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 30, 2025 183   South Dakota St. W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 163   @ St. Thomas L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 06, 2025 215   @ UMKC L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 262   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 250   Oral Roberts W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 295   Denver W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 19, 2025 183   @ South Dakota St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 255   @ North Dakota L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 249   South Dakota W 77-74 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.1 4.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.2 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.4 5.1 1.1 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.7 1.0 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.5 1.2 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.8 1.5 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.3 3.8 1.4 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 7.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.6 6.1 8.8 11.3 12.9 13.5 12.6 10.5 8.1 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 98.5% 1.3    1.2 0.1
13-3 85.7% 2.6    2.0 0.6 0.0
12-4 61.8% 3.2    1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 28.4% 2.3    0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 6.1% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 44.7% 44.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.5% 50.8% 50.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.4% 33.7% 33.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.0% 30.5% 30.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.1
12-4 5.1% 23.9% 23.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.9
11-5 8.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 6.5
10-6 10.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 9.1
9-7 12.6% 9.4% 9.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 11.4
8-8 13.5% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.6
7-9 12.9% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.3
6-10 11.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.0
5-11 8.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 8.7
4-12 6.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.0
3-13 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-14 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 3.9 90.8 0.0%