South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#111
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#137
Pace71.4#91
Improvement-1.1#242

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#93
First Shot+0.2#167
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#28
Layup/Dunks-0.2#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+0.4#164

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#163
First Shot-2.4#251
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#16
Layups/Dunks+4.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#352
Freethrows+1.2#104
Improvement-1.5#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.3% 36.2% 30.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 9.7% 11.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round35.3% 36.2% 30.0%
Second Round3.0% 3.1% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 85.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 22 - 5
Quad 34 - 46 - 9
Quad 413 - 219 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 86   McNeese St. W 80-73 37%     1 - 0 +13.6 +6.1 +7.1
  Nov 08, 2024 304   Long Beach St. W 80-79 90%     2 - 0 -9.9 +1.0 -10.8
  Nov 14, 2024 151   Northern Colorado L 69-78 60%     2 - 1 -8.4 -6.5 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2024 280   Southern Miss W 101-76 87%     3 - 1 +15.9 +8.5 +3.0
  Nov 24, 2024 132   Duquesne W 71-60 56%     4 - 1 +12.6 +5.2 +8.1
  Nov 25, 2024 49   Boise St. L 82-83 23%     4 - 2 +9.9 +14.3 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2024 219   Missouri St. W 75-55 73%     5 - 2 +16.8 +7.4 +10.8
  Dec 04, 2024 182   @ Montana L 67-71 57%     5 - 3 -2.6 -10.0 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2024 265   Eastern Washington W 74-53 85%     6 - 3 +13.0 -0.5 +14.3
  Dec 11, 2024 80   @ Nevada L 63-77 27%     6 - 4 -4.3 +5.4 -12.0
  Dec 13, 2024 91   @ Colorado L 70-81 32%     6 - 5 -2.9 +8.8 -12.6
  Dec 29, 2024 6   @ Alabama L 82-105 5%     6 - 6 -1.0 +9.2 -8.3
  Jan 02, 2025 315   Denver W 91-70 91%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +9.3 +5.4 +2.1
  Jan 08, 2025 126   @ St. Thomas L 72-73 46%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +3.3 +3.6 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2025 187   @ Nebraska Omaha L 80-87 59%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -6.0 +3.0 -8.9
  Jan 16, 2025 278   North Dakota W 109-73 87%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +27.0 +21.5 +3.4
  Jan 18, 2025 322   Oral Roberts W 84-70 92%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +2.0 +2.7 -0.6
  Jan 23, 2025 245   @ UMKC W 65-64 70%     10 - 8 4 - 2 -1.2 -3.4 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 243   South Dakota W 90-71 83%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +12.0 +4.1 +6.8
  Jan 30, 2025 136   @ North Dakota St. W 72-62 48%     12 - 8 6 - 2 +13.9 +5.3 +9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 278   @ North Dakota L 75-80 76%     12 - 9 6 - 3 -8.9 +0.5 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2025 126   St. Thomas W 102-86 65%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +15.2 +16.3 -2.3
  Feb 13, 2025 187   Nebraska Omaha W 98-85 76%     14 - 9 8 - 3 +8.9 +16.4 -8.0
  Feb 16, 2025 243   @ South Dakota W 94-91 69%     15 - 9 9 - 3 +1.1 +8.1 -7.3
  Feb 19, 2025 136   North Dakota St. L 68-77 67%     15 - 10 9 - 4 -10.2 -3.5 -7.6
  Feb 23, 2025 245   UMKC W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 27, 2025 322   @ Oral Roberts W 84-74 82%    
  Mar 01, 2025 315   @ Denver W 79-69 82%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 9.5 9.7 1st
2nd 0.0 4.3 28.2 32.4 2nd
3rd 3.3 29.8 20.0 53.1 3rd
4th 0.4 4.3 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.5 7.6 34.3 57.7 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 16.5% 9.5    0.3 2.5 6.7
11-5 0.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 9.7% 9.7 0.3 2.5 6.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 57.7% 38.1% 38.1% 12.8 0.0 6.5 12.7 2.7 0.1 35.7
11-5 34.3% 32.5% 32.5% 13.4 0.8 5.4 4.6 0.4 23.1
10-6 7.6% 27.1% 27.1% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.2 5.5
9-7 0.5% 20.4% 20.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 35.3% 35.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 7.3 19.0 8.4 0.6 64.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 22.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.2 29.5 57.9 12.2 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.3%