Preseason Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#146
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#167
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.5% 28.5% 18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 63.6% 81.2% 56.8%
.500 or above in Conference 79.3% 87.5% 76.1%
Conference Champion 28.6% 38.1% 25.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.9% 4.6%
First Four2.3% 1.1% 2.8%
First Round20.5% 28.0% 17.6%
Second Round1.8% 3.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Neutral) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 412 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 99   McNeese St. L 68-74 28%    
  Nov 08, 2024 245   Long Beach St. W 80-74 72%    
  Nov 14, 2024 226   Northern Colorado W 77-74 59%    
  Nov 20, 2024 236   Southern Miss W 75-69 70%    
  Nov 24, 2024 128   Duquesne L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 04, 2024 190   @ Montana L 70-73 41%    
  Dec 07, 2024 262   Eastern Washington W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 11, 2024 75   @ Nevada L 65-76 17%    
  Dec 13, 2024 79   @ Colorado L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 29, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 70-92 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 317   Denver W 82-71 82%    
  Jan 08, 2025 201   @ St. Thomas L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 302   @ Nebraska Omaha W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 263   North Dakota W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 225   Oral Roberts W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 23, 2025 205   @ UMKC L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   South Dakota W 80-72 74%    
  Jan 30, 2025 234   @ North Dakota St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 263   @ North Dakota W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 06, 2025 201   St. Thomas W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 13, 2025 302   Nebraska Omaha W 77-67 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 274   @ South Dakota W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 19, 2025 234   North Dakota St. W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 205   UMKC W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 27, 2025 225   @ Oral Roberts L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 317   @ Denver W 79-74 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.2 7.8 6.4 3.7 1.1 28.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.1 4.8 1.8 0.3 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 1.0 0.1 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.6 5.5 7.5 9.6 11.4 12.8 12.9 11.5 9.6 6.7 3.7 1.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
15-1 100.0% 3.7    3.7 0.1
14-2 95.9% 6.4    5.8 0.6 0.0
13-3 81.4% 7.8    5.6 2.1 0.1
12-4 54.0% 6.2    2.9 2.8 0.5 0.0
11-5 21.5% 2.8    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 28.6% 28.6 19.9 6.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.1% 68.9% 68.5% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4%
15-1 3.7% 59.1% 58.9% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.5%
14-2 6.7% 47.2% 47.2% 13.4 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.5
13-3 9.6% 39.9% 39.9% 13.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.1 5.8
12-4 11.5% 29.0% 29.0% 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.3 8.2
11-5 12.9% 23.2% 23.2% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 9.9
10-6 12.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 10.7
9-7 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.9
8-8 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 8.8
7-9 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.0
6-10 5.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.3
5-11 3.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.5
4-12 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-13 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.5% 21.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.0 5.5 5.3 4.4 78.5 0.0%