Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#265
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Pace69.0#158
Improvement-1.2#250

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#236
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#267
Layup/Dunks+2.6#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#241
Freethrows-0.2#185
Improvement-3.0#313

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#267
First Shot-2.3#247
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#263
Layups/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#269
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement+1.7#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.6% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.5% 51.7% 9.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.5% 5.1% 2.5%
First Round2.1% 3.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Away) - 38.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 91 - 15
Quad 49 - 511 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 91   @ Colorado L 56-76 11%     0 - 1 -11.9 -11.4 -0.4
  Nov 06, 2024 165   Seattle W 93-86 40%     1 - 1 +4.2 +17.5 -13.5
  Nov 11, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 77-84 2%     1 - 2 +13.2 +13.7 -0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 242   Cal Poly L 78-82 56%     1 - 3 -11.0 -7.6 -3.0
  Nov 21, 2024 107   Washington St. L 81-96 20%     1 - 4 -11.4 -0.3 -9.4
  Nov 23, 2024 158   @ California Baptist L 68-79 22%     1 - 5 -8.2 +0.4 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 145   @ UC Santa Barbara L 51-67 20%     1 - 6 -12.5 -15.6 +1.2
  Nov 30, 2024 68   @ Utah L 80-88 7%     1 - 7 +2.8 +14.0 -11.3
  Dec 04, 2024 278   North Dakota W 87-81 63%     2 - 7 -3.0 +12.5 -15.1
  Dec 07, 2024 111   @ South Dakota St. L 53-74 15%     2 - 8 -15.2 -16.3 +0.4
  Dec 10, 2024 90   @ Washington L 69-87 10%     2 - 9 -9.7 +0.0 -9.5
  Jan 02, 2025 182   Montana L 81-92 43%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -14.7 +2.5 -17.0
  Jan 04, 2025 188   Montana St. W 68-63 45%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +0.9 -4.4 +5.4
  Jan 09, 2025 201   @ Portland St. L 59-64 29%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -4.6 -12.3 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2025 332   @ Sacramento St. W 65-54 60%     4 - 11 2 - 2 +2.8 -6.0 +9.5
  Jan 18, 2025 253   @ Idaho L 76-83 39%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -9.7 +1.8 -11.8
  Jan 20, 2025 188   @ Montana St. L 64-74 27%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -9.0 +0.4 -10.7
  Jan 23, 2025 264   Northern Arizona L 61-70 60%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -17.0 -10.6 -7.2
  Jan 25, 2025 151   Northern Colorado L 62-67 36%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -6.9 -10.8 +3.6
  Jan 30, 2025 229   @ Idaho St. L 70-78 33%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -9.1 -3.0 -6.2
  Feb 01, 2025 297   @ Weber St. W 72-49 48%     5 - 16 3 - 7 +17.9 -6.8 +24.0
  Feb 06, 2025 332   Sacramento St. W 83-80 77%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -10.3 +8.5 -18.6
  Feb 08, 2025 201   Portland St. W 72-67 47%     7 - 16 5 - 7 +0.3 +2.8 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2025 253   Idaho W 75-73 59%     8 - 16 6 - 7 -5.7 +1.3 -6.9
  Feb 20, 2025 151   @ Northern Colorado L 76-95 21%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -15.8 +2.8 -18.7
  Feb 22, 2025 264   @ Northern Arizona L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 27, 2025 297   Weber St. W 75-70 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 229   Idaho St. W 72-71 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 182   @ Montana L 72-79 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.3 1.7 3rd
4th 0.1 5.5 2.7 8.3 4th
5th 3.3 10.8 0.3 14.5 5th
6th 1.6 19.8 4.4 25.8 6th
7th 13.8 14.7 0.1 28.7 7th
8th 7.4 12.9 0.5 20.7 8th
9th 0.4 0.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 7.8 28.3 38.4 21.2 4.3 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 4.3% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.4 3.9
9-9 21.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.4 19.8
8-10 38.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 1.4 37.0
7-11 28.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 28.0
6-12 7.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.7
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 3.7 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 3.8%