Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#165
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#239
Pace66.6#221
Improvement-1.4#262

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#212
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#52
Layup/Dunks-4.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#225
Freethrows+4.4#7
Improvement-3.8#336

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#140
First Shot-0.9#208
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#42
Layups/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+2.4#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.2% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 0.6% 1.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 52.7% 80.0% 40.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four2.8% 2.2% 3.1%
First Round5.6% 7.5% 4.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 31 - 113 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 265   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 60%     0 - 1 -9.9 +9.0 -18.8
  Nov 09, 2024 77   Liberty L 64-66 31%     0 - 2 +2.8 +0.5 +2.2
  Nov 14, 2024 242   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 56%     0 - 3 -5.9 -7.1 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 54   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 11%     1 - 3 +26.1 +24.3 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2024 159   Furman L 56-61 49%     1 - 4 -4.9 -10.4 +4.9
  Nov 29, 2024 2   @ Duke L 48-70 2%     1 - 5 +4.1 -11.7 +15.1
  Dec 04, 2024 201   Portland St. W 91-74 67%     2 - 5 +12.3 +21.4 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 139   @ UTEP L 72-88 35%     2 - 6 -12.3 +3.2 -15.7
  Dec 17, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 35%     2 - 7 -9.1 +4.1 -13.3
  Dec 20, 2024 147   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 56%     2 - 8 -12.8 -9.3 -3.1
  Dec 23, 2024 90   @ Washington W 79-70 21%     3 - 8 +17.3 +8.4 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2024 192   Nicholls St. L 69-71 66%     3 - 9 -6.4 -4.5 -2.0
  Jan 04, 2025 158   @ California Baptist L 59-61 39%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +0.8 -7.7 +8.3
  Jan 11, 2025 211   Abilene Christian W 66-64 68%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -3.2 -0.5 -2.5
  Jan 16, 2025 290   Utah Tech W 82-62 81%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +10.4 +6.9 +4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 282   Southern Utah W 75-52 80%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +13.8 +1.4 +13.2
  Jan 23, 2025 205   @ Texas Arlington L 56-65 48%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -8.8 -9.5 -0.8
  Jan 25, 2025 125   Utah Valley L 66-70 51%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -4.5 -2.2 -2.5
  Jan 30, 2025 89   @ Grand Canyon L 74-83 21%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -0.6 +2.7 -2.7
  Feb 06, 2025 273   Tarleton St. W 91-54 79%     7 - 13 4 - 4 +28.1 +35.5 -0.4
  Feb 08, 2025 205   Texas Arlington W 67-65 68%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -2.9 -6.0 +3.2
  Feb 13, 2025 211   @ Abilene Christian L 59-75 49%     8 - 14 5 - 5 -16.1 -11.9 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2025 273   @ Tarleton St. L 64-67 63%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -6.8 -7.0 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2025 125   @ Utah Valley L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 158   California Baptist W 70-68 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 89   Grand Canyon L 70-74 39%    
  Mar 06, 2025 282   @ Southern Utah W 72-68 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 290   @ Utah Tech W 73-69 64%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 9.4 14.3 3.5 27.4 3rd
4th 7.1 17.9 3.0 27.9 4th
5th 2.0 16.2 4.5 0.1 22.7 5th
6th 0.2 8.5 5.5 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 2.5 4.6 0.2 7.3 7th
8th 0.4 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 9th
Total 3.1 15.0 29.2 31.8 17.4 3.6 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 3.6% 13.8% 13.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.1
9-7 17.4% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 1.1 0.7 15.6
8-8 31.8% 7.8% 7.8% 15.9 0.4 2.1 29.3
7-9 29.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1 28.0
6-10 15.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 14.6
5-11 3.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 14.5 8.2 34.7 57.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5%
Lose Out 1.3%