Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#150
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#226
Pace67.0#228
Improvement+1.0#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#39
Layup/Dunks-4.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#218
Freethrows+4.7#3
Improvement-2.2#299

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#132
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#40
Layups/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#144
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+3.2#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 16.0% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 32.5% 44.7% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 95.2% 80.4%
Conference Champion 13.3% 18.5% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four0.8% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round13.2% 15.9% 10.5%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Away) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 32 - 95 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 257   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 64%     0 - 1 -9.6 +8.2 -17.7
  Nov 09, 2024 92   Liberty L 64-66 41%     0 - 2 +1.4 -0.7 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2024 286   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 70%     0 - 3 -8.4 -8.7 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 79   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 20%     1 - 3 +23.0 +22.4 +1.5
  Nov 26, 2024 151   Furman L 56-61 50%     1 - 4 -4.1 -9.4 +4.7
  Nov 29, 2024 1   @ Duke L 48-70 2%     1 - 5 +4.5 -10.6 +14.5
  Dec 04, 2024 227   Portland St. W 91-74 76%     2 - 5 +10.5 +20.0 -8.9
  Dec 07, 2024 131   @ UTEP L 72-88 36%     2 - 6 -11.4 +3.4 -15.1
  Dec 17, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 37%     2 - 7 -8.5 +5.8 -14.3
  Dec 20, 2024 143   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 59%     2 - 8 -12.3 -9.3 -2.6
  Dec 23, 2024 95   @ Washington W 79-70 23%     3 - 8 +17.7 +9.4 +8.0
  Dec 30, 2024 205   Nicholls St. L 69-71 71%     3 - 9 -6.9 -5.1 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 172   @ California Baptist L 59-61 45%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +0.3 -8.5 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2025 242   Abilene Christian W 66-64 78%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -5.2 -1.6 -3.4
  Jan 16, 2025 284   Utah Tech W 82-62 84%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +10.1 +8.1 +3.0
  Jan 18, 2025 240   Southern Utah W 75-52 78%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +15.9 +1.8 +14.9
  Jan 23, 2025 201   @ Texas Arlington W 75-74 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 140   Utah Valley W 70-68 61%    
  Jan 30, 2025 83   @ Grand Canyon L 69-78 21%    
  Feb 06, 2025 262   Tarleton St. W 70-61 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 201   Texas Arlington W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 13, 2025 242   @ Abilene Christian W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 262   @ Tarleton St. W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 140   @ Utah Valley L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 27, 2025 172   California Baptist W 71-67 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 83   Grand Canyon L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 240   @ Southern Utah W 74-71 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 284   @ Utah Tech W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.1 4.8 4.3 1.5 0.3 13.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.5 9.5 5.8 0.8 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 9.7 12.6 6.2 0.8 0.0 31.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 6.9 6.9 2.3 0.2 18.2 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 3.2 0.6 8.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.4 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 1.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.0 8.0 12.7 18.0 20.8 17.9 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 100.0% 1.5    1.4 0.1
13-3 83.5% 4.3    2.9 1.3 0.1
12-4 41.7% 4.8    1.8 2.2 0.7 0.0
11-5 11.4% 2.1    0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1
10-6 1.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 6.8 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.3% 41.9% 41.9% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.5% 38.9% 38.9% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.9
13-3 5.1% 30.5% 30.5% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.6
12-4 11.4% 24.6% 24.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.2 8.6
11-5 17.9% 18.0% 18.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.4 14.7
10-6 20.8% 12.3% 12.3% 15.0 0.2 2.2 0.2 18.2
9-7 18.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.8 0.7 16.5
8-8 12.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.0
7-9 8.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.7
6-10 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.9
5-11 1.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.5 4.6 1.9 86.7 0.0%