Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#266
Pace67.0#255
Improvement+1.5#49

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#138
First Shot+3.0#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#275
Layup/Dunks+0.0#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+1.3#122
Improvement+0.1#147

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#153
First Shot-0.7#202
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#115
Layups/Dunks-1.7#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#99
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+1.3#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.3% 17.9% 12.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.9
.500 or above 60.0% 72.3% 47.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 84.4% 75.1%
Conference Champion 18.5% 22.2% 14.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.8%
First Round15.1% 17.8% 12.5%
Second Round2.0% 2.6% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Neutral) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 49 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 245   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 61%     0 - 1 -8.2 +7.5 -15.5
  Nov 09, 2024 81   Liberty L 64-66 41%     0 - 2 +2.1 +0.0 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2024 294   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 71%     0 - 3 -8.1 -5.0 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 158   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 44%     1 - 3 +16.1 +18.0 -0.9
  Nov 26, 2024 135   Furman L 72-73 50%    
  Nov 29, 2024 5   @ Duke L 61-82 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 218   Portland St. W 82-74 75%    
  Dec 07, 2024 203   @ UTEP W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 17, 2024 122   @ Western Kentucky L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 20, 2024 157   Illinois-Chicago W 78-73 66%    
  Dec 23, 2024 84   @ Washington L 69-77 23%    
  Dec 30, 2024 220   Nicholls St. W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 209   Abilene Christian W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 16, 2025 304   Utah Tech W 79-67 86%    
  Jan 18, 2025 205   Southern Utah W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 164   @ Texas Arlington L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 137   Utah Valley W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 30, 2025 89   @ Grand Canyon L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 06, 2025 317   Tarleton St. W 77-64 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 164   Texas Arlington W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 13, 2025 209   @ Abilene Christian W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 317   @ Tarleton St. W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 137   @ Utah Valley L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 181   California Baptist W 72-66 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 89   Grand Canyon L 73-74 46%    
  Mar 06, 2025 205   @ Southern Utah W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 304   @ Utah Tech W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.5 5.5 4.2 2.0 0.4 18.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.8 7.7 6.2 2.2 0.3 20.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.5 7.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.1 2.0 0.2 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 1.4 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.2 0.8 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.7 8.6 11.4 13.6 14.8 13.8 11.4 7.8 4.6 2.0 0.4 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 2.0    1.9 0.1
14-2 92.4% 4.2    3.5 0.8
13-3 71.0% 5.5    3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0
12-4 39.0% 4.5    1.8 2.1 0.5 0.0
11-5 12.1% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.5% 18.5 11.4 5.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 53.3% 52.1% 1.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.5%
15-1 2.0% 49.2% 49.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0
14-2 4.6% 41.6% 41.6% 12.6 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7
13-3 7.8% 35.7% 35.7% 13.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0
12-4 11.4% 27.4% 27.4% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 8.3
11-5 13.8% 19.5% 19.5% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.1 11.1
10-6 14.8% 12.1% 12.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.1 13.0
9-7 13.6% 7.2% 7.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 12.6
8-8 11.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.9
7-9 8.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.3
6-10 5.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.6
5-11 3.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-12 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.3% 15.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.9 3.8 2.5 0.9 84.7 0.0%