Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#170
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#286
Pace67.0#230
Improvement-3.3#342

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#166
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#39
Layup/Dunks-5.1#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
Freethrows+4.2#14
Improvement-2.0#319

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#194
First Shot-2.6#266
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#58
Layups/Dunks-2.9#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#206
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement-1.3#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 13.8% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 20.8% 39.1% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 75.3% 64.6%
Conference Champion 11.1% 15.2% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 3.1% 6.1%
First Four1.9% 0.9% 2.1%
First Round9.6% 13.5% 8.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 75 - 13
Quad 48 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 254   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 56%     0 - 1 -9.1 +7.0 -15.9
  Nov 09, 2024 81   Liberty L 64-66 33%     0 - 2 +2.0 -0.8 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2024 265   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 58%     0 - 3 -6.6 -7.4 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 91   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 18%     1 - 3 +22.1 +22.5 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2024 128   Furman L 56-61 39%     1 - 4 -2.9 -7.9 +4.4
  Nov 29, 2024 2   @ Duke L 48-70 2%     1 - 5 +2.0 -10.3 +11.6
  Dec 04, 2024 260   Portland St. W 91-74 77%     2 - 5 +8.6 +16.3 -7.0
  Dec 07, 2024 140   @ UTEP L 72-88 33%     2 - 6 -12.0 +4.3 -16.6
  Dec 17, 2024 105   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 22%     2 - 7 -5.6 +6.3 -11.9
  Dec 20, 2024 199   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 65%     2 - 8 -15.6 -9.8 -5.4
  Dec 23, 2024 82   @ Washington L 67-77 16%    
  Dec 30, 2024 241   Nicholls St. W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 176   @ California Baptist L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 207   Abilene Christian W 74-70 67%    
  Jan 16, 2025 287   Utah Tech W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 18, 2025 218   Southern Utah W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 23, 2025 145   @ Texas Arlington L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 148   Utah Valley W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 30, 2025 102   @ Grand Canyon L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 06, 2025 286   Tarleton St. W 72-63 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 145   Texas Arlington W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 13, 2025 207   @ Abilene Christian L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 286   @ Tarleton St. W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 148   @ Utah Valley L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 27, 2025 176   California Baptist W 73-70 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 102   Grand Canyon L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 218   @ Southern Utah L 74-75 46%    
  Mar 08, 2025 287   @ Utah Tech W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 11.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.8 6.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 6.1 6.5 2.0 0.2 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.7 6.8 1.6 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 5.0 6.4 1.6 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.5 1.4 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.2 1.3 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 5.9 9.4 12.8 14.8 15.6 13.5 10.4 6.6 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 96.8% 1.5    1.3 0.2
13-3 81.7% 2.8    2.1 0.7 0.0
12-4 53.2% 3.5    1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0
11-5 21.5% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1
10-6 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 6.1 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 40.9% 40.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.5% 34.3% 34.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.5% 32.8% 32.8% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3
12-4 6.6% 28.1% 28.1% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 4.7
11-5 10.4% 20.6% 20.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.2 8.2
10-6 13.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 11.6
9-7 15.6% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 14.4
8-8 14.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.5 14.2
7-9 12.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.4
6-10 9.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.2
5-11 5.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9
4-12 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-13 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.3 3.1 89.9 0.0%