Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#211
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Pace70.8#115
Improvement+2.0#88

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#197
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#70
Layup/Dunks+0.5#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#204
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+3.0#37

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#236
First Shot-1.9#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#184
Layups/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#156
Freethrows-3.5#353
Improvement-1.0#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 7.6% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 68.6% 85.1% 60.7%
.500 or above in Conference 88.0% 96.3% 84.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round5.0% 7.6% 3.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 11 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 51   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +6.4 +5.1 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 125   South Alabama L 64-70 41%     0 - 2 -6.4 -2.3 -4.5
  Nov 14, 2024 234   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 45%     1 - 2 +0.5 -7.8 +8.4
  Nov 15, 2024 39   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 6%     1 - 3 -22.4 -9.1 -15.8
  Nov 20, 2024 174   Towson L 64-70 53%     1 - 4 -9.4 -2.9 -7.0
  Nov 30, 2024 306   @ Louisiana W 76-75 61%     2 - 4 -4.4 +7.0 -11.3
  Dec 05, 2024 219   SE Louisiana W 67-64 63%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.0 -10.7 +7.6
  Dec 07, 2024 345   New Orleans W 73-70 87%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -11.7 -6.4 -5.3
  Dec 18, 2024 14   @ Gonzaga L 72-102 3%     4 - 5 -10.6 -1.8 -5.9
  Dec 30, 2024 150   @ Seattle W 71-69 27%     5 - 5 +5.7 +2.4 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 284   @ Northwestern St. L 66-68 56%     5 - 6 2 - 1 -6.3 -2.1 -4.4
  Jan 06, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 83-61 78%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +11.2 +14.3 -1.0
  Jan 11, 2025 73   @ McNeese St. L 71-80 12%     6 - 7 3 - 2 +1.4 +1.3 +0.4
  Jan 13, 2025 309   @ Incarnate Word W 88-82 61%     7 - 7 4 - 2 +0.4 +10.3 -9.8
  Jan 18, 2025 252   Stephen F. Austin W 73-61 69%     8 - 7 5 - 2 +4.1 +4.2 +0.3
  Jan 20, 2025 222   Lamar L 74-78 63%     8 - 8 5 - 3 -10.1 +0.0 -10.2
  Jan 25, 2025 180   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-78 32%    
  Jan 27, 2025 239   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 73   McNeese St. L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 03, 2025 308   Houston Christian W 76-68 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-65 90%    
  Feb 10, 2025 284   Northwestern St. W 74-67 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 219   @ SE Louisiana L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 17, 2025 345   @ New Orleans W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 239   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-75 68%    
  Feb 24, 2025 180   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-75 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-68 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 222   @ Lamar L 70-72 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 6.2 8.0 4.6 1.1 0.1 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 6.7 8.3 3.1 0.3 19.2 3rd
4th 0.5 5.7 9.3 2.8 0.2 18.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 9.4 3.1 0.1 16.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 6.1 3.1 0.2 11.1 6th
7th 0.6 3.9 2.6 0.3 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.3 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.1 8.1 13.3 19.2 20.2 17.4 11.3 5.0 1.3 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 23.5% 0.0    0.0
16-4 17.9% 0.2    0.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 1.3% 22.4% 22.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-5 5.0% 15.6% 15.6% 14.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.2
14-6 11.3% 11.1% 11.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 10.1
13-7 17.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 16.3
12-8 20.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 19.4
11-9 19.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.3 0.2 18.7
10-10 13.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.2
9-11 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
8-12 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
7-13 0.8% 0.8
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 0.9 94.9 0.0%