Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#241
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#200
Pace70.1#151
Improvement-1.3#265

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#255
First Shot-4.6#313
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#94
Layup/Dunks-0.2#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
Freethrows-2.5#312
Improvement-0.4#218

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#217
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#130
Layups/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#142
Freethrows-3.5#346
Improvement-0.8#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.2% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 37.0% 56.6% 30.3%
.500 or above in Conference 66.8% 74.2% 64.2%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.5% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round3.5% 5.1% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 25.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +4.2 +1.7 +3.6
  Nov 08, 2024 202   South Alabama L 64-70 51%     0 - 2 -10.8 -5.7 -5.6
  Nov 14, 2024 214   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 32%     1 - 2 +2.5 -7.6 +10.1
  Nov 15, 2024 26   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 3%     1 - 3 -20.3 -10.3 -12.5
  Nov 20, 2024 213   Towson L 64-70 54%     1 - 4 -11.5 -3.4 -8.7
  Nov 30, 2024 291   @ Louisiana W 76-75 48%     2 - 4 -2.9 +6.9 -9.7
  Dec 05, 2024 228   SE Louisiana W 67-64 58%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.6 -9.5 +5.8
  Dec 07, 2024 345   New Orleans W 73-70 83%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -11.9 -6.0 -5.8
  Dec 18, 2024 4   @ Gonzaga L 72-102 1%     4 - 5 -6.9 +1.1 -5.1
  Dec 30, 2024 170   @ Seattle L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 04, 2025 292   @ Northwestern St. L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 06, 2025 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 11, 2025 92   @ McNeese St. L 63-77 10%    
  Jan 13, 2025 304   @ Incarnate Word W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 217   Stephen F. Austin W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 20, 2025 175   Lamar L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 186   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 27, 2025 227   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 92   McNeese St. L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 03, 2025 349   Houston Christian W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 10, 2025 292   Northwestern St. W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 228   @ SE Louisiana L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 17, 2025 345   @ New Orleans W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 186   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 217   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-67 33%    
  Mar 03, 2025 175   @ Lamar L 66-73 27%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 6.3 9.2 12.3 14.0 14.5 12.9 10.3 7.2 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 94.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1
17-3 68.1% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 42.4% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 18.2% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 46.2% 46.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 27.6% 27.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.9% 29.9% 29.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.3% 20.1% 20.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.8
15-5 4.4% 13.9% 13.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.8
14-6 7.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 6.5
13-7 10.3% 5.9% 5.9% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 9.7
12-8 12.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 12.5
11-9 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 14.3
10-10 14.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.8
9-11 12.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.2
8-12 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
7-13 6.3% 6.3
6-14 3.2% 3.2
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 0.9 96.3 0.0%