Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#234
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#248
Pace63.5#309
Improvement-2.0#273

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#300
First Shot-5.1#315
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#154
Layup/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#221
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#147
First Shot+0.6#160
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#192
Layups/Dunks+2.0#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#328
Freethrows+1.8#62
Improvement-1.9#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.1% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 13.6% 22.8% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.5% 58.7% 27.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 1.8%
First Round3.2% 4.5% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 83 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 58   @ Florida St. L 62-74 7%     0 - 1 +0.3 -9.5 +10.8
  Nov 08, 2024 12   @ Purdue L 50-72 2%     0 - 2 -2.2 -8.2 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2024 212   Nicholls St. L 59-61 54%     0 - 3 -7.3 -15.0 +7.7
  Nov 19, 2024 43   Cincinnati L 60-76 11%     0 - 4 -7.1 -0.1 -8.3
  Nov 27, 2024 124   @ College of Charleston L 64-79 19%     0 - 5 -10.1 -4.2 -6.3
  Nov 30, 2024 353   Bellarmine W 86-70 86%     1 - 5 +0.0 +4.0 -3.7
  Dec 03, 2024 108   @ Akron L 73-86 17%     1 - 6 -7.2 +5.9 -13.6
  Dec 07, 2024 327   @ IU Indianapolis W 66-64 63%     2 - 6 1 - 0 -5.6 -5.0 -0.4
  Dec 15, 2024 184   Norfolk St. W 71-62 48%     3 - 6 +5.5 -0.3 +6.3
  Dec 18, 2024 330   Detroit Mercy W 73-60 81%     4 - 6 2 - 0 -0.3 -1.9 +2.1
  Dec 21, 2024 244   South Carolina St. W 58-47 61%     5 - 6 +3.9 -10.8 +16.0
  Dec 29, 2024 216   @ Robert Morris L 93-97 3OT 36%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -4.6 -4.3 +0.8
  Jan 01, 2025 144   Purdue Fort Wayne W 69-68 OT 39%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -0.3 -6.4 +6.2
  Jan 04, 2025 331   Green Bay W 78-60 82%     7 - 7 4 - 1 +4.1 +6.8 -0.4
  Jan 08, 2025 207   @ Youngstown St. L 61-72 34%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -10.8 -5.6 -5.8
  Jan 11, 2025 179   Oakland L 53-68 47%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -18.5 -9.4 -12.6
  Jan 15, 2025 169   @ Cleveland St. L 58-76 27%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -15.8 -7.6 -9.9
  Jan 18, 2025 178   Wright St. L 70-78 47%     7 - 11 4 - 5 -11.4 -7.1 -4.3
  Jan 24, 2025 162   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 30, 2025 330   @ Detroit Mercy W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   @ Oakland L 59-65 27%    
  Feb 05, 2025 169   Cleveland St. L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 216   Robert Morris W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 331   @ Green Bay W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 16, 2025 162   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 21, 2025 178   @ Wright St. L 67-73 27%    
  Feb 23, 2025 327   IU Indianapolis W 72-63 80%    
  Feb 27, 2025 144   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-76 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 207   Youngstown St. W 66-65 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.9 0.4 4.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.1 1.7 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 6.2 5.1 0.2 13.1 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 9.0 8.7 1.5 0.0 21.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.8 9.2 15.5 11.6 3.0 0.1 42.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.2 1.3 5.1 11.2 18.5 22.2 19.4 13.1 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 28.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 2.2% 13.0% 13.0% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.9
12-8 6.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.8
11-9 13.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.5 0.5 0.4 12.3
10-10 19.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 18.4
9-11 22.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.7 21.4
8-12 18.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 18.2
7-13 11.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.0
6-14 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 96.1 0.0%